Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Whole lotta precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 NAM Clown maps are interesting LOL at 6-8 IMBY I'm thinking .6-.8" snow .6-.8" rain then another .6-.8" snow at the end Michael row your boat ashore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 That rain may ripen the snowpack for floods early next week. I agree with Will in that most of the areas west of 495 and north of CT should be in the 30s. That snow will absorb a lot of the rain, but man that's going to be ripe for a big meltdown, possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 That rain may ripen the snowpack for floods early next week. I agree with Will in that most of the areas west of 495 and north of CT should be in the 30s. That snow will absorb a lot of the rain, but man that's going to be ripe for a big meltdown, possibly. Yeah, Monday might be a bigger issue for that than Friday. Flusssshhhhhhh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 3-4" for us before 12z and changeover? Lol..Idk about that. I could see an inch or something. Some of that includes the Sunday event. Here's what falls just from this event (including any brief change on the back end) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 That rain may ripen the snowpack for floods early next week. I agree with Will in that most of the areas west of 495 and north of CT should be in the 30s. That snow will absorb a lot of the rain, but man that's going to be ripe for a big meltdown, possibly. Yeppers that is if the clipper on Sunday does not intensify and disrupt the flow, we could see arepeat of tomorrow with the winds too. But that flood stuff is for the other thread. Pickles might undestand Ripe by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 That rain may ripen the snowpack for floods early next week. I agree with Will in that most of the areas west of 495 and north of CT should be in the 30s. That snow will absorb a lot of the rain, but man that's going to be ripe for a big meltdown, possibly. Down there probably.. up here there's only about 6-8 inches of crust.. I'm hoping everything is melted by sat morning.. where if we get 2 inches of rain.. could happen Bring on spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Some of that includes the Sunday event. Here's what falls just from this event (including any brief change on the back end) oh thanks...that makes more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 So that .5'' of QPF on the GFS after temps seemingly cool isn't snow? BL is too rotten at that point? Bump. Im curious too, tryingto learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Bump. Im curious too, tryingto learn. GFS has it cold enough for snow (including BL) by 36h for ASH to ORH...but you can't include the precip you see on the map at 36h because that is precip that falls before 36h. Maybe the very end of that 6h precip falls as snow but most falls as rain. The qpf between 36-42h (whatever is shown on the 6h 42 panel) is all snow. So its probably more like a 1-2" snow burst at the end. Maybe 3" if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'm actually getting excited....12+ seems possible here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS actually has a brief comma head coming through after 00z. Could be an inch or so for some..maybe two nw?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS has it cold enough for snow (including BL) by 36h for ASH to ORH...but you can't include the precip you see on the map at 36h because that is precip that falls before 36h. Maybe the very end of that 6h precip falls as snow but most falls as rain. The qpf between 36-42h (whatever is shown on the 6h 42 panel) is all snow. So its probably more like a 1-2" snow burst at the end. Maybe 3" if lucky. ok thanks. Heres the gfs snow depth map through 48 hours. 12" down to NH border and like 5 in ORH? Is this supposed include previous depth?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS has it cold enough for snow (including BL) by 36h for ASH to ORH...but you can't include the precip you see on the map at 36h because that is precip that falls before 36h. Maybe the very end of that 6h precip falls as snow but most falls as rain. The qpf between 36-42h (whatever is shown on the 6h 42 panel) is all snow. So its probably more like a 1-2" snow burst at the end. Maybe 3" if lucky. I had though about that. Maybe if we get 2'' on the front end and 2'' on the back end we can call it an advisory event . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 3-6 sunday for ct. nice trend last two runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Looks to me NAM and GFS want to give a general 1-2 inches of backend snows for most folks north and west of 95 and then in MASS even Bos gets some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Looks to me NAM and GFS want to give a general 1-2 inches of backend snows for most folks north and west of 95 and then in MASS even Bos gets some "Why are you looking at the useless GFS?" This has been 90% a rain event since Ray first mentioned it a week ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 "Why are you looking at the useless GFS?" This has been 90% a rain event since Ray first mentioned it a week ago seems to me that the solution that the gfs had a couple of days ago was much closer to what will be happening than the euro depicted. i think this will be a sizable snowstorm and not that far north of the ma/nh border. certainly one to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 "Why are you looking at the useless GFS?" This has been 90% a rain event since Ray first mentioned it a week ago You're gonna end up with a net gain out of this..front and backend snow..with rain and 33-34 in the middle..congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 12z nam looks weak for the clipper Sunday. 1-3" region wide. It's not really a clipper - not sure where this distinction is origined... That is much more overrunning in nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 You're gonna end up with a net gain out of this..front and backend snow..with rain and 33-34 in the middle..congrats I'll measure my pack later today. Expecting a small loss by the time this is done Friday, but a gain Sunday, then another loss Monday Wheels on the bus... It is so nice out 31.1F and blue skie... clouds incoming though Is Will thinking icing still a concern anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 oh thanks...that makes more sense. Stills shows 6-8" for some one. 30.2/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Going to be quite the difference between the have's (Ray, Will, Kev) and the have not's (Me), by Saturday, in terms of snowpack.. Hopefully a nice covering Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 oh thanks...that makes more sense. Map reading FYL the map I posted does say 84 hr total. Getting out of practice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I dunno - the more I look at this thing from CEF to FIT could be surprised here... Starting to visualize a potential for that band beginning this thing as light snow/ip, flipping to moderate rain for and hour or two, then parachuting to 1/4 mi vis or less for several hours tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I dunno - the more I look at this thing from CEF to FIT could be surprised here... Starting to visualize a potential for that band beginning this thing as light snow/ip, flipping to moderate rain for and hour or two, then parachuting to 1/4 mi vis or less for several hours tomorrow evening. Either way, a lot to track tommorow with the wind, heavy rain, snow/rain line, heavy snow, should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Wish I could close my eyes and wake up Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Wish I could close my eyes and wake up Sunday. NO DOUBT!! I Just hope this thing moves along, nightmares from flooding last march, Sunday looks fantastic down here, getting excited! What a crazy weather pattern, 50's 2-3 inches of rain gusts to 60, snow sunday and epic cutter and intergalacticmegatorch next week, the roller coaster is here hop on for the ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Wish I could close my eyes and wake up Sunday. Double dose Ambien? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well--whatever this system brings, it's on its way. Clouds coming in rapidly. Temp down to 29.9/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.