Allsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 00z euro keeps most of the preciep north of us...prob 2-4 for sne..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 00z euro keeps most of the preciep north of us...prob 2-4 for sne..... It also really warms things up next Tuesday with another interior storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 i think we are the only three 's up tracking this one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 i think we are the only three 's up tracking this one.. Not really much to be said about the Sunday storm...maybe 1-3" if we get lucky. The pattern looks horrid for the Monday/Tuesday threat as all the models show another cutter with the NAO being positive and a severely -PNA that promises to bring snow to the San Francisco Bay Area. We might get a regime change if the Tuesday storm bombs over Quebec and drives the NAO more negative, as the PNA is also rising towards neutral at the time the next impulse enters the playing field. Some people are being negative about March, but we only need one good Nor'easter to shatter records, so it's not inconceivable we'll get a shot. It's hard to see the pattern remaining this way considering what the analogs are showing and hints the MJO might cross into Phase 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 06z NAM brings back hope for a light snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I want heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 I want heat. agreed. can't wait to wake up at 8 and have it already be in the 80's. beers and pool ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 agreed. can't wait to wake up at 8 and have it already be in the 80's. beers and pool ftw. do you see any more I95 threats this year or are we pretty much done? The blocking never came back..the AO..never tanked.. early.March looks like total crap right now. Any hope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 do you see any more I95 threats this year or are we pretty much done? The blocking never came back..the AO..never tanked.. early.March looks like total crap right now. Any hope? I know that plenty of people are barking about march, but I personally find nothing to be enthused about. Could we get lucky? Sure, I don't want to rule anything out. These chances obviously increase with more latitude. The GEFS and Euro ensembles are pretty awful through the long range. There are some PNA spikes but these are rather transient as another trough quickly replaces it on the west coast. The high latitude blocking is almost non existent on most guidance with the exception of some weak ridging building into the far east based NAO position next week on some models. I think we go down swinging with one or two more chances in mid march. but those who don't have much elevation are quickly running out of time. it's a race against the clock at this calendar date and unfortunately it doesn't look great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I want meat. take it somewhere else, dude...sounds more OT to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 take it somewhere else, dude...sounds more OT to me. I think he will be banned from the get together with that kind of dribble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 agreed. can't wait to wake up at 8 and have it already be in the 80's. beers and pool ftw. I would settle for walking to the train station without fearing frost bite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I know its the GFS, but 6z GFS shows .25" for NYC and north. A nice 2"-4" event for Sunday. 6z NAM has 1"-2" for the same event: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 12z NAM shifted south and also brings in a good amount of precip now for NYC area. The coast will be fighting boundary issues for some of it, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 agreed. can't wait to wake up at 8 and have it already be in the 80's. beers and pool ftw. CAN I GET AN AMEN!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I know that plenty of people are barking about march, but I personally find nothing to be enthused about. Could we get lucky? Sure, I don't want to rule anything out. These chances obviously increase with more latitude. The GEFS and Euro ensembles are pretty awful through the long range. There are some PNA spikes but these are rather transient as another trough quickly replaces it on the west coast. The high latitude blocking is almost non existent on most guidance with the exception of some weak ridging building into the far east based NAO position next week on some models. I think we go down swinging with one or two more chances in mid march. but those who don't have much elevation are quickly running out of time. it's a race against the clock at this calendar date and unfortunately it doesn't look great. lol John, reading this I had a flashback to last March with how enthusiastic people were about it and look what happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Not really much to be said about the Sunday storm...maybe 1-3" if we get lucky. The pattern looks horrid for the Monday/Tuesday threat as all the models show another cutter with the NAO being positive and a severely -PNA that promises to bring snow to the San Francisco Bay Area. We might get a regime change if the Tuesday storm bombs over Quebec and drives the NAO more negative, as the PNA is also rising towards neutral at the time the next impulse enters the playing field. Some people are being negative about March, but we only need one good Nor'easter to shatter records, so it's not inconceivable we'll get a shot. It's hard to see the pattern remaining this way considering what the analogs are showing and hints the MJO might cross into Phase 7. There's yet another chance for snow at SFO? Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 CAN I GET AN AMEN!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I want summer to get started in April again with 90 degree temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 lol John, reading this I had a flashback to last March with how enthusiastic people were about it and look what happened. Yeah, I kept saying the pattern stunk and NZucker kept telling me it would snow into April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I want summer to get started in April again with 90 degree temps Good god are you ill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Good god are you ill? If he is, I have the same disease. I like to refer to it as an insane degree of love towards summer, girls, and the beach. and beer. and the pool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I also want summer to come quickly. I wouldn't mind 90 degrees in April.. hey.. let's see if we can pull one off in late March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Yeah, I kept saying the pattern stunk and NZucker kept telling me it would snow into April. Well, you know crazy things happen at 400 feet Maybe it was snowing there on April 7th while the rest of us were basking in the nineties Then again, I've also heard how people can hallucinate with that much elevation-- its got to be a lack of oxygen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I tend to love everything once it arrives. Around this time of year, I don't want the snow to end and in September I dread the upcoming Fall. It seems like an eternity waiting for the first snow threat to show up. I love tracking severe weather even more so than snow so an active Summer would be very nice, as long as its nice while I'm at my house at the Jersey shore Call me a nut, but nothing would make me happier than to see a major hurricane approaching New York Harbor this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I tend to love everything once it arrives. Around this time of year, I don't want the snow to end and in September I dread the upcoming Fall. It seems like an eternity waiting for the first snow threat to show up. I love tracking severe weather even more so than snow so an active Summer would be very nice, as long as its nice while I'm at my house at the Jersey shore Call me a nut, but nothing would make me happier than to see a major hurricane approaching New York Harbor this year lol yea, that would be fun. I dont know about major, but I wouldnt mind seeing a Cat 1 make landfall here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Stopped by hoping to see someone posted that we have a shot of snow with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I also want summer to come quickly. I wouldn't mind 90 degrees in April.. hey.. let's see if we can pull one off in late March I like the extremes. 90s/100s in Spring/Summer/Fall and 60" of snow in January. HOLLER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I would love to have 1 or 2 more good snows then have 80's and 90's all the way through early fall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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