JamieOber Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Plus with the elevation there, I would agree and give it a high possibility percentage. all the factors look to be coming together Yep, looking better and better. Well if it does snow it will be that paste and will make for some cool pictures. Probably. Although several times now I have got fluffy snow in April up here since 2003, including 5 inches of fluff on the ground Easter morning 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I just packed away all my sweaters. Wishful thinking given what is being laid out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Yep, looking better and better. Probably. Although several times now I have got fluffy snow in April up here since 2003, including 5 inches of fluff on the ground Easter morning 2007 0Z Euro is 6-8" of the we pasty snow. It's 74 degrees right now... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Wishful thinking given what is being laid out. I know it'll cool down, but a coat and long-sleeve undershirt will suffice. I'm wearing shorts today. Baseball time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I know it'll cool down, but a coat and long-sleeve undershirt will suffice. I'm wearing shorts today. Baseball time! Gotcha. But I really doubt even you have seen your last snow. Long range ain't looking that warm. Man, I used to hate playing baseball in stuff like what he have coming. Hands sting like hell if you didn't hit the ball solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Wore shorts for the first time this year, what a nice day out. Not looking forward for the reality of late season chill returning later next week. On a side note just happened to be reading this CNN article about the "Supermoon" and had to share this snippet. http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/03/18/nasa.moon/index.html?iref=NS1 "The last full moon so big and close to Earth occurred in March of 1993," said Geoff Chester with the U.S. Naval Observatory in Washington. "I'd say it's worth a look." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Wore shorts for the first time this year, what a nice day out. Not looking forward for the reality of late season chill returning later next week. On a side note just happened to be reading this CNN article about the "Supermoon" and had to share this snippet. http://www.cnn.com/2...x.html?iref=NS1 There are approximately 4-6 supermoons annually.[3] The following is a list of past and predicted extreme supermoons.[13][14] November 10, 1954 November 20, 1972 January 8, 1974 February 26, 1975 December 2, 1990 January 19, 1992 March 8, 1993 January 10, 2005 December 12, 2008 January 30, 2010 March 19, 2011 November 14, 2016 January 2, 2018 January 21, 2023 November 25, 2034 January 13, 2036 Did any major storm happen close to any of these dates that the super moon might have caused, well off the bat looking at March 8, 1993 is very interesting, maybe responsible for the storm of the centry??? Anyone up for a little research on the other dates? I wouldn't be surprised to see 1-2 more good shots at decents snowfall accumulations, lets hope http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supermoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Wore shorts for the first time this year, what a nice day out. Not looking forward for the reality of late season chill returning later next week. On a side note just happened to be reading this CNN article about the "Supermoon" and had to share this snippet. http://www.cnn.com/2...x.html?iref=NS1 Hey look everyone - MAG's predicting another Superstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 19, 2011 Author Share Posted March 19, 2011 12z NAM would be the ultimate FU job of the winter. Rain for NEPA, snow for NYC. I mean, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 12z NAM would be the ultimate FU job of the winter. Rain for NEPA, snow for NYC. I mean, really? It has snow to rain here, which is a big change. I don't think you are aware of the storms later next week. Those are our best chances, always were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 19, 2011 Share Posted March 19, 2011 Hey look everyone - MAG's predicting another Superstorm! Haha NOT predicting another superstorm, just found it interesting. Looking at those dates, I highlighted ones that were fairly close to significant events. Nov 10, 1954 was 2-3 weeks after Hurricane Hazel rocketed up the eastern seaboard and is probably the only real example of an actual hurricane (cat 1) surviving thru central PA. March 93 is the obvious example, January 10 2005 was a couple of weeks before the 2005 New England blizzard, Jan 30, 2010 was right before we got blitzkrieged by Feb 5/6&10. It sounds good, but there's many other ridiculous events that happened without this. Plus when you involve the world weather as a whole, i'm sure you can fill in all those dates. There are approximately 4-6 supermoons annually.[3] The following is a list of past and predicted extreme supermoons.[13][14] November 10, 1954 November 20, 1972 January 8, 1974 February 26, 1975 December 2, 1990 January 19, 1992 March 8, 1993 January 10, 2005 December 12, 2008 January 30, 2010 March 19, 2011 November 14, 2016 January 2, 2018 January 21, 2023 November 25, 2034 January 13, 2036 Did any major storm happen close to any of these dates that the super moon might have caused, well off the bat looking at March 8, 1993 is very interesting, maybe responsible for the storm of the centry??? Anyone up for a little research on the other dates? I wouldn't be surprised to see 1-2 more good shots at decents snowfall accumulations, lets hope http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supermoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 19, 2011 Author Share Posted March 19, 2011 And now the EURO has a significant snowstorm for 3/23-24. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 0Z GFS has monster snow after hr 156. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Hung out my bedroom window with my Nikon P90 and snapped this shot of the supermoon. There is a really thin high cover that obstructed some of the finer details of the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Great pic, MAG. Love it. So, looks like at 12Z the NAM and the GFS have totally different ideas for true geographic Central PA for the midweek storm. GFS, cold rain, NAM, major snow/ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 HWO's up for wintry mix overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Great pic, MAG. Love it. So, looks like at 12Z the NAM and the GFS have totally different ideas for true geographic Central PA for the midweek storm. GFS, cold rain, NAM, major snow/ice storm. GFS looks like its somewhat further north than the NAM is, and a hair south of the 0z Euro, hence the rainier solution. The NAM p-types have pretty much the northeastern half of PA in potential snowfall, which is a unique alignment...where a place like Pittsburgh may be rain while Philly/Allentown might be seeing snow. Potential for meaningful frozen precip will likely be hinging on how much the -NAO is able to shove the low south. At any rate, gonna be a crappy first week of spring and the week after isn't looking to great either. There's def some chances for most folks to score late snowfalls in this coming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 NAM has been stubborn on keeping this a colder storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 If the nam was only accurate at this time frame, Central PA would be slammed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 If the nam was only accurate at this time frame, Central PA would be slammed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 I prefer no snow. I would like to go look at a firebird formula on Tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 I prefer no snow. I would like to go look at a firebird formula on Tues. It's not supposed to snow till Wed if it does so either way you are good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 If the nam was only accurate at this time frame, Central PA would be slammed! Lol, a 19 inch bullseye pretty much over Bellwood. I'm sure thats doable... and thats not even done at that point as there's still good precip over most of PA at h84. The accupro accumulated snowmap had a slightly less ridiculous 8-10 inches max within the region encompassed by 11 or 12"+ in this clown map. 12z European keeps the snow threat pretty far in the north above I-80 until the majority of the precip is through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 Lol, a 19 inch bullseye pretty much over Bellwood. I'm sure thats doable... and thats not even done at that point as there's still good precip over most of PA at h84. The accupro accumulated snowmap had a slightly less ridiculous 8-10 inches max within the region encompassed by 11 or 12"+ in this clown map. 12z European keeps the snow threat pretty far in the north above I-80 until the majority of the precip is through. Mag So this is the super storm you was predicting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 So it is the GFS vs the NAM...go figure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted March 20, 2011 Share Posted March 20, 2011 It's not supposed to snow till Wed if it does so either way you are good to go. I mean, I prefer to drive it more than 1 day before having to go back to my truck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Hung out my bedroom window with my Nikon P90 and snapped this shot of the supermoon. There is a really thin high cover that obstructed some of the finer details of the surface. Awesome pic Mag. WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Mag So this is the super storm you was predicting? Hmm, if it happens then sure.. otherwise I default to what i wrote at the top of the page. That way I can't be wrong. Could call it Charlie Sheen meteorology.. ie "winning" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Hmm, if it happens then sure.. otherwise I default to what i wrote at the top of the page. That way I can't be wrong. Could call it Charlie Sheen meteorology.. ie "winning" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Hmm, if it happens then sure.. otherwise I default to what i wrote at the top of the page. That way I can't be wrong. Could call it Charlie Sheen meteorology.. ie "winning" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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