RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 obv it will take ALOT for anything to come close to 93 superstorm lol but im looking at the glass half full, as always. i know we are around 200hrs out but theres been signs for a few days now, pointing to big bomb for the beg of Mar. im not liking this fridays event at all, so im looking ahead. early to mid next week can be explosive. guidance was first showing a lakes cutter or app runner but some signs pointing to the primary heading for the OH valley and redevlopes off the MA coast. thoughts? opinions? PNA seems to be slowly on its way up. NAO seems to be heading in our favor too. going from + to nuetral or slightly - for this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 if you look at 18z nam you see the energy begin to dive S in Canada. this is what is progged to dive into the cetral plains. the cutoff low off the CA coast hangs back but some of its energy is absorbed ie gained by the northern branch diving into the central plains. the rainstorm this friday will help set up a 50/50, albeit transient. so we'll have to see how that plays out, because thats the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 this time period is absolutely ripe for a storm but right now i would say wet, not white. If we could get the se ridge to somehow flatten out that would be a lot better and either we need a block or a PNA ridge. Perhaps if that one eyed monster off the Pac coast could pinch off and split the flow, that would work. Lots of time on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 yea, latest guidance says we are wet. gfs and euro have heavy rain, heavy snow is back in WV mountains up to lake erie then NE to ontario. buffalo could be crushed! but i wont count this thread, threat, and myself a failure until our fri system is near. lol @ my first attempt at a thread like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 theres a wave that forms behind the 27/28 rain event which kinda falls in line with the date i thought was ripe. obv im wrong how we are getting there, but there is a slight chance. interesting to see if todays 12z EC has 1 or 2 waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 GFS is only model even close to this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 we already have a march thread going, why do we need two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 we already have a march thread going, why do we need two? well i started this a day before the other thread...just that no one payed attention to this one lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 not sure if i can post the EC but its free on their website so i assume i can. but it does have a second wave for the Mar 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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