40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 We can always dream it scored a coup 8" for me, 13" for Lowell and Dom is nude with 15"...lock it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 3-4" for you. idk .. I like the latitude up here, but I think even if it does rip around 12z it will be 33-34 and not really amount to a whole lot. Although I do respect your local climo knowledge too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 idk .. I like the latitude up here, but I think even if it does rip around 12z it will be 33-34 and not really amount to a whole lot. Although I do respect your local climo knowledge too I'm of the opinion that we should be under a Winter wx ADV. 33.1\30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 that map seems to have picked up on nzuckers elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 that map seems to have picked up on nzuckers elevation I think its about 800' at the peak of his tube socks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 that map seems to have picked up on nzuckers elevation Well his hill is less than a kilometer so it can't see it...if it could, there would easily be a round circle of 8"+ over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 that map seems to have picked up on nzuckers elevation Nzucker is at 10,000 feet, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 R/S line should come further south at least temporarily as the heavier stuff to the SW moves in int he next 2-3 hours. At least that's the way most models have it. I'm glad to see MSV in SE NY go to 1 SM and 30F (they are over 1000 feet) as the good precip moved in. They don't report weather but its almost guaranteed with that vis drop and temp that they went to steady snow. They are the same latitude as about Kevin roughly. Good observation on your part re: the good stuff bring down the VSBY at MSV. That would seem snow .. esp. at that el. nice dendrites here now. Light snow intensity. Feeling like I'm getting more than I expected on the leading edge as snow. All trees white. I'll be back in 2 hours when heavier stuff moves in. I'm wondering what Kev is going to get on Mt. Tolland. He is south of Us. However, has the elevation too. You are @250' higher than me and 12 SM NE . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I think we're being silly here. With this kind of surface low track, it's going to snow. Especially with anybody that has elevation. At my house in Dobbs Ferry, there is a good chance of snow as we are at 400ft. If that doesn't work, I will go to my house in the Poconos. We have 1500' elevation there. If that doesnt work I will probably go to my house in Vermont. We have 2500' elevation there. If that doesn't work, I will probably go to my house at the top of Mount Everest. Either way, this surface low track is conducive to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I think we're being silly here. With this kind of surface low track, it's going to snow. Especially with anybody that has elevation. At my house in Dobbs Ferry, there is a good chance of snow as we are at 400ft. If that doesn't work, I will go to my house in the Poconos. We have 1500' elevation there. If that doesnt work I will probably go to my house in Vermont. We have 2500' elevation there. If that doesn't work, I will probably go to my house at the top of Mount Everest. Either way, this surface low track is conducive to snow. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I think we're being silly here. With this kind of surface low track, it's going to snow. Especially with anybody that has elevation. At my house in Dobbs Ferry, there is a good chance of snow as we are at 400ft. If that doesn't work, I will go to my house in the Poconos. We have 1500' elevation there. If that doesnt work I will probably go to my house in Vermont. We have 2500' elevation there. If that doesn't work, I will probably go to my house at the top of Mount Everest. Either way, this surface low track is conducive to snow. A sfc track over SE MA never gives me rain....ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I think we're being silly here. With this kind of surface low track, it's going to snow. Especially with anybody that has elevation. At my house in Dobbs Ferry, there is a good chance of snow as we are at 400ft. If that doesn't work, I will go to my house in the Poconos. We have 1500' elevation there. If that doesnt work I will probably go to my house in Vermont. We have 2500' elevation there. If that doesn't work, I will probably go to my house at the top of Mount Everest. Either way, this surface low track is conducive to snow. Hilarious, hahahahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Well his hill is less than a kilometer so it can't see it...if it could, there would easily be a round circle of 8"+ over it. If the PNA weren't so negative, then it would have seen it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 If the PNA weren't so negative, then it would have seen it. It's literally amazing how the GEFS means have persistent -18 or more height anomalies along the west coast from 00 hours through 384 hours. It's becoming nearly as anomalous a feature as the high latitude blocking was from late Dec through Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 8" for me, 13" for Lowell and Dom is nude with 15"...lock it. These clown maps remind me of the junk hi-res models in the intermountain W. If these models were right valleys in the mountains would never see precipitation--ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Good observation on your part re: the good stuff bring down the VSBY at MSV. That would seem snow .. esp. at that el. nice dendrites here now. Light snow intensity. Feeling like I'm getting more than I expected on the leading edge as snow. All trees white. I'll be back in 2 hours when heavier stuff moves in. I'm wondering what Kev is going to get on Mt. Tolland. He is south of Us. However, has the elevation too. You are @250' higher than me and 12 SM NE . How much $ money would it take for me to purchase that hat tha tyou kept tipping at the gtg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 These clown maps remind me of the junk hi-res models in the intermountain W. If these models were right valleys in the mountains would never see precipitation--ever. Yeah, the high res clown maps can be ridiculous. They've given me more than 20 inches of imaginary snow at a 12 hour lead time. I'm still waiting for that to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 It's literally amazing how the GEFS means have persistent -18 or more height anomalies along the west coast from 00 hours through 384 hours. It's becoming nearly as anomalous a feature as the high latitude blocking was from late Dec through Jan Hopefully I can get away with it at 950 feet...might not be as lucky as socks at 370 feet though 125 miles to the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Front end totals: KORH: 4.2" imby: 1.6" ray: 2.1" ct blizzy: T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 33.0\30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Yeah, the high res clown maps can be ridiculous. They've given me more than 20 inches of imaginary snow at a 12 hour lead time. I'm still waiting for that to fall. When that happens our career as mets is over and I will bow down to full automation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 When that happens our career as mets is over and I will bow down to full automation. Who are we kidding...our career as meteorologists is just beginning. In a few months the budget cuts will force NCEP to can the GFS and bring back the NGM. Which means more accurate MOS data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 32.9\30 Nice dropage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I don't know if I can ever trust the NAM again after it busted too low by 21 degrees (not a typo) on 2m temps during the torch last week...two days in a row. Seriously? Is it that bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Who are we kidding...our career as meteorologists is just beginning. In a few months the budget cuts will force NCEP to can the GFS and bring back the NGM. Which means more accurate MOS data. NGM or bust. I can't wait to get my hands on the revived NGM. Heck--we can even bring back the LFM and the MM5 could have a revival as the de facto mesoscale model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 NGM or bust. I can't wait to get my hands on the revived NGM. Heck--we can even bring back the LFM and the MM5 ]could have a revival as the de facto mesoscale model. FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Rain/snow mix with this stuff. That sucks. Was expecting to see larger flakes come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 FTW So who wins a place in your heart--ETA or MM5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 850 WAA nose is still to the southwest a bit. It's moving at a good speed but you guys could get advisory stuff to the north if you can get better lift going now..which seems to be the case given the latest radar imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 How much $ money would it take for me to purchase that hat tha tyou kept tipping at the gtg Hmm... we could get a snowfall guess for the season.. and if your closer, I'd have to give it to you. If you lose, you have to have your gf measure snow before eason is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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