Parsley Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Wow 50 mph winds again!?! Not looking forward to that at all. Especially after cleaning the yard of leaves on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Saturated ground, 1-2" of rain, wind = not a good day. We lost power over the weekend hope its not a repeat. This is going to really suck for the ski areas. I was hoping to get a couple more powder days in. Hopefully early March will bring some winter back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbTC Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 A weather briefing package has been prepared. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 18z NAM vs actual seems to be lacking on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbTC Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 302 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL TRACK NORTHEAST AND MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA FRIDAY. THE LOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PERIODS OF MODERATE RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE LOW. THESE THUNDERSTORMS, WITH THEIR BRIEF PERIODS OF INTENSE RAIN, ALONG WITH SNOWMELT, WILL ALSO ADD TO THE FLOOD THREAT. COUNTY SPECIFIC MESSAGE: /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0001.110225T1200Z-110226T1300Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON- MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE- PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN... FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...JIM THORPE... STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON... WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA 302 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NEW JERSEY...HUNTERDON... MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...SOMERSET...SUSSEX AND WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...BUCKS...CARBON...CHESTER...DELAWARE... LEHIGH...MONROE...MONTGOMERY...NORTHAMPTON AND PHILADELPHIA. * FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE OR TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE WATCH PERIOD, WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN FALLING FROM FRIDAY'S PRE- DAWN HOURS THROUGH THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. * OF THE LARGER RIVERS IN THE WATCH AREA, THE PASSAIC AND RARITAN WILL SEE THE GREATEST RISE IN WATER LEVELS WITH THIS EVENT AND NEED TO BE MONITORED. FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE DELAWARE, THE LEHIGH OR THE SCHUYLKILL RIVER. FLOODING IS MORE PROBABLE ALONG SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS AND IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE WHERE THE HYDROLOGIC RESPONSE IS ALWAYS GREATER. SNOWMELT AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO ADD TO THE FLOOD THREAT. ALTHOUGH THE RAIN WILL COME TO AN END BY FRIDAY EVENING, SOME OF THE STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL NOT CREST UNTIL SATURDAY. STAY INFORMED AFTER THE RAINS END FRIDAY. THE FLOOD THREAT COULD BE DELAYED AND OCCUR AT A LATER TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. KRUZDLO AFFECTED COUNTIES: IN NEW JERSEY: HUNTERDON, MERCER, MIDDLESEX, MORRIS, SOMERSET, SUSSEX, WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA: BERKS, BUCKS, CARBON, CHESTER, DELAWARE, LEHIGH, MONROE, MONTGOMERY, NORTHAMPTON, PHILADELPHIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbTC Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 307 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 COUNTY SPECIFIC MESSAGE: /O.UPG.KPHI.HW.A.0002.110225T1500Z-110226T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.HW.W.0002.110225T1900Z-110226T0500Z/ NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON- SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM- GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND- ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH- NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN... REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON... DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON... PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN... MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY... LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE... STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...WEST CHESTER... NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA 307 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHWEST...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND DELAWARE * HAZARDS...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. * TIMING...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 60 MPH. THE STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO LATE FRIDAY EVENING. LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO DROP OFF QUICKLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. * IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS MAY DAMAGE STRUCTURES AND VEHICLES. THE WIND WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. HAYES AFFECTED COUNTIES: IN DELAWARE: DELAWARE BEACHES, KENT, NEW CASTLE, SUSSEX, SUSSEX, INLAND. IN MARYLAND: CAROLINE, CECIL, KENT, QUEEN ANNE'S, TALBOT. IN NEW JERSEY: ATLANTIC, ATLANTIC, COASTAL, BURLINGTON, BURLINGTON, NORTHWESTERN, BURLINGTON, SOUTHEASTERN, CAMDEN, CAPE MAY, CAPE MAY, COASTAL, CUMBERLAND, GLOUCESTER, HUNTERDON, MERCER, MIDDLESEX, MONMOUTH, MONMOUTH, EASTERN, MONMOUTH, WESTERN, MORRIS, OCEAN, OCEAN, COASTAL, SALEM, SOMERSET, SUSSEX, WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA: BERKS, BUCKS, CARBON, CHESTER, DELAWARE, LEHIGH, MONROE, MONTGOMERY, NORTHAMPTON, PHILADELPHIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Would not be surprised if there was a bit of a squall that pops tomorrow afternoon across PA and MD. High res and NAM is sorta nudging in that direction. Timing would be 3-6 across PA? If we can pop some sun in the afternoon the odds for that would probably go up a fair bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spwife Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Would not be surprised if there was a bit of a squall that pops tomorrow afternoon across PA and MD. High res and NAM is sorta nudging in that direction. Timing would be 3-6 across PA? If we can pop some sun in the afternoon the odds for that would probably go up a fair bit. weather for dummies....will my Pocono snow at Jack Frost Mountain (Lake Harmony/Blakeslee) all melt away with this rain threat? This weekend is Ski for the Cure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 weather for dummies....will my Pocono snow at Jack Frost Mountain (Lake Harmony/Blakeslee) all melt away with this rain threat? This weekend is Ski for the Cure? Not sure of the base at Jack Frost but I would imagine it'll take a bit of a beating over the weekend. Temps won't get as high there as here in Philly so carnage won't be as bad as Spring Mount and the local hills face... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Just had a brief sleet shower here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 34.0*F For Hazleton, I'm thinking a trace to 1" of snow, and 1.50" rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 This is certainly going to be a fun trip from Philly to Vermont tomorrow. Oh the joys of being a musician for a living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Trying to locate the correct thread for sleet and or snow this eve? and then where are we going to go for the wind damage reports tomorrow along and SE of I95 from New brunswick to PHL ILG MD and Del. tx wd/phi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 34.0*F For Hazleton, I'm thinking a trace to 1" of snow, and 1.50" rain. I'm in Hazleton on Wyoming Street right now. Temp is 34 with light sleet at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 off topic, but anyone who wants a good laugh, check out the 18z GFS at hr 300 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Trying to locate the correct thread for sleet and or snow this eve? and then where are we going to go for the wind damage reports tomorrow along and SE of I95 from New brunswick to PHL ILG MD and Del. tx wd/phi Snow and ice reports i believe will be in here. Ill make a thread for wind/severe weather for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Snow and ice reports i believe will be in here. Ill make a thread for wind/severe weather for tomorrow. So should the wind be as bad as it was last weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 So should the wind be as bad as it was last weekend? gusts wise, from what it seems, might be a little less, but the damage could be more considering we will be coming off of an inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 gusts wise, from what it seems, might be a little less, but the damage could be more considering we will be coming off of an inch of rain. Yea...I was thinking the rain may have an impact on softening up the ground....guess we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 This is certainly going to be a fun trip from Philly to Vermont tomorrow. Oh the joys of being a musician for a living. Pickle Barrel ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Pickle Barrel ? Wobbly Barn, down the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 TU drexel hill on the threads. on wind...imo this will be significantly worse between noon and 9 PM Friday...convective gusts of 50-60 knots appear realistic in the lines of remaining midday/aftn instability. everything i am seeing thru the 18z runs from tghe ec/gfs/nam says tstms with svr wind. then i think we will see a few minutes of nw gusts of 45 to 55 kts at many locations along and se of I95 between 4 pm and 7 P as the strong cold front pushes thru with asstd 10mb pres rises in 3 hrs and temps dropping 10-18 degs within an hr. presuming this expectation of convection and momentum transfer is correct...then it will be notably MUCH stronger than last saturday with resultant many trees and wires down with asstd power outages. the rest you can conjecture. this is based on hi wind composites/transfer programs/richardson numbers and internal mxg ht gust transfer tools. liklihood for convection between noon and 5P and I think PHL will have its strong cfp ard 5PM... am going to lower temps susbantially at 7 pm tomorrow. the warmer its is above MOS guidance during midday tomorrow the stronger the wind. wd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 thanks for the info. walt. sounds nasty. really dont want to loose power again like last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 TU drexel hill on the threads. on wind...imo this will be significantly worse between noon and 9 PM Friday...convective gusts of 50-60 knots appear realistic in the lines of remaining midday/aftn instability. everything i am seeing thru the 18z runs from tghe ec/gfs/nam says tstms with svr wind. then i think we will see a few minutes of nw gusts of 45 to 55 kts at many locations along and se of I95 between 4 pm and 7 P as the strong cold front pushes thru with asstd 10mb pres rises in 3 hrs and temps dropping 10-18 degs within an hr. presuming this expectation of convection and momentum transfer is correct...then it will be notably MUCH stronger than last saturday with resultant many trees and wires down with asstd power outages. the rest you can conjecture. this is based on hi wind composites/transfer programs/richardson numbers and internal mxg ht gust transfer tools. liklihood for convection between noon and 5P and I think PHL will have its strong cfp ard 5PM... am going to lower temps susbantially at 7 pm tomorrow. the warmer its is above MOS guidance during midday tomorrow the stronger the wind. wd I was merely going off the graphical forecast plots issued by mt holly. The wind gusts aren't forecasted to be as strong as what they were showing last saturday. But yea i said that in the wind/svr weather thread, that if we can get some tstorms those strong winds could easily be brought down. The 850 winds are ripping at 105 mph...925 mb winds are between 70-80 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 just as fyi... cant be monitoring two chats on am wx. will be staying here for snow/ice tonight. am also monitoring other NWS chats and gridding. wd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 just as fyi... cant be monitoring two chats on am wx. will be staying here for snow/ice tonight. am also monitoring other NWS chats and gridding. wd would it be easier to make this the svr weather and wind obs to for you? If so adam is going to have to adjust that since he started the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 no... tonight i need a snow/ice thread. am off duty at 10p so i will adjust til then... just need to be in the right place. i think tomorrow is going to be interesting in more than pockets NJT ewd. wd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 no... tonight i need a snow/ice thread. am off duty at 10p so i will adjust til then... just need to be in the right place. i think tomorrow is going to be interesting in more than pockets NJT ewd. wd alright, well your in the right spot then for the snow/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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