OKpowdah Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 SREF seem much more realistic given the track of the mid level low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I dunno - the more I look at this thing from CEF to FIT could be surprised here... Starting to visualize a potential for that band beginning this thing as light snow/ip, flipping to moderate rain for and hour or two, then parachuting to 1/4 mi vis or less for several hours tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Going to be quite the difference between the have's (Ray, Will, Kev) and the have not's (Me), by Saturday, in terms of snowpack.. Hopefully a nice covering Sunday. We'll all lose some snow though tomorrow..esp me and Ray..Will maybe not as much..if the thing tracks GON to PYM AMOUT then loss will be minimal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Lost the sun here at 2k. Cold.Windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 We'll all lose some snow though tomorrow..esp me and Ray..Will maybe not as much..if the thing tracks GON to PYM AMOUT then loss will be minimal Well if we get 2" of rain or more....whether it's 38 or 44...it won't matter much. I hope I torch to possibly get into some good winds. I'll lose almost all of it either way...might as well get the most out of it. I'm going to go home and look at the pics I took on 2/2, and probably take a shot..maybe even shed a tear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 31/20 clouds have moved in good luck to all those expecting snow, and good luck to all those that are concerned about flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well if we get 2" of rain or more....whether it's 38 or 44...it won't matter much. I hope I torch to possibly get into some good winds. I'll lose almost all of it either way...might as well get the most out of it. I'm going to go home and look at the pics I took on 2/2, and probably take a shot..maybe even shed a tear. Maybe read some OBS from 12/26, 1/12, and 1/27 while you're at it. Just for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Map reading FYL the map I posted does say 84 hr total. Getting out of practice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 NO DOUBT!! I Just hope this thing moves along, nightmares from flooding last march, Sunday looks fantastic down here, getting excited! What a crazy weather pattern, 50's 2-3 inches of rain gusts to 60, snow sunday and epic cutter and intergalacticmegatorch next week, the roller coaster is here hop on for the ride. Oddly enough, BOX doesn't have us torching out in such a huge way for the monday cutter. Forecast is only for it to shoot to 42. Models are pushing more at 50ish but still not quite an epic torch and pretty similar to what we'll probably see with this current storm. The highly juiced QPF makes sense since the system looks really juiced up on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well if we get 2" of rain or more....whether it's 38 or 44...it won't matter much. I hope I torch to possibly get into some good winds. I'll lose almost all of it either way...might as well get the most out of it. I'm going to go home and look at the pics I took on 2/2, and probably take a shot..maybe even shed a tear. The guy next door has 18"-24" in his front yard...anywhere from 3-10" in the backyard lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well if we get 2" of rain or more....whether it's 38 or 44...it won't matter much. I hope I torch to possibly get into some good winds. I'll lose almost all of it either way...might as well get the most out of it. I'm going to go home and look at the pics I took on 2/2, and probably take a shot..maybe even shed a tear. Great post, I've got my fingers crossed for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 The guy next door has 18"-24" in his front yard...anywhere from 3-10" in the backyard lol. Even if I don't torch, it well just be random patches in shaded areas. Maybe areas more suburban will hold onto some snow, but a lot of it is down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 There's way too much snow in interior areas between 128 and 495 west of Boston to melt completely. Not happenin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Good post Nick for the convective potential tomorrow. Tomorrow is going to be a real fun day around here weather wise. Flooding could be a bit of an issue in some spots, one thing for certain is while work has been done to remove snow from storm drains I'm not sure how much work has been done to remove snow around storm drains. I know here there is still a ton of snow around them, all they have is a huge hole just above them so runoff is just going to go into the snow. With temps potentially getting into the 50's tomorrow with dewpoints into the 40's and heavy rainfall there should be a decent amount of snow melt too and with the potential for 1-2''...perhaps 3'' of rainfall flooding could be a bit of an issue, especially in the locations that are usually susceptible to flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Even if I don't torch, it well just be random patches in shaded areas. Maybe areas more surburban will hold into some snow, but a lot of it is down the drain. It's going to be warm here, I'll probably lose most of it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 It's going to be warm here, I'll probably lose most of it too. Tomorrow's event will be fantastic to observe the RUT-PVD differences... Is anyone taken notice to that potential severe next week. That is a whopper warm punch across the area, with significant mid level dynamics then nosing in just ahead of sharp cold front/pressure trough... That has a squalline written all over it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Updated map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Updated map: Being a little gun-shy there, Sam. j/k. I'm hopeful we might get a surprise blue bomb. 30.8/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 There's way too much snow in interior areas between 128 and 495 west of Boston to melt completely. Not happenin' Solid ice, just solid ice, much will runoff rather than be absorbed until it softens, not that high of low ground temps, just above the pack will be much colder until the dews rise if they do.IDK but very interesting hydrologic study for me this next seven days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Tomorrow's event will be fantastic to observe the RUT-PVD differences... Is anyone taken notice to that potential severe next week. That is a whopper warm punch across the area, with significant mid level dynamics then nosing in just ahead of sharp cold front/pressure trough... That has a squalline written all over it... I made a little noter about that in my severe wx thread I said I wish we see that type of setup again in late May or early June b/c that's a pretty ripe setup for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Updated map: Interesting map. I don't like it, but it's interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Tomorrow's event will be fantastic to observe the RUT-PVD differences... Is anyone taken notice to that potential severe next week. That is a whopper warm punch across the area, with significant mid level dynamics then nosing in just ahead of sharp cold front/pressure trough... That has a squalline written all over it... BOX mentions it in their discussion but mainly regarding the high wind potential at 35-40 kt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Being a little gun-shy there, Sam. j/k. I'm hopeful we might get a surprise blue bomb. 30.8/4 Certainly high bust potential on the low side for NW MA into SW NH. Model guidance has been threatening an isothermal snow bomb for a few runs now, so something to be wary of. But we need to keep in mind we have a closed 700hPa low tracking from upstate NY into northern NH. I still think 6+ will be confined to mainly north of RUT-IZG-AUG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Solid ice, just solid ice, much will runoff rather than be absorbed until it softens, not that high of low ground temps, just above the pack will be much colder until the dews rise if they do.IDK but very interesting hydrologic study for me this next seven days. I agree, esp avoiding strong winds ....cold dense air is still locked in at sfc. The snowpack is too solid (shaded areas esp) to disappear or absorb. Was driving around Maynard/Sudbury, Acton, Concord MA this AM and there is still easily 12-18" in shaded areas. Sunny areas have taken a serious beating, though. 2-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Tomorrow's event will be fantastic to observe the RUT-PVD differences... Is anyone taken notice to that potential severe next week. That is a whopper warm punch across the area, with significant mid level dynamics then nosing in just ahead of sharp cold front/pressure trough... That has a squalline written all over it... Been talking about that threat for a few days. Strong southerly LLJ along with major mid level dynamics moving through SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Certainly high bust potential on the low side for NW MA into SW NH. Model guidance has been threatening an isothermal snow bomb for a few runs now, so something to be wary of. But we need to keep in mind we have a closed 700hPa low tracking from upstate NY into northern NH. I still think 6+ will be confined to mainly north of RUT-IZG-AUG Regardless of what transpires here, that looks like one big ol' rainstorm coming Monday. Between that, tomorrow, and the stuff on the ground, not too much concern about an early drought. Moldy basements on the other hand...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Just measured 16-17" on the ground, pretty much evenly It has receded a good deal away from the driveway/road, etc quite a bit Snowbanks from plows etc are half of what they once were... my snowpack will be half of what it once was come Monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Just measured 16-17" on the ground, pretty much evenly It has receded a good deal away from the driveway/road, etc quite a bit Snowbanks from plows etc are half of what they once were... my snowpack will be half of what it once was come Monday night or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Interesting map. I don't like it, but it's interesting. You, Dryslot, and AUG all in the 2-4"? That's back where things were 2 days ago. (MBY is right under the line between 4-8 and 8-12; that's not too far off GYX, but points south - big diff.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 seems to me that the solution that the gfs had a couple of days ago was much closer to what will be happening than the euro depicted. i think this will be a sizable snowstorm and not that far north of the ma/nh border. certainly one to watch. I think in the end if the GFS/NAM scenarios today are close to reality you are right. The GFS was just as far SE as the Euro was NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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