BethesdaWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I always get the fringe job, tho I'd be plenty happy if this verified. Winter has been canceled anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I can't find much wrong with the 18z GFS at all. Too bad I won't get any sleep tonight. Oh well....lol This storm should put climo snow in sight before the end of winter......oh wait, wasn't winter cancelled about 10 days ago? I thought Ji canceled winter back in November! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I always get the fringe job, tho I'd be plenty happy if this verified. Winter has been canceled anyway. You mean the fringe of warning criteria? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Movin south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 18Z GFS Soundings for DC proper 0Z 3Z 6Z 9Z Tahnks, where did you get the 3 hourly sounding for the gfs. That's good stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Movin south just a little more for 3" at dca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Movin south 4-6 Fairfax/DC on that map verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Tahnks, where did you get the 3 hourly sounding for the gfs. That's good stuff? Can you translate for me Wes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I am nowhere near as exp as you are in this hobby, but I really cant see why the models would be any good right about now, outside of the RUC. System is knocking on our doorsteps and will be over in 16 hours or so. I just like to use radars and downstream obs by now. just my two cents though This is actually pretty silly, as a 24 hour forecast from given model is going to be more useful than 5 day forecast from the same model, in any absolute sense (model errors GROW with time). In fact, how could any model be of any use at all if it is in fact "useless/not any good" within the first 24 hours of its simulation [and this includes the GGEM]. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 New RUC is JUICED http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/ruc06hr_sfc_prcp.gif http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/ruc09hr_sfc_prcp.gif http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/ruc12hr_sfc_prcp.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 4-6 Fairfax/DC on that map verbatim u talking the gfs clown map? the lwx one is not that high unless im having reading comprehension issues again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 just a little more for 3" at dca. To actually get a 3" measurement at DCA we need to get a foot here in Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 u talking the gfs clown map? the lwx one is not that high unless im having reading comprehension issues again. Yes the one you posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Tahnks, where did you get the 3 hourly sounding for the gfs. That's good stuff? Those came from the wunderground.com WunderMap. If you put it into model mode, select the model you want to step through, it will increment the GFS in 3hr increments for the beginning part of the run. Also, you can tell it that when you click, you want a point sounding. Then you can pop it out into a new browser window to blow it up. I use WunderMap all the time for looking at models because you can easily zoom in and out It only does soundings for the GFS, though, for some reason... NAM and RUC do not work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 You mean the fringe of warning criteria? Everything. Leesburg doesn't stand a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 IAN and yoda are like brother and sister Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I just gotta say I am totally stoked that Northern Md. is in the 8" zone. If this happens, in this winter (for us), its a walk off grand slam. I was expecting 1" if anything so to be hours out for the potential of 8".... Let's just say its what keeps us coming back to this hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Can you translate for me Wes? I was asking where he got the 3 hourly sounding data from the GFS. Even looking at Wunderground, I haven't yet found it. I'd love to have the url for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was asking where he got the 3 hourly sounding data from the GFS. Even looking at Wunderground, I haven't yet found it. I'd love to have the url for it. I meant the soundings Wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was asking where he got the 3 hourly sounding data from the GFS. Even looking at Wunderground, I haven't yet found it. I'd love to have the url for it. Here's a link to the WunderMap and then on the checkboxes at the bottom, you unselect NEXRAD and select Model Data and then you can change the "Map Click Behavior" to Profile http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=38.99784&lon=-76.59119&zoom=9&type=ter&rad=1&rad.num=1&rad.spd=25&rad.opa=70&rad.stm=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0&fire=0&tor=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 just a little more for 3" at dca. I'm praying for your 3" Ian!!! er... I mean that you get 3" inches... um... of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I'm praying for your 3" Ian!!! er... I mean that you get 3" inches... um... of snow. As Molly Ivins used to say, the first rule of holes when you're in one is to stop digging! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Still concerned it could be a lot of IP at DC. Soundings at 03z still show a weakly above 0C layer near 800mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was asking where he got the 3 hourly sounding data from the GFS. Even looking at Wunderground, I haven't yet found it. I'd love to have the url for it. it has 3 hr soundings up to hr 48...just clikc on the map of where you house or area is located and it will give the nearest sounding station, hope this helps. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2010&model_mm=01&model_dd=14&model_init_hh=18&fhour=39¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Good luck to all tonight!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 hello 22Z RUC at 7hrs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 hello 22Z RUC at 7hrs! Broken link for me what does it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samdman95 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Broken link for me what does it show? Broken for me too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 hello 22Z RUC at 7hrs! Are you RUCing with us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.