snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS looks a little deeper through 24. Track doesn't look a ton different though so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 You get the 10pm broadcast of WIVB news? Cool. That's a pretty big jump north because when Don showed the microcast at 6pm it still fringed us. I actually watch it on their affiliated channel the CW23 that I get with rogers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS looks a little deeper through 24. Track doesn't look a ton different though so far. It's fairly similar tot he previous run. At times it's a tick north and others it's the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 0z GFS is stronger with the 850mb low at 30hr compared to the 0z NAM and 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I actually watch it on their affiliated channel the CW23 that I get with rogers I have Rogers too. What channel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I have Rogers too. What channel? 166 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 166 Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 0z GFS is stronger with the 850mb low at 30hr compared to the 0z NAM and 12z GFS. Yeah, better CCB precip than the 18z despite sfc track being fairly similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Thanks! Your welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 RGEM definitely trended north in the easternmost lakes over here....maybe about 25 miles or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 0z Ukie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 0z Ukie... Much closer to the OR rather than the last couple of runs, especially in Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 There's likely some thundersnow right now in Allegan County, Michigan (it could be some sleet mixed in there too). Quite the impressive surprise event, it should produce a quick 1-3". Well not necessarily a surprise, but it's overachieving so far. Interestingly enough the latest NAM and GFS shows a narrow stripe of .10"-25" over to Detroit and the NAM even has a .25-.50" bullseye over michsnowfreak. Via Harry it's the heaviest snow he's seen in a long time (heavier than the blizzard), and he's not even in the highest returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 2z RUC continues to be the most northwest of the guidance...not sure I buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 2z RUC continues to be the most northwest of the guidance...not sure I buy it. It did pretty well IMBY with the last storm, FWLIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 It did pretty well IMBY with the last storm, FWLIW Groundhog day, no doubt. But the last storm it was pretty far north with its axis of heaviest snow for several runs. It was almost RGEMesque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Wow, according to Wunderground's radar, there were some 60+ DBZ returns for a few frames near Allegan, MI! That's the kind of returns you see in juicy summertime thunderstorms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Wow, according to Wunderground's radar, there were some 60+ DBZ returns for a few frames near Allegan, MI! That's the kind of returns you see in juicy summertime thunderstorms! Has been some of the most intense snowfall i have seen in a long time here and have only ( Cant believe i am saying only but compared to that yeah ) had some 40dbz stuff pass through. Cant imagine what it must be like under those reds as i am near certain it is all snow. WOW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Has been some of the most intense snowfall i have seen in a long time here and have only ( Cant believe i am saying only but compared to that yeah ) had some 40dbz stuff pass through. Cant imagine what it must be like under those reds as i am near certain it is all snow. WOW.. Yep, assuming it's not sleet that's easily 3-4" per hour rates up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Yep, assuming it's not sleet that's easily 3-4" per hour rates up there. Pretty sure i would have had some sleet down this way if there was any sleet and i can say there was none. Granted stranger things have happened. Slacking off a bit here now. gonna go see how much fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'm thinking 2-3" for the QC. We are riding the far northern edge of the best precip here. It looks like the area from Quincy to Peoria/Springfield, through northern Indiana and northwest Ohio are in the best areas. Gonna be a close call for LAF, but I think they'll do pretty good after maybe starting out as rain/mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'm thinking 2-3" for the QC. We are riding the far northern edge of the best precip here. It looks like the area from Quincy to Peoria/Springfield, through northern Indiana and northwest Ohio are in the best areas. Gonna be a close call for LAF, but I think they'll do pretty good after maybe starting out as rain/mix. Yeah, going to have to be careful on the northern side of the precip up here. NAM, etc BUFKIT soundings have been showing a pretty stout dry layer that needs to be overcome. Probably going to be some heartbreak on the north side for a while. But, the good thing is, there's a prolonged period of 20 microbar or better lift bullseyed across the DGZ, so it may not take too long to overwhelm it in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 21z SREF mean 12hr snowfall FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS ensemble mean...a tick NW of the OP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Yeah, going to have to be careful on the northern side of the precip up here. NAM, etc BUFKIT soundings have been showing a pretty stout dry layer that needs to be overcome. Probably going to be some heartbreak on the north side for a while. But, the good thing is, there's a prolonged period of 20 microbar or better lift bullseyed across the DGZ, so it may not take too long to overwhelm it in some spots. Yeah it's going to be interesting. I'm hoping for a late northward bump, but chances are the new 00z models have this thing nailed down pretty good. I'd definitely feel better about things from PIA to LAF and DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'm thinking 2-3" for the QC. We are riding the far northern edge of the best precip here. It looks like the area from Quincy to Peoria/Springfield, through northern Indiana and northwest Ohio are in the best areas. Gonna be a close call for LAF, but I think they'll do pretty good after maybe starting out as rain/mix. I think we have a good chance to pick up several inches but I'd still rather be just north of here. I always hate being on the southern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS ensemble mean...a tick NW of the OP... getting close to the RUC's position while its in MO.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 WIth quite a bit of organized convection firing down S tomorrow this is going to be a fun one to watch develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 GFS ensemble mean...a tick NW of the OP... Hour 36 may be one of my favorite model images ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I think we have a good chance to pick up several inches but I'd still rather be just north of here. I always hate being on the southern edge. Yeah I think a touch north of you guys would be the place to be, but it's going to be close. Any last minute bump south puts you in prime position. At the least you should get a period of very heavy snow following the changeover later tomorrow night. As much as I want another snow, it'd be nice for you guys to cash in on a 10"+ storm this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.