Chicago Storm Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 198 hr the euro has the 60f line into S Wi... Bring it a little further north and i'll be happier then a tornado in a trailer park. You got your wish on the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Author Share Posted March 10, 2011 0z/6z GFS set up a wicked -NAO in the extended range. If that happens, early spring cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Yes looks like a rather chilly set up in the long range. More so in the eastern lakes than in areas to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Author Share Posted March 10, 2011 Yes looks like a rather chilly set up in the long range. More so in the eastern lakes than in areas to the west. Yeah, the effects of -NAO tend to diminish as you move west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Yeah, the effects of -NAO tend to diminish as you move west. Harry was wondering if the MJO was going to cause as more wintry start to to spring than a springy one. A soggy, damp morning. Had 0.81" rain with the event, nearing 6" precip since Feb 1st. Snow depth a T, but barely, 97% of the exposed ground (not counting piles) is bare. No matter, another snowstorm may be just hours away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Author Share Posted March 10, 2011 Harry was wondering if the MJO was going to cause as more wintry start to to spring than a springy one. A soggy, damp morning. Had 0.81" rain with the event, nearing 6" precip since Feb 1st. Snow depth a T, but barely, 97% of the exposed ground (not counting piles) is bare. No matter, another snowstorm may be just hours away MJO (don't know a whole lot about it) could be driving the -NAO depiction. Should note that the GEFS overall are warmer than the OP GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 And we are talking a longs ways out on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 AS TROUGH MOVES INTO FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW UPPER RIDGE MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES WARMING TO AROUND 6 TO 8 C BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE A RATHER MILD DAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 40S WITH A FEW LOCATIONS EDGING INTO THE LOWER 50S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Wow oh wow... @ 186hrs the EURO shows a small section of sw Wisconsin into the 70F's, with 60F readings reach through half the state........ Should be snow free by late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Its euro versus the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I'm riding the EURO...although its not like the GFS is all that cold.. Still shows some good 50F+ temps next week.. No matter what, the snow we have will pretty much be gone. Its melting good right now and its around freezing. Sun all day and 38F, tomorrow near 50F with sun... Once we get rid of the snowpack, temps will be able to rebound that much faster when real warmth does show up. I think April could be a scorcher, with possible record temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 You are right the GFS does look plenty warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 With nights above freezing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Ha ha long range models in the spring. Now the GFS has shifted to a super-sized extended torch probably with severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Harry was wondering if the MJO was going to cause as more wintry start to to spring than a springy one. A soggy, damp morning. Had 0.81" rain with the event, nearing 6" precip since Feb 1st. Snow depth a T, but barely, 97% of the exposed ground (not counting piles) is bare. No matter, another snowstorm may be just hours away It is looking more likely. One thing for sure is i would not get to comfortable with anything the models show beyond the weekend. For now this mainly applies for the GL on east but odd's are rapidly increasing farther to the west as well as this wave moves along. Now in phase 1. Thus don't be shocked if models start switching up in the next day or two. Could be longer as models have a habit of hanging on a bit longer to well established patterns which we have had for some time now. Basically means we could see some short term wild swings in models and thus things may sneak up on us rather quickly. Guess we will see anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 12z is a torch. Not sure if i buy it yet, but bring it! Could see a 60F next week if not better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 New euro about made me poop my pants.. Get the shorts and the bicycles ready.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 If we can melt off a lot of this snow in the next few days, I think next week around this time a shot at 70F is possible, at least in parts of S Wi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Can't wait. This cold and snow is for the birds. Torch it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Author Share Posted March 10, 2011 12z EURO shows something similar to the GFS with the D8-9 storm. Starts out fairly far north but then gets crushed under the weight of confluence caused by a 50/50 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Looking quite nice long-term on the 12z GFS, golf clubs on standby, chicks running in shorts and t-shirts, life is good. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KLOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Wow, finally the GFS is on-board the heat train. The 12z shows temps in the 50s and 60s here every day for ten straight days beginning on day 5. The Euro is even warmer for day 7 with 850 temps in Iowa reaching 16-20+. I'd love to know what the Euro is showing for surface temps during that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Hawk- There were some 80Fs up into Kansas and the 70F line makes it all the way to the Iowa/MN border. The 60F line makes it all the way to the UP of MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sc2man13 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I am jubilant to hear about the warmup! This snowpack has been extremely resilient, we still have on average one to 3 inches of snow on the ground at GR...time to go! I want to get on my bike and ride! OT, but does anyone know where to find information concerning the total days of 1" plus snowcover per NWS station? I'm curious what GRR is at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 12z GFS says I will be making a all weekend chase trip next saturday/sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 A warm up would be nice... Now that I am working, and can afford some new camera gear (soon), I need to be out trackside, taking photos. Didn't do much of that over the winter. I am about tired of the cold and dreary, but overall, have few complaints about the winter. Looking forward to seeing what the severe weather season is like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Wow, finally the GFS is on-board the heat train. The 12z shows temps in the 50s and 60s here every day for ten straight days beginning on day 5. The Euro is even warmer for day 7 with 850 temps in Iowa reaching 16-20+. I'd love to know what the Euro is showing for surface temps during that period. 75F 2M temps brush S. Iowa by Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 OT, but baroclinic_instability is now a mod. Congrats and good luck! Between Hoosier and b_i, we will be the best moderated subforum on American. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted March 11, 2011 Share Posted March 11, 2011 75F 2M temps brush S. Iowa by Friday. Outta get some of the early shrubs blooming, sap is oozing from my Maples and crocuses have emerged about an inch high. The temps will feel very nice, time to wash out that garage. Is this the pattern buster or do we go back to cooler time in April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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