NortheastPAWx Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 Hard to see what's going on cause I'm in the hospital but, 21z sref is insane. 2.5"+ for the mean. What's going on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Feel better bud! Whats goin on? My lung collapsed for the 3rd time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 My lung collapsed for the 3rd time. \ Third time? Wow. Get better dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 \ Third time? Wow. Get better dude. Ya and it's extremely painful. Only a true weather geek would be on here while in pain in the hospital. Lol. Thanks for the well wishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Welcome to my world... (I'll spare the details) anyway good luck to you hope feel better soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Ya and it's extremely painful. Only a true weather geek would be on here while in pain in the hospital. Lol. Thanks for the well wishes. Glad you are such a weather enthusiast...you're always full of info! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Ya and it's extremely painful. Only a true weather geek would be on here while in pain in the hospital. Lol. Thanks for the well wishes. Take care of yourself so you can get back on here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 5" for the total for the storm, just missed the heavier stuff to the east. Galeton had a report of 11" which is only 30 miles to the east of me . I see places to the south of me did well, congrats! Now we just play the waiting game for the rain event coming up. Hopefully we can see at least 1 more snow event before the spring weather comes bargin in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Ya and it's extremely painful. Only a true weather geek would be on here while in pain in the hospital. Lol. Thanks for the well wishes. Fell better dude, nothing worse than not feeling well. Just be thankful we don't live in the olden days with poor medical attention, your in good hands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Glad you are such a weather enthusiast...you're always full of info! You bet. I got my morphine pump on now. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Gfs going towards euro just a hair east with heaviest qpf. I guess it moves west in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 The cmc is insane. 150MM + Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 5" for the total for the storm, just missed the heavier stuff to the east. Galeton had a report of 11" which is only 30 miles to the east of me . I see places to the south of me did well, congrats! Now we just play the waiting game for the rain event coming up. Hopefully we can see at least 1 more snow event before the spring weather comes bargin in. I finished with 4.8" here, which fell in about 3 hours. 1.6"/hr and thundersnow. Best 3 hours of the winter. The cmc is insane. 150MM + That's about 6.00" QPF. You sure you're looking at/adding up things right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 I finished with 4.8" here, which fell in about 3 hours. 1.6"/hr and thundersnow. Best 3 hours of the winter. That's about 6.00" QPF. You sure you're looking at/adding up things right? Ya I'm sure. It's just not the pain Meds. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 The cmc is insane. 150MM + Geesh cut-off low much? That actually looks like a situation where the storm manufactures enough of its own cold to have an area of snowfall south of that firehose of moisture off the ocean especially in the central/southern apps. Hope you get better soon btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Geesh cut-off low much? That actually looks like a situation where the storm manufactures enough of its own cold to have an area of snowfall south of that firehose of moisture off the ocean especially in the central/southern apps. Hope you get better soon btw. Thanks Mag. Ya if the euro holds tonight I think this solution hold merit. Either way major flooding coming. Hopefully I get out of here in time to go see it. Conococheague creek is near my house. Makes for good pictures, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Gfs ens west of op as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Thanks Mag. Ya if the euro holds tonight I think this solution hold merit. Either way major flooding coming. Hopefully I get out of here in time to go see it. Conococheague creek is near my house. Makes for good pictures, WOW man the CMC is crazy tonight....if that solution somehow isn't completely bunk...it will be ugly to say the least. Any word on the Euro guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 WOW man the CMC is crazy tonight....if that solution somehow isn't completely bunk...it will be ugly to say the least. Any word on the Euro guys? Euro track looks similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Wow...to CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 European doesn't appear to have 6 inches like the Canadian does for us, but it still has a butt load of QPF.. a sampling of AOO, UNV, MDT, and IPT all had pretty much in between the 2-3" range. Is debateable in some frames about p-type at the front and back of the storm.. primarily in UNV and AOO. A lot of rain nonetheless. AOO: 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK WED 18Z 09-MAR 0.5 -1.9 1030 90 94 0.07 568 544 THU 00Z 10-MAR 1.7 -1.5 1025 98 98 0.42 567 546 THU 06Z 10-MAR 3.1 1.8 1021 98 96 0.44 564 548 THU 12Z 10-MAR 5.3 3.8 1015 98 98 0.44 562 550 THU 18Z 10-MAR 7.3 4.9 1011 98 80 0.59 559 550 FRI 00Z 11-MAR 5.2 3.4 1007 99 98 0.23 554 548 FRI 06Z 11-MAR 2.8 -0.4 1006 97 96 0.22 546 541 FRI 12Z 11-MAR 0.2 -4.2 1008 93 80 0.13 537 531 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 European doesn't appear to have 6 inches like the Canadian does for us, but it still has a butt load of QPF.. a sampling of AOO, UNV, MDT, and IPT all had pretty much in between the 2-3" range. Is debateable in some frames about p-type at the front and back of the storm.. primarily in UNV and AOO. A lot of rain nonetheless. AOO: Khgr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Khgr? HGR WED 18Z 09-MAR 2.8 -0.9 1031 86 74 0.02 569 544 THU 00Z 10-MAR 3.8 -1.0 1027 96 95 0.22 568 547 THU 06Z 10-MAR 5.3 2.4 1022 98 97 0.42 566 549 THU 12Z 10-MAR 8.1 4.0 1015 98 99 0.43 564 552 THU 18Z 10-MAR 9.6 5.5 1011 99 91 0.62 561 552 FRI 00Z 11-MAR 8.1 5.4 1006 99 93 0.56 556 550 FRI 06Z 11-MAR 5.0 1.0 1006 95 87 0.21 548 543 FRI 12Z 11-MAR 2.2 -2.7 1008 88 60 0.05 539 532 Think thats like 2.53" of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 HGR Think thats like 2.53" of QPF Plenty for big flooding. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Lax just issued flood watches for up to 3". Zones have 2-4". Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Pretty ominous forecast for my location per State College. Some really heavy qpf for the headwaters of the Schuylkill River here, as well as the Susquehanna and Delaware elsewhere if forecasts like this verify. Wednesday Night: Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 1am. Low around 35. East wind between 13 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Thursday: Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 48. Southeast wind between 11 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Thursday Night: Rain. Low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 425 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...ANOTHER HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK... .HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT. PAZ025>028-034>036-056>059-063>066-090930- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0004.110310T1200Z-110311T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-PERRY- DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 425 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ADAMS...BEDFORD...BLAIR...CUMBERLAND... DAUPHIN...FRANKLIN...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...JUNIATA... LANCASTER...LEBANON...MIFFLIN...PERRY...SCHUYLKILL AND YORK. * FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * HEAVY RAIN IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP EARLY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. * THE HEAVY RAINFALL COMBINED WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS FROM RECENT RAINS AND SNOW MELT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE OUT OF THEIR BANKS. IN ADDITION...THE RUNOFF COULD ALSO CAUSE FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER MAIN STEM SUSQUEHANNA RIVER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...POOR DRAINAGE...URBAN AND LOW-LYING AREAS BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ STEINBUGL/GARTNER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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