SpartyOn Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 This convection rolling through Michigan is something else...SEMI watchers may wana step outside in a little while for a smoke or whatever. Check the radar if you haven't yet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 With GFS giving DET 0.39QPF, only a small north adjustment can make 3-5" snowfall a 4-8" snowfall...nothing more fun than last minute NW shifts (assuming that were to happen of course). Yeah I think a touch north of you guys would be the place to be, but it's going to be close. Any last minute bump south puts you in prime position. At the least you should get a period of very heavy snow following the changeover later tomorrow night. As much as I want another snow, it'd be nice for you guys to cash in on a 10"+ storm this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 SREF mean >1"/hr snow tomorrow night probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I didnt expect this front flare up tonight..I mean the models showed it..but why so intense..whats causing this> anyone? Small area of 60dbz entering Washtenaw county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 This convection rolling through Michigan is something else...SEMI watchers may wana step outside in a little while for a smoke or whatever. Check the radar if you haven't yet lol Well I dont smoke and I was going to hit the sack lol but that radar is something else. Per reports in SW MI its ALL snow despite reds/yellows on radar. Per Harry in BTL area some sick rates with this snowfall. Nice appetizer perhaps? Our snowpack has compacted to 8" though it still has 1.1" water content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Just got home. I see the RGEM is a nice hit here to NW indiana and Northern ohio. The GGEM is a bit more south. Going to be close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Yeah I think a touch north of you guys would be the place to be, but it's going to be close. Any last minute bump south puts you in prime position. At the least you should get a period of very heavy snow following the changeover later tomorrow night. As much as I want another snow, it'd be nice for you guys to cash in on a 10"+ storm this season. Yeah we'll get a period of good rates. We have some dry air to play with to try to wetbulb below zero in time for the bulk of the precip, but slight changes in the column will be huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
royalflush06 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 This convection rolling through Michigan is something else...SEMI watchers may wana step outside in a little while for a smoke or whatever. Check the radar if you haven't yet lol Well allready downstairs and smoking lol. Yeah this is real impressive on the radar your local is south east of me so let me know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 The clouds have that convective glow to them now (normally what you would see if thundersnow is approaching).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Out here in Canton, MI (western edge of Wayne), I'm eagerly awaiting that racing line of convective snow... under some 30dbz's and it's coming down at a decent clip... really hoping that the 55-60dbz line makes it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 The long range RUC continues to be well north of the rest of the guidance. Probably should be taken with a grain of salt lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 The clouds have that convective glow to them now (normally what you would see if thundersnow is approaching).... Lightning in the line http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/lightning/index_e.html?id=ON-GL#mapTop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Lightning in the line http://www.weatherof...id=ON-GL#mapTop Thank you very much!!! I hope it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 The long range RUC continues to be well north of the rest of the guidance. Probably should be taken with a grain of salt lol. Ya I've been watching this as well, the 0z GFS ensemble mean is a bit closer to the RUC but not close as in the RUC taking the sfc low just south of STL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Gonna be interesting to see what IND does with the watch. Really tough call especially for the northern row of counties. If anybody hits warning criteria for snow, it will be LAF to OKK, but of course it's highly dependent on the amount of mixing. Advisory may end up being a better option but it's very close either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Anyone think there may be a ZR threat with this one just south of where its all snow? I mean, both the NAM and GFS show over a .25 inch in places and the NAM has nearly .90 inches near KMIE. Im not sure what to expect here. Im thinking at the moment rain changing to ZR tomorrow night, then changing to snow Friday morning with maybe 2-4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 We'll see whats left of the band after it gets absorbed by the gigantic mountains in oakland county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Anyone think there may be a ZR threat with this one just south of where its all snow? I mean, both the NAM and GFS show over a .25 inch in places and the NAM has nearly .90 inches near KMIE. Im not sure what to expect here. Im thinking at the moment rain changing to ZR tomorrow night, then changing to snow Friday morning with maybe 2-4 inches. Yes, the model output is pretty bullish but the corridor is still up in the air. Winds won't be like the Groundhog event but it will be a bit breezy, so might be some issues depending on the amount of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 SEMI is getting hammered right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Don't see Chicago Storm around. Anybody up for doing EURO play by play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 SEMI is getting hammered right now Including yourself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Don't see Chicago Storm around. Anybody up for doing EURO play by play? Hour 24 low in North Central AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 It's out to 24. 1004 low in SW MO. A bit west so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Don't see Chicago Storm around. Anybody up for doing EURO play by play? Im here....will give u what it shows. hr 24 low in southern mo.....mod snow for kc-nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Including yourself? playing black ops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Hour 24 low in North Central AR It's out to 24. 1004 low in SW MO. A bit west so far. Im here....will give u what it shows. hr 24 low in southern mo.....mod snow for kc-nw I'll go with the 2/3 majority and say it's in MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 hr 30 low in souther indian.....mod snow up to perioria....light snow up to chi...also light snow laf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Geez the 4z RUC takes the sfc low directly over STL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 The 0z ECMWF is fairly similar to the 12z run track and strength wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'll go with the 2/3 majority and say it's in MO. Weird... Plymouth had this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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