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Feb 25 Obs/disco


CoastalWx

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Nice! I gained 3.5" before the final flip. You think we will change back over this afternoon/evening?

Plow went by, but I am not going to fire up the snowblower for this, unless we get a good deal more later

I'm cleaning it right now, otherwise it'll go from 3'' of paste to 3'' of slush and standing water.

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Nice! I gained 3.5" before the final flip. You think we will change back over this afternoon/evening?

Plow went by, but I am not going to fire up the snowblower for this, unless we get a good deal more later

Unless you want a skating rink of 3.5 inches of slop frozen solid..topped off by 2-3 inches of snow tonight..you'd better get that cleared off now. It'll freeze solid in short order this evening

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NAM continues to say wagons south for clipper tomorrow night

post-492-0-01687500-1298645395.gif

I'm nervous about Sunday. The best stuff might be to the north, a couple of inches seems like a good start. It's possible the euro might be a little too far north too, but lets see what the 12z models do.

I think maybe an inch tonight for now. I'm never big on these backside things, but the dynamics seem to be there. That's going to be a nowcast. I could see something where we barely get a coating or perhaps over an inch.

I think you guys need to talk......

Meanhwile, worried about that big blob of yellow in northern b'shire and Hapmshire counties........

SN. 30.6/29

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They flipped to rain in the southwest Catskills ....at about the latitude of the Sheffield, MA (southern Berks). So that might be a guide post as to the latitude to look for a changeover.

SN here and 27.5F It seems to be pushing 7 inches now in depth.

es

I think you guys need to talk......

Meanhwile, worried about that big blob of yellow in northern b'shire and Hapmshire counties........

SN. 30.6/29

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The convective potential this afternoon for a small part of the reason is fairly intriguing, looks like the better chance may exist just to our south where those areas will get more into the warm sector but southern CT out across RI and into SE MA certainly may get into the warm sector as well, even if only for a brief amount of time. There is a great deal of forcing aloft and some great forcing from a very strong ML/UL jet. The dry slot just out ahead of the front is pretty evident and with temperatures cooling aloft this should continue to slowly generate some elevated instability.

Wouldn't be surprised if during the next SPC outlook we see the 2% TOR contour expanded northward to include all of southern CT/ parts of RI/SE MA and the 5% wind contour moved as well. I don't think we see the slight risk expanded as the better instability stays off to our south. The vicinity of the warm front is where to watch.

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The convective potential this afternoon for a small part of the reason is fairly intriguing, looks like the better chance may exist just to our south where those areas will get more into the warm sector but southern CT out across RI and into SE MA certainly may get into the warm sector as well, even if only for a brief amount of time. There is a great deal of forcing aloft and some great forcing from a very strong ML/UL jet. The dry slot just out ahead of the front is pretty evident and with temperatures cooling aloft this should continue to slowly generate some elevated instability.

Wouldn't be surprised if during the next SPC outlook we see the 2% TOR contour expanded northward to include all of southern CT/ parts of RI/SE MA and the 5% wind contour moved as well. I don't think we see the slight risk expanded as the better instability stays off to our south. The vicinity of the warm front is where to watch.

TOR in SNE in Feb... That would be awesome

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Aren't most cars up there in the county on blocks anyway.

Snicker. Cute.

Back to fact- No economic extremes in The County. Income levels are relatively low but relative to the rest of Maine they are evenly distributed.

Very little actual poverty as can be found in many of the sad hamlets distributed between the islands of wealth down state. Not many rich folk either.

I used to live in Carrabasset. The drive through New Vineyard or Athens, for examples, was depressing. Such disparity is not to be found up in Aroostook County.

Prosperous farms, efficient small businesses and the labor pool needed for them are the greater part of our economy.

Vim Toot!

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I'm hoping for a snownado up here

Thanksgiving 2005 on the Maine coast.

THANKSGIVING DAY TORNADO IN PHIPPSBURG CONFIRMED...

AFTER SURVEYING DAMAGE FROM THE THANKSGIVING DAY (NOV 24) STORMS IN

PHIPPSBURG, SAGADAHOC COUNTY, MAINE, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS

DETERMINED THAT DAMAGE WAS CAUSED BY A SMALL TORNADO.

THE TORNADO INITIALLY TOUCHED DOWN NEAR SMALL POINT ROAD ABOUT 1 PM

AND TRAVELLED NORTH ACROSS HERMIT ISLAND AND THEN ACROSS SMALL POINT

HARBOR WHERE THE TORNADO LIFTED OFF THE GROUND. THE TORNADO THEN

TOUCHED DOWN AGAIN BRIEFLY IN A WOODED AREA OFF WEST POINT ROAD

BEFORE DISSIPATING.

ALTHOUGH THE DAMAGE WAS DISCONTINUOUS...THE OVERALL PATH LENGTH OF

DAMAGE WAS ABOUT TWO MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF ABOUT 30 YARDS.

THE TORNADO INTENSITY WAS CLASSIFIED AS F1 ON THE FUJITA SCALE.

MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 100 MPH AND NEAR SMALL

POINT ROAD WHERE THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURRED. THE TORNADO KNOCKED

OVER NUMEROUS TREES AND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED SEVERAL BUILDINGS.

SEVERAL SUMMER HOMES WERE BLOWN OFF THEIR FOUNDATIONS.

MAINE AVERAGES ABOUT TWO TORNADOES A YEAR. THIS IS THE SECOND

CONFIRMED TORNADO IN MAINE FOR 2005. THE FIRST CONFIRMED TORNADO

OCCURRED OVER NORTH TWIN LAKE IN PENOBSCOT COUNTY ON AUGUST 1.

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TOR in SNE in Feb... That would be awesome

:lol:

Would be extremely, extremely rare...in fact I don't think there has ever been a confirmed tornado in SNE during the month of February. NY/PA have had 1 and NJ has had 4 of them. I doubt we see any today but if one were to happen NJ would be the location based on how things look.

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Ahh you win some you lose some... I'll still get a solid plowable snowfall and its nice to see others in central New England are now able to partake.

I feel really bad for OrganizingLow as it looks like his area may not see a flake when they were close to .5" of QPF yesterday.

I still have hope for some rouge low-ratio snow band and in the mountains here ya never know... the low level wind direction and moisture could line up perfectly to bring more snow than what first meets the eye on the models. Particularly on the backside of this.

we are actually snowing now, started about an hour ago

1/2 mile visibility

we'll proably get about an inch or so

looks like the 'northernmost' heavy band will pass from BUF-ROC-ART-BTV

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Thanksgiving 2005 on the Maine coast.

THANKSGIVING DAY TORNADO IN PHIPPSBURG CONFIRMED...

AFTER SURVEYING DAMAGE FROM THE THANKSGIVING DAY (NOV 24) STORMS IN

PHIPPSBURG, SAGADAHOC COUNTY, MAINE, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS

DETERMINED THAT DAMAGE WAS CAUSED BY A SMALL TORNADO.

THE TORNADO INITIALLY TOUCHED DOWN NEAR SMALL POINT ROAD ABOUT 1 PM

AND TRAVELLED NORTH ACROSS HERMIT ISLAND AND THEN ACROSS SMALL POINT

HARBOR WHERE THE TORNADO LIFTED OFF THE GROUND. THE TORNADO THEN

TOUCHED DOWN AGAIN BRIEFLY IN A WOODED AREA OFF WEST POINT ROAD

BEFORE DISSIPATING.

ALTHOUGH THE DAMAGE WAS DISCONTINUOUS...THE OVERALL PATH LENGTH OF

DAMAGE WAS ABOUT TWO MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF ABOUT 30 YARDS.

THE TORNADO INTENSITY WAS CLASSIFIED AS F1 ON THE FUJITA SCALE.

MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 100 MPH AND NEAR SMALL

POINT ROAD WHERE THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURRED. THE TORNADO KNOCKED

OVER NUMEROUS TREES AND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED SEVERAL BUILDINGS.

SEVERAL SUMMER HOMES WERE BLOWN OFF THEIR FOUNDATIONS.

MAINE AVERAGES ABOUT TWO TORNADOES A YEAR. THIS IS THE SECOND

CONFIRMED TORNADO IN MAINE FOR 2005. THE FIRST CONFIRMED TORNADO

OCCURRED OVER NORTH TWIN LAKE IN PENOBSCOT COUNTY ON AUGUST 1.

A friend of mine down peninsula got pics of that tornado. Her garage was damaged, and had several trees knocked over.

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Is it decent on the Canadian side around Edmundston etc? I know up here in the outermost reaches of Upstate NY ...you can always drive over the border into Ontario and see more affluence. :rolleyes:

Snicker. Cute.

Back to fact- No economic extremes in The County. Income levels are relatively low but relative to the rest of Maine they are evenly distributed.

Very little actual poverty as can be found in many of the sad hamlets distributed between the islands of wealth down state. Not many rich folk either.

I used to live in Carrabasset. The drive through New Vineyard or Athens, for examples, was depressing. Such disparity is not to be found up in Aroostook County.

Prosperous farms, efficient small businesses and the labor pool needed for them are the greater part of our economy.

Vim Toot!

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They flipped to rain in the southwest Catskills ....at about the latitude of the Sheffield, MA (southern Berks). So that might be a guide post as to the latitude to look for a changeover.

SN here and 27.5F It seems to be pushing 7 inches now in depth.

es

Plain rain here in Lenox, MA just south of the Pittsfield line. Unfortunately, rain/snow line is definitely at least halfway north through the Berks...

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Thanksgiving 2005 on the Maine coast.

THANKSGIVING DAY TORNADO IN PHIPPSBURG CONFIRMED...

AFTER SURVEYING DAMAGE FROM THE THANKSGIVING DAY (NOV 24) STORMS IN

PHIPPSBURG, SAGADAHOC COUNTY, MAINE, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS

DETERMINED THAT DAMAGE WAS CAUSED BY A SMALL TORNADO.

THE TORNADO INITIALLY TOUCHED DOWN NEAR SMALL POINT ROAD ABOUT 1 PM

AND TRAVELLED NORTH ACROSS HERMIT ISLAND AND THEN ACROSS SMALL POINT

HARBOR WHERE THE TORNADO LIFTED OFF THE GROUND. THE TORNADO THEN

TOUCHED DOWN AGAIN BRIEFLY IN A WOODED AREA OFF WEST POINT ROAD

BEFORE DISSIPATING.

ALTHOUGH THE DAMAGE WAS DISCONTINUOUS...THE OVERALL PATH LENGTH OF

DAMAGE WAS ABOUT TWO MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF ABOUT 30 YARDS.

THE TORNADO INTENSITY WAS CLASSIFIED AS F1 ON THE FUJITA SCALE.

MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 100 MPH AND NEAR SMALL

POINT ROAD WHERE THE GREATEST DAMAGE OCCURRED. THE TORNADO KNOCKED

OVER NUMEROUS TREES AND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED SEVERAL BUILDINGS.

SEVERAL SUMMER HOMES WERE BLOWN OFF THEIR FOUNDATIONS.

MAINE AVERAGES ABOUT TWO TORNADOES A YEAR. THIS IS THE SECOND

CONFIRMED TORNADO IN MAINE FOR 2005. THE FIRST CONFIRMED TORNADO

OCCURRED OVER NORTH TWIN LAKE IN PENOBSCOT COUNTY ON AUGUST 1.

That's insane. Secondary severe season FTW

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