mattb65 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Every rip and readers favorite model continues advertising a 3-5 inch snow event for Saturday night You've gotta be pumped that it also looks good on the euro too but I think that threat is for the other thread (which is obscenely long anyways) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Every rip and readers favorite model continues advertising a 3-5 inch snow event for Saturday night Hopefully we can grab a few more like it. I'm not gonna back down from my March call, but I have admittedly become nervous. 20-35" more is what I am on record as expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Just had 5 minutes of light sleet/snow mix shower. Ayer, 37/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Hopefully we can grab a few more like it. I'm not gonna back down from my March call, but I have admittedly become nervous. 20-35" more is what I am on record as expecting. Euro ensembles say we have to wait till about MArch 8th or so . We may be able to sneak another clipper in there mid week next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I have 0 recollection of that taking place....shows you how completely checked out I was, by that point. Haha, absolutely no one knew it happened or was happening. I remember posting pictures of like 18" of snow and people who by that time were only checking in once every few days where like WTF? It really only effected NNE, and even more localized it was primarily the upslope regions because thermal profiles were so marginal, that the added upslope flow cooling was just enough to deliver a snow bomb to northern VT. Even BTV down near the lake-shore got 5-6" though which was impressive given the time of year. We lost power in that one from trees that had already leafed out thanks to the warm/nice March/April weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Euro ensembles say we have to wait till about MArch 8th or so . We may be able to sneak another clipper in there mid week next week. They're not showing the best pattern even at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 It would be awful if I JUST scrape another 3.6" together to lose the bet, at the 11th hour of Feb, then March still blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well--they were tapping trees today. Sure sign of spring. Edit: actuallya sign of late winter, but just the same....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Haha, absolutely no one knew it happened or was happening. I remember posting pictures of like 18" of snow and people who by that time were only checking in once every few days where like WTF? It really only effected NNE, and even more localized it was primarily the upslope regions because thermal profiles were so marginal, that the added upslope flow cooling was just enough to deliver a snow bomb to northern VT. Even BTV down near the lake-shore got 5-6" though which was impressive given the time of year. We lost power in that one from trees that had already leafed out thanks to the warm/nice March/April weather. Latest I have ever seen any accumulation was about the 3rd week of May in 2002....about an inch of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well--they were tapping trees today. Sure sign of spring. Edit: actuallya sign of late winter, but just the same....... Good catch...you would have incurred Pete's wrath lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Moderate graupel actually have a dusting on the deck now 36/28 good luck to those up north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 It would be awful if I JUST scrape another 3.6" together to lose the best, at the 11th hour of Feb, then March still blows. I'll take anything I can get at this point. I'll cherish Sunday like nothing else when it happens. The clock is ticking, except for one particular person that likens his climate to Mt Rainier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'll take anything I can get at this point. I'll cherish Sunday like nothing else when it happens. The clock is ticking, except for one particular person that likens his climate to Mt Rainier. I have some jackpot potential in that, I think....haven't studied it very closely... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well--they were tapping trees today. Sure sign of spring. Edit: actuallya sign of late winter, but just the same....... Saw my first buckets attached to trees today also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 I have some jackpot potential in that, I think....haven't studied it very closely... It's possible. I'd favor maybe I-90 north right now, and maybe down near the Cape if it redevelops quickly. It might be something with a little OES and CF action from what I see....a little bit of one or the other...perhaps both. It could still get squashed south too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Haha, absolutely no one knew it happened or was happening. I remember posting pictures of like 18" of snow and people who by that time were only checking in once every few days where like WTF? It really only effected NNE, and even more localized it was primarily the upslope regions because thermal profiles were so marginal, that the added upslope flow cooling was just enough to deliver a snow bomb to northern VT. Even BTV down near the lake-shore got 5-6" though which was impressive given the time of year. We lost power in that one from trees that had already leafed out thanks to the warm/nice March/April weather. I went to a maple farm up there the farmer there said that storm really ruined the maple trees up around killington and at high elevation in general since it had been pushing 70-80 in the week before that. That the same storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Man it's scary watching what's going on in nrn Africa and the Middle East. Gas prices FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 It's possible. I'd favor maybe I-90 north right now, and maybe down near the Cape if it redevelops quickly. It might be something with a little OES and CF action from what I see....a little bit of one or the other...perhaps both. It could still get squashed south too. I think quite a few would just give up and hang themselves. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Latest I have ever seen any accumulation was about the 3rd week of May in 2002....about an inch of slop. Same here... I just finishing high school and I remember we had 2.2" at ALB during that one. May 18, 2002. That's a day that I'll always remember. I went cross country skiing in 6-8" that fell up near Logan11's house at over 1,200ft in Thatcher State Park. They had to plow the roads up there, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I went to a maple farm up there the farmer there said that storm really ruined the maple trees up around killington and at high elevation in general since it had been pushing 70-80 in the week before that. That the same storm? No, it was one of the other May blizzards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Man it's scary watching what's going on in nrn Africa and the Middle East. Gas prices FTL. Yup.....Jotel stove and many, many trees waiting to be cut ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I went to a maple farm up there the farmer there said that storm really ruined the maple trees up around killington and at high elevation in general since it had been pushing 70-80 in the week before that. That the same storm? Yeah... it was cold with solid freezes at all elevations for a few days after that storm, too, and I think there was another mini-snow event in the mountains (probably some upslope inches) a couple days later. All the trees had leafed out fully up to over 2,000ft in elevation and then they all died in the bitter cold (for late April, early May) or got ripped off in the heavy wet snow. We had a thread dedicated to the tree damage back on EUSWX... some of the higher elevation hardwoods never really recovered last year with brown leaves straight through the summer. No, it was one of the other May blizzards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 No, it was one of the other May blizzards. I wouldn't be surprised. This is the opposite end of the seasons but I remember going up to franconia notch a few years ago in early september for a hike with a lady friend. Temperature in boston was mid-upper 50s and it looked like a great day out.. well we got up to the base of the hike and it's low 40s with some sleet/rain falling but I didn't really think anything of it. Of course this is before I discovered this community so I had no idea what to expect up there. Anyways, about half way up to the top it flips to some light wet snow which was really cool since you could start to look up the trail and see the trees gradually getting covered. We were definitely not quite prepared for those types of conditions but we stormed on anyways. Once we got above the tree line it was ripping pretty hard and we were in the clouds so it was hard to see anything. We managed to follow the cairns to the summit but I had forgotten my map and all the trail signs were completely iced over. I ended up taking the wrong trail down and ended up like 4-5 miles down the road from my car and it was starting to get dark. I managed to walk to the base of the big cannon ski lift and hitch a ride back with some friendly foreigners haha. I'm always surprised by how early and late it can snows at the higher elevations in the greens and whites. Definitely a hike I'll never forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Man it's scary watching what's going on in nrn Africa and the Middle East. Gas prices FTL. Which eventually means the price of everything FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 I think quite a few would just give up and hang themselves. LOL Well lets hope not. It's just a tough pattern right now. Huge NPAC ridge that is actually trying to tip east and force the cold south. It is, but the strong -PNA combined with the +NAO is just pumping up the se ridge. Cold and troughing forced into the Midwest for now. Should be one heck of a pattern for them. Classic Nina. Lets hope we can get the PNA to relax after the first week. It wants to, but models have been too aggressive with that. The pattern just seems stable right now and it's tough to dislodge large scale hemispheric patterns when they are stable. Perhaps it's something like getting the MJO to pulse east and force ridging over the west. There are signs of this happening on the MJO progs. Hopefully they're onto something. It's also little nuances in the flow too..like Will said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 +1... though its probably not going to be able to rival the 1-2 footer that this area got on April 29-30th last year. Only time I've legitimately had a "snowpack" in May in a lower elevation. Skied 21" of fresh pow on Mansfield the last day of April last year... the law of averages says we don't get another big April snowstorm up here this season; but the law of averages says we are due in March. I think I skied Wildcat for that one, I think that was last year. I have little doubt there will be a big March/April couplet for elevated areas from here up to NNE. Looking forward to a big day tomorrow. Go, Go, Go !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well, BOX's AFD says to temper your enthusiasm for Sunday: BUT LIGHT ENOUGH FOR AT MOST AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Well lets hope not. It's just a tough pattern right now. Huge NPAC ridge that is actually trying to tip east and force the cold south. It is, but the strong -PNA combined with the +NAO is just pumping up the se ridge. Cold and troughing forced into the Midwest for now. Should be one heck of a pattern for them. Classic Nina. Lets hope we can get the PNA to relax after the first week. It wants to, but models have been too aggressive with that. The pattern just seems stable right now and it's tough to dislodge large scale hemispheric patterns when they are stable. Perhaps it's something like getting the MJO to pulse east and force ridging over the west. There are signs of this happening on the MJO progs. Hopefully they're onto something. It's also little nuances in the flow too..like Will said. There seems to be a general rule that stable patterns last 4-6 weeks. Then, the pattern destabilizes and is replaced by a different pattern. This pattern changed right in the first few days of February...it would seem to make sense that we start to flip back to a more favorable regime by the second or possibly third week of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 these small convective elements of graupel are pretty cool! They last for a minute then totall shut off, then start again right away, very summer like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Same here... I just finishing high school and I remember we had 2.2" at ALB during that one. May 18, 2002. That's a day that I'll always remember. I went cross country skiing in 6-8" that fell up near Logan11's house at over 1,200ft in Thatcher State Park. They had to plow the roads up there, lol. One of the best events of that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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