hm8 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Forecast high of 68* today...breakin' out the shorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 17, 2011 Author Share Posted March 17, 2011 GFS has overruning potential around D7, but with little model support I won't give it much thought yet. I just want a chance to kiss the snow goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Now the Euro indicates this potential with a rather large cold pool pressing in by D8 across the MW/Gl/OV/NE DET, for example: TUE 18Z 22-MAR 1.5 0.4 1016 84 94 0.29 560 547 WED 00Z 23-MAR -0.3 -0.3 1016 75 97 0.24 559 547 WED 06Z 23-MAR -0.9 -2.7 1012 82 100 0.19 556 547 WED 12Z 23-MAR -4.0 -2.4 1011 85 71 0.23 549 541 WED 18Z 23-MAR -3.8 -5.4 1013 78 83 0.05 546 535 THU 00Z 24-MAR -4.3 -9.6 1019 77 91 0.05 547 532 I just want a chance to kiss the snow goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Temps near 70F today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Temps near 70F today Winter will just rear its ugly head after we hit around 70, you know it has to. We cant get that spoiled without a back hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Wow, I look at the forecast and now see we could potentially be looking at temps approaching 70*F this afternon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Winter will just rear its ugly head after we hit around 70, you know it has to. We cant get that spoiled without a back hand Well it is Spring, so of course summer and winter will put up a good fight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Brrrr.. HPC PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 323 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2011 VALID 12Z MON MAR 21 2011 - 12Z THU MAR 24 2011 USED THE 00Z/17 ECMWF FOR THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7. THE EUROPEAN CENTRE GUIDANCE HAS HAD A RUN OF ROBUST CONTINUITY DURING THE LAST SEVERAL MODEL CYCLES...AND HAS CORRELATED WELL WITH THE GEFS MEANS MORE OFTEN THAN NOT. FOR THIS PARTICULAR FORECAST...THE CURRENT DETERMINISTIC ECMWF IS ALSO WELL MATCHED WITH THE LATEST GFS OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS IS ESPECIALLY WELCOME LATE DAY 6 THROUGH DAY 7 OVER THE EAST...WHERE A LATE SEASON COLD OUTBREAK MAY SPELL WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION AS A POTENT WAVE ROLLS UP THE OHIO VALLEY AND OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. EVEN WITH THE FLOW OVER THE EAST GOING BLOCKY...THE WEST WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE WOODS...WITH THE STRONG PACIFIC JET SIMPLY DIRECTED FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE LOWER DESERTS AND FOUR CORNERS REGION. CISCO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 A little cluster of thunderstorms moved through my area this morning. The storms split and went around me, but several locations just north and south and west of me received quarter to half inch size hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Temps have been a bit more sluggish than I expected today, but we probably haven't seen our highs yet, as a 50-60 knot LLJ is expected to develop over the next few hours. That should improve our mixing. That will probably also be when we start to really see any shower/t'storm activity pop off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Up to 73 here on a gusty south wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Up to 73 here on a gusty south wind. KBTL showed 68 at the last update about a hour ago while most other stations like Kalamazoo is 70+ with Marshall at 70 and Kalamazoo at 71. The record high here is 71 for today. Gonna be close I was doing some peaking at the normal/Records temps here for this date and then decided to go peak at DCA. Normal high/low here for today is 46/26 and DCA the lowest temp all winter is 27! The coldest daytime high is 42. The normal goes up to 46 on Feb 12th! Thus at this point we are right at what would be typically the coldest part of Winter in DC. sheesh.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 66F here. Windows wide open. Snow is down to piles along with patches still in wooded areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 First 70 of the year at KVPZ. 'Tis a lucky day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Made it up to 66F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 68 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 55F today, not much but it's a start especially considering it was -10.3F a month ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I put my snow shovel away. No way do we get any more! Nothing on the horizon but a few cold rainstorms followed by more warm ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I don't think next week gets that cold. +AO and neutral NAO. Models overdoing it now. And check this out. Helllllllooooo WARM PHASES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I put my snow shovel away. No way do we get any more! Nothing on the horizon but a few cold rainstorms followed by more warm ups. IWX has snow showers in our forecast for next Wed. night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I put my snow shovel away. No way do we get any more! Nothing on the horizon but a few cold rainstorms followed by more warm ups. Way to jinx yourself there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 18, 2011 Author Share Posted March 18, 2011 Getting whiffed on by that D5-7 system to the south, in late March, would be quite the slap in the face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I put my snow shovel away. No way do we get any more! Nothing on the horizon but a few cold rainstorms followed by more warm ups. This may very well come back to bite you in the ass easily given what models are possibly indicating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 This may very well come back to bite you in the ass easily given what models are possibly indicating. Easy fix. I simply go into the garage and put it back outside. Not to mention the sun removes it lol Kab..We see this every March. Snow on the models in med-range only going back to liquid as it gets closer. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Easy fix. I simply go into the garage and put it back outside. Not to mention the sun removes it lol Kab..We see this every March. Snow on the models in med-range only going back to liquid as it gets closer. We shall see. My point was that too many times people declare snow to be done with for the season when it can come back quickly...whether it's less than an inch or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I'm surprised it's still 65F! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I'm surprised it's still 65F! Yeah its nice out tonight, had a nice leasurely drive from Flint back to Eastpointe, after I got a flat, and had to drive home on the donut. Kind of buzzkills the nice day a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 I don't think next week gets that cold. +AO and neutral NAO. Models overdoing it now. And check this out. Helllllllooooo WARM PHASES. Couple of things. 1. 2. 3. As seing how we are approaching April we should be using FMA Thus this Lastly you don't need a -AO to get cold either. Last March ( even April ) actually had a -AO and -NAO. We all know how that worked out too. On the flip side March/April 1982 had a decent +ao/+nao. I need not say how cold that was in this region especially March into Mid April. In short there is other ways of getting cold or warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Looks like we make another run at 70 Friday then again next Monday. Indications are that we may see 30's for highs next Thursday. Be nice to see a flurry and snow showers again. We'll see but I have thrown the shovel in the attic till next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 18, 2011 Share Posted March 18, 2011 Yeah its nice out tonight, had a nice leasurely drive from Flint back to Eastpointe, after I got a flat, and had to drive home on the donut. Kind of buzzkills the nice day a tad. Ouch! I cannot say I know how to change a flat so, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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