hawkeye_wx Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 This weekend has been much colder than forecast. The NWS and locals all had near 40 both days, but Saturday we only made it to 33 and today we will likely struggle to hit 30 after a low in the upper teens. It certainly doesn't look too good for any snow in the near future. However, while the chance of accumulating snow greatly diminishes in late March, our biggest March snow(5.5 inches) in the last four years occurred on the 29th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 Yeah, this is it here, after March 20th our chances drop exponentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 13, 2011 Author Share Posted March 13, 2011 Assuming not another flake falls, my March 15th and beyond snowfall for the last 3 years will cumulatively total 1.8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 Assuming not another flake falls, my March 15th and beyond snowfall for the last 3 years will cumulatively total 1.8". T here with the past three Marches post 3/15 including this one, although to be fair it gets tougher down here in the tropics past March 15th. Of course as Hoosier pointed out to me, somewhat recently we had an inch on April 14, 2007. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 This weekend has been much colder than forecast. The NWS and locals all had near 40 both days, but Saturday we only made it to 33 and today we will likely struggle to hit 30 after a low in the upper teens. It certainly doesn't look too good for any snow in the near future. However, while the chance of accumulating snow greatly diminishes in late March, our biggest March snow(5.5 inches) in the last four years occurred on the 29th. I had been hoping for a "goodbye" snow of at least a few inches, but it doesn't look like that will happen. Our season was basically over in early Feb, which is pretty bizarre around here. Oh well, it was a great winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 I am thinking feast more than famine for the region. I've been liking the period after March 20 for a series of severe threats...looks like it could be a tad late but I think it's coming. I think the main target area would probably be south of I-80 as farther north starts battling climo a bit but I wouldn't be surprised to see something there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 13, 2011 Author Share Posted March 13, 2011 At the risk of sounding desperate... EURO beyond 168 looks interesting for winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 12z GFS and Euro are quite different next Sunday. The GFS has us firmly in the warm sector with highs exceeding 60 while the Euro has backed off(00z was similar to the new GFS) and appears to keep the area in cool easterly flow out of a great lakes ridge. 12z Euro looks colder next week, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 I've been liking the period after March 20 for a series of severe threats...looks like it could be a tad late but I think it's coming. I think the main target area would probably be south of I-80 as farther north starts battling climo a bit but I wouldn't be surprised to see something there. Yeah, as we get around closer to April 3 or April 11 with a pattern like this I start to get a bit nervous in these parts due to climatology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 13, 2011 Author Share Posted March 13, 2011 12z GFS and Euro are quite different next Sunday. The GFS has us firmly in the warm sector with highs exceeding 60 while the Euro has backed off(00z was similar to the new GFS) and appears to keep the area in cool easterly flow out of a great lakes ridge. 12z Euro looks colder next week, too. Wow, only 35.8" for the season? Isn't DVN in the 50s? That's quite the gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 Wow, only 35.8" for the season? Isn't DVN in the 50s? That's quite the gradient. Officially Cedar Rapids is around 31", while just a short distance away Dubuque is around 62". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 13, 2011 Share Posted March 13, 2011 With the talk of the March 1993 super storm anniversary, I went back and looked at the obs to see if anything fell at LAF (it was before my time here). Just a bit of light snow, but man was it cold on the 13th. Just a high of 28º at LAF, 19 degrees below the normal high. The next day featured a high of only 23º. Far cry from today's low to mid 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 18z gfs is still warm next weekend... Sunday looks to be the warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 NAM, GFS, RUC 2m temps for this evening have busted way high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Sunday, March 13th: Hi: 43F Lo: 24F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 14MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 Should I write my winter post mortem now? Harry, any MJO update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Should I write my winter post mortem now? Harry, any MJO update? Did you get any snow last night with that band that went by, we got a little bit when it went by. Vis was down to 2SM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 Did you get any snow last night with that band that went by, we got around 1/4" when it went by. Trace. Told you it was going to go down to the wire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Trace. Told you it was going to go down to the wire. Damn settling Yeah I don't like my chances looking long range, might need an April Miracle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 GFS for next weekends system would spell some major hydro issues for upper mississippi river valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Des Moines NWS mentioning the possibility of the first severe storms for Iowa this weekend. The GFS is showing quite a blowup of rain and storms as the warm sector surges back north Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 1"/hour snows at STL this morning. METAR KSTL 141151Z 05008KT 3/4SM R30R/4500V6000FT -SN BR OVC005 01/00 A3027 RMK AO2 SLP259 SNINCR 1/1 4/001 P0014 60037 70062 T00110000 10022 20011 53001 $ METAR KSTL 141251Z 05009KT 3/4SM R30R/4000V4500FT -SN BR BKN005 OVC009 01/00 A3027 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007 SLP257 SNINCR 1/2 P0016 T00110000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 1"/hour snows at STL this morning. METAR KSTL 141151Z 05008KT 3/4SM R30R/4500V6000FT -SN BR OVC005 01/00 A3027 RMK AO2 SLP259 SNINCR 1/1 4/001 P0014 60037 70062 T00110000 10022 20011 53001 $ METAR KSTL 141251Z 05009KT 3/4SM R30R/4000V4500FT -SN BR BKN005 OVC009 01/00 A3027 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007 SLP257 SNINCR 1/2 P0016 T00110000 We have about 2 - 4 inches in St. Louis. Definitely a March type snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backdoorfront Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 901 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2011 ...LATE SEASON STORM PRODUCING ACCUMULATING SNOW... BOONE MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...JEFFERSON CITY 901 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY WET SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH 4 PM BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE 6 TO 8 INCH RANGE...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 We have about 2 - 4 inches in St. Louis. Definitely a March type snow. Very nice. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 901 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2011 ...LATE SEASON STORM PRODUCING ACCUMULATING SNOW... BOONE MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIA...JEFFERSON CITY 901 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY WET SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH 4 PM BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE IN THE 6 TO 8 INCH RANGE...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. Score one for the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 923 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0922 AM SNOW KIRKWOOD 38.58N 90.42W 03/14/2011 M2.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MO TRAINED SPOTTER 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVER THE PAST 2 HOURS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Nothing but piles left after yesterday (on hills there are still a few drifts, but patches of snow otherwise are gone) so depth was going to go down to 0 today, but a surprise 0.1" of snow made it a T still. Tomorrow it will be 0 Im sure, so that will mean from the beginning of December to the middle of March we had a grand total of 6 days with 0 snow depth at observation time, Jan 1-4 and Feb 19-20 (1 of those days, ironically, being the major Feb 20th snowstorm). 81 days had 1"+ cover, so regardless of rest of the season, an A+ winter for me (though it would be nice to get another 1.6"+ to hit the top 5 snowiest instead of #6!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 A lot of St. Louis's big snows are in March. I believe a few of the record setters are in mid to late March as well. Looks like a 30"+ season for there, which is awesome. Definitely a great year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 A lot of St. Louis's big snows are in March. I believe a few of the record setters are in mid to late March as well. Looks like a 30"+ season for there, which is awesome. Definitely a great year. Yeah, their highest record daily snowfall, of any month, is 12.1" set back on March 24, 1912. March also has 4 days with 10"+ daily records, the most of any month (Dec has 2, Jan and Feb 3). 10th snowiest season of all time for STL is 1889/90 with 32.5"...so they need 2.9" to get 2010-11 into the top 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Havent been on much lately and maybe it was mentioned but are the models run times going to stay the same or will they eventually be moved back to original times after moving an hour forward this weekend? Was that done everywhere in the U.S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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