CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 The NAM is pretty unstable at 00z tomorrow (well Saturday)..lol. It almost implies a few rumbles with the H5 vortmax moving through. It's also crushing for Brian and Jay up in IZG area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Seems to be more energetic with the Sunday event also .. at least thru 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Of course the NAM pulled this stunt in Feb. last season...squashing spruces in the 00z run the night of the event, and we all know how that turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 The NAM is pretty unstable at 00z tomorrow (well Saturday)..lol. It almost implies a few rumbles with the H5 vortmax moving through. It's also crushing for Brian and Jay up in IZG area. The vortmax actually takes a great snow track for SNE coming through central PA over to NYC and just off to our south...its just that we had an eroded airmass in place and couldn't keep the WAA in check much at all or had no room to withstand it, so we see the snow a bit further north, but as the vortmax makes its pass at our longitude, we should see an enhanced area on the back end that could give a nice little burst of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 8-12'' of power punishing paste. Holy sh*t. Pumped for the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Holy sh*t. Pumped for the gfs. Well the GFS has rained past Brian and drives the low into the heart of SNE, so I wouldn't expect much. I want to see if the 00z Euro has a last second shift as it was damn close at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 off to dormwars... basketball round 2... wish me luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Well the GFS has rained past Brian and drives the low into the heart of SNE, so I wouldn't expect much. I want to see if the 00z Euro has a last second shift as it was damn close at 12z. Ill stay up for the gfs, but not the euro. I want to enjoy whatever falls from 7 am on so I'll be asleep by 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 00Z NAM looks great for the Berkshires and GC. Looks like a few hours of taint south of the Pike, but PSF should be mostly, if not all wet snow if the NAM were to verify verbatim. What looked like a miserable cold rain, could very turn out to be a textbook wet snow bomb with warning criteria snow for PSF, AQW, and ORE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 The vortmax actually takes a great snow track for SNE coming through central PA over to NYC and just off to our south...its just that we had an eroded airmass in place and couldn't keep the WAA in check much at all or had no room to withstand it, so we see the snow a bit further north, but as the vortmax makes its pass at our longitude, we should see an enhanced area on the back end that could give a nice little burst of snow. That's funny you noticed that too. If you were to blindfold me without knowing the situation, and then just show me H5... I wouldn't have thought a track over se mass. I hope it works out for you, because I'm ready to bust out a youtube tstm clip...Dec '96 style. I guess we'll see what the rest of the suite does, but if actual obs are any say out by Memphis...there may be some truth. But, gotta keep things in check and not let the NAM suck you guys in until the other runs come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 The vortmax actually takes a great snow track for SNE coming through central PA over to NYC and just off to our south...its just that we had an eroded airmass in place and couldn't keep the WAA in check much at all or had no room to withstand it, so we see the snow a bit further north, but as the vortmax makes its pass at our longitude, we should see an enhanced area on the back end that could give a nice little burst of snow. Imagine, if it was only colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I'd be pretty happy with the NAM even if I'd be pretty jealous of Hunchback and company just to my NW. I'd take 4-6" on the front end in a heartbeat with more on the back end and possibly some marginal ice or sleet in between. It would be a net gain easily. I'm not sure I buy how cold the NAM is, but the trend has been colder all afternoon...and the usually torching RUC (beyond 6h) is snowing here at 12z tomorrow morning. So the shift might be real....and I do think there mught be a very thin band of some icing. But it probably wont remain stationary...though could settle in one spot for a few hours. That happened believe it or not on the 3/31/01 event...even that late in the year during the day time. It's all about the looks... I was skiing... what has happened? 4-6" on my front end? Is my rear end looking white as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Sunday looking really nice up here. Big improvement from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 00Z NAM looks great for the Berkshires and GC. Looks like a few hours of taint south of the Pike, but PSF should be mostly, if not all wet snow if the NAM were to verify verbatim. What looked like a miserable cold rain, could very turn out to be a textbook wet snow bomb with warning criteria snow for PSF, AQW, and ORE. Spent the last 45 minutes at 2k this afternoon battening down the hatches, had a feeling this could happen. Hope it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 NAM is pretty nice for Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 LOL so after all was said and done this DID end up pretty far SE. Here's the thing...one more shift like this SE in the next run at 6z and a lot of you get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 7 tornado warnings on my radarscope, 38 warnings in total for heavy heavy weather. Big time storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 wow Keene could get pasted pretty good. Plymouth might even do alright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 wow Keene could get pasted pretty good. Plymouth might even do alright again with the wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 NAM is pretty nice for Sunday! Big Winter incoming. Big Big Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 NAM is pretty nice for Sunday! An icy cold rain for us on the NAM, Jerry. Maybe a nice pasty wet snow to end the day tomorrow...followed by a few inches Sunday hopefully. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 LOL so after all was said and done this DID end up pretty far SE. Here's the thing...one more shift like this SE in the next run at 6z and a lot of you get buried. Man that would be the irony of all ironies would be a final solution like the GFS had the other days when it was trashed into waste management bins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 LOL...banging the NAM right now...if only I had confidence in it The trend is your friend, I guess though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 An icy cold rain for us on the NAM, Jerry. Maybe a nice pasty wet snow to end the day tomorrow...followed by a few inches Sunday hopefully. Not bad. scott where do you imagine the S/R line at like 5-6 am tommorrow? commute from w. framingham over and up toward stoneham, ma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Joe!!! Nice work brother. The canal call, the south call, the 9" GC call. You might get the trifecta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 scott where do you imagine the S/R line at like 5-6 am tommorrow? commute from w. framingham over and up toward stoneham, ma. Could very close to that line from your area to Stoneham. I wouldn't necessarily lock that in, but I would keep the notion of some sort of snow or mix possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 After John's posts about TCU and girls in Daisy Dukes, he's probably going to pass out looking at the FOUS data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Man that would be the irony of all ironies would be a final solution like the GFS had the other days when it was trashed into waste management bins. GFS is my favorite model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 An icy cold rain for us on the NAM, Jerry. Maybe a nice pasty wet snow to end the day tomorrow...followed by a few inches Sunday hopefully. Not bad. Crazy...NAM doesn't make it out of the L-M30S during the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Fu k in knew it. this sucks. this winter won't die! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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