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March 2011 general obs/discussion thread


snowstormcanuck

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I remember driving from Devil's Tower east to the Black Hills one summer vacation. Had a wx radio with me which had a svr storm warning ahead of us on our planned route. I made a detour based on the warning and later found out via AM radio that I avoided golf ball to baseball hail.

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If this does as forecast i think all thoughts of warmth/spring may wanna be put on the back burner.

bmo.mjo.latest.png

Usually takes the pattern/models a few days to respond once that comes out of the circle of death and gets moving along.

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More than half the exposed ground is bare now, so snow depth will be down to a trace tomorrow morning. After 79 days of 1"+ snowcover so far. Hope to hit 80 lol laugh.gif

Really like the looks of an active pattern and the mjo. Lets let 2010-11 keep moving on up in the snowy winters list!

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Even the King of freezanista's the Skilldog thinks 70 degree temps may be around the corner, perhaps that MJO swing into zone 1 may not occur....

Per Tom Skilling:

March 8, 2011 9:27 PMA "Panhandle Hook" low pressure system - vigorous and dripping with moisture -- is northeast-bound and its path will take it across northern Illinois by this evening. Colder air arrives here in the wake of the storm, and readings plunge to the upper 20s late tonight, suggesting that today's rain will end as some light snow and flurries tonight into Thursday.<br style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; "><br style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; ">Looking ahead, it's true that Chicago's weather doesn't turn warmer just because the calendar says it's supposed to, but the trend of temperatures is inexorably upward as we advance into spring. That said, on average Chicago experiences its first 70-degree day on March 26 -- 17 days from now. Medium-range computer models indicate a pattern of much higher temperatures across the Midwest one to two weeks from now, with the possibility of the season's first reading of 70 degrees on about March 18.Guitar you say....the smiley doesn't work for that outlook, a little Lemmy Killmeister will do though..

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0z ECMWF is a torch for Thurs/Fri next week.

60's for Thursday and 70's for Friday in Chicago.:sun:

That sounds really nice, be great to get out in the garden and start cutting back stuff. Probably another false spring but a step in the right direction.

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Euro is gonna get all our weenies hard only to get blue balled by NE winds next week.

Yeah you know that NE wind is a killer this time of year, not to mention those back door pneumonia fronts, but this looks like a very nice pattern coming up though, should get the greenup in full swing and the sh*tty golfers like myself into gear.

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