Flying MXZ Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 That's some funn sheet right there. We're in the bullseye yet much of the NWS forcast is for rain. Looks like you are in line for 1" - 12+". TFF. I'm cooked here, but these SWFE's are never good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 12z ECM is coming in weaker / south / colder thru H24... standby. 0z- sub 992 in East Central OH 12- sub 996 along OH River Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 12z ECM is coming in weaker / south / colder thru H24... standby. 0z- sub 992 in East Central OH 12- sub 996 along OH River wow yeah northward extent of 0C 850 line is from just SE of BGM to ALB then along the NH/MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I don't like to be wrong. I take it personally! ;-) You want I should take care of this NAM Don Andy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 hour 36 low center passes over or a hair SE of Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 H30- Sub 996 near Allentown PA. 850 0°C line remains south of BGM-ALY. Precip and track noticeably south and good bit colder than 0z run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 H30- Sub 996 near Allentown PA. 850 0°C line remains south of BGM-ALY. Precip and track noticeably south and good bit colder than 0z run... this run destroys GFL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 NC NY / E NY raked in deformation band from H30-36. Moderate-to-heavy snow over the area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Monticello/ Liberty NY in Sullivan County, perhaps looking a little better for us snow wise, yes or no? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 As mentioned before, the 12z ECM shifted south and so did the QPF totals in most areas. Biggest reduction is across W / N NY. The 1.25-1.50 QPF range runs thru the entire PA northern tier, so the S Tier is very close to >1.25 verbatim. I would say everyone north / west of a line from say Binghamton-Walton-Albany is all-snow on the 12z ECM based on the 6 hour increments... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Monticello/ Liberty NY in Sullivan County, perhaps looking a little better for us snow wise, yes or no? Thanks! Meh, not really. Still mainly rain with a chance for some snow at the end, maybe 1-2" I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Meh, not really. Still mainly rain with a chance for some snow at the end, maybe 1-2" I'd say. Well I was hoping the 850 line came down a bit further south or elevation here at 1600 feet would help Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 euro says 1-2 here dusting in ottawa good luck to those who have a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 BUF has upgraded all Watches to Warnings for 6-10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 BUF has upgraded all Watches to Warnings for 6-10... They couldn't wait any longer because of the short timeframes...didn't even have time to wait for the afternoon package...lol. Sounds like they're a little gun shy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 They couldn't wait any longer because of the short timeframes...didn't even have time to wait for the afternoon package...lol. Sounds like they're a little gun shy... If the 12z ECM is right, those warnings on the Niagara Frontier may come up short... The 12z UK is south also, and so cold that I find it quite suspect, especially how the 540dm crashes south of the region... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 If the 12z ECM is right, those warnings on the Niagara Frontier may come up short... The 12z UK is south also, and so cold that I find it quite suspect, especially how the 540dm crashes south of the region... hey we'll take it lets hope the 18z nam continues the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 this run destroys GFL Allentown yes:.....Monticello no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Allentown yes:.....Monticello no Allentown "yes" as in more snow than Monticello NY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Allentown "yes" as in more snow than Monticello NY? allentown as in a better track than going over monticello. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Allentown "yes" as in more snow than Monticello NY? Flood Watch for Sullivan Cnty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 allentown as in a better track than going over monticello. Excuse my ignorance.....So the track is progged to pass over Allentown as opposed to Monticello Or somewhere else? I'm just looking for some hope that the 32 degree line south of bgm can move southward and perhaps my 1600 foot elevation cant help here. I'm from long Island where there is no elevation hence I'm trying to keep hope alive here and perhaps get a bit of a front end thump and a parting thump..I know up up north thats where the good stuff will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Flood Watch for Sullivan Cnty... Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 So why do the NWS forecast for Liberty NY show 2-4 inches of snow tonight and 1-3 tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 18z NAM looks nearly identical to 12z run, just a tad bit colder... all of central NY is getting smothered in concrete H18-24... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Hr 24 nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Surface 32°F line / 850mb 0°C line juxtaposed just southeast of line from BGM-ALB at the warmest point in the run... very similar to 12z ECM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 18z NAM = Inflated or not, its nice to look at... If anyone has a clown map, dont hesitate to post it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 18z NAM = Inflated or not, its nice to look at... If anyone has a clown map, dont hesitate to post it... Closest I could find.....a clown globe........ I'm becoming a believer that we are going to have one heck of a impact on the roadways tomorrow morning and into the evening....snow starts at night, wet, dense snow, then a little warming and higher solar angle....all while some of us snow hard.....Then later, temps and sun will fall and things will start to refreeze around Fri afternoon. This one looks good for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Closest I could find.....a clown globe........ Lmao... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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