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Feb 24-25 Upstate NY / North Country Winter Storm


CNYWxGuy

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Winter Storm Watch for the entire BUF cwa for 6+...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

330 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO... WATERTOWN... LOWVILLE...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY WET SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH BACKING TO NORTH DURING FRIDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...TO NEAR ONE QUARTER MILE IN HEAVIER SNOW.

* TEMPERATURES...NEAR FREEZING AT FIRST...FALLING SLOWLY INTO THE 20S.

* IMPACTS...A SLOW FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH SOUTHERN TIER TO FINGER LAKES...MEDIUM BUFFALO TO ROCHESTER AND NORTH COUNTRY.

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WS Watch for North Central NY for 6+...

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY

339 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

...HEAVY WET SNOW POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...

NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...PENN YAN...SENECA FALLS...AUBURN...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...UTICA...ROME

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS: FINGER LAKES, SYRACUSE AREA, WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY AND SOUTHERN TUG HILL PLATEAU.

* HAZARDS: HEAVY WET SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLY REACHING 6 TO 9 INCHES.

* TIMING: FRIDAY.

* TEMPERATURES: LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S.

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: DIFFICULT TRAVEL POSSIBLE.

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4 some reason kbgm is going with all snow for kuca..They also have wsw now

Thursday Night: Snow likely, mainly after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 28. South wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Friday: Snow. High near 33. North wind between 6 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%

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the models (18z NAM aside due to instability) today seem to indicate a light to moderate snowfall up here.

light in ottawa to potentially moderate as you head S and E towards montreal and the border.

once again, the pattern remains open for adjustments N and W if the energy wants to cooperate.

right now we are seeing a positive tilt, fairly low amplitude wave crossing the continent. the energy though is still offshore (coming onshore). i believe by 00z models and certainly by 12z tomorrow, we will get a better handle on things..... as the speed, amplitude and strength of the energy and only the energy itself, will be the key in dictating where the storm ultimately heads.

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I'll enjoy my 40 degree rain while the the snowpack dissapears. bring on spring.

Ditto...the storm early next week is going to be well above freezing, so no need to go adding 6+" of slop on friday. It will just be a PITA to shovel and then it will disappear 2 days later. No thanks. The sun is strong enough now to melt the snowpack even when temps remain in the teens..I'm done with winter and am looking forward to some warmth.

Bring on hurricane season! :thumbsup:

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...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH

FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM

WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH

FRIDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE

GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND ALL OF SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW...LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS

POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* TIMING...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS AND POOR VISIBILITIES.

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES

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KALB

THU NT/FRI...VERY TRICKY SCENARIO UNFOLDING...AS LOW PRESSURE

DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WED IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER

LEVEL SHORTWAVE...CURRENTLY HEADING E TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS

UPPER LEVEL FEATURE REMAINS IN A SOMEWHAT DATA SPARSE AREA FOR

UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS...SO CONFIDENCE LEVELS IN ANY ONE MODEL

SOLUTION WILL SHOULD STILL BE TAKEN SOMEWHAT LIGHTLY.

HOWEVER...THERE SEEMS TO BE GROWING CONSENSUS WITHIN THE 12Z

MODEL SUITE...AND 15Z SREFS...THAT A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HVY

PRECIP AFFECTS MUCH OF THE REGION FRIDAY

THERMAL

PROFILES SUGGEST MOST PRECIP STARTS AS SNOW...WITH A TRANSITION TO

A SLEET/FREEZING RAIN MIX...THEN RAIN BY LATE FRI MORNING ACROSS

THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS WITHIN NW CT...AS WELL

AS POSSIBLY THE BERKSHIRES AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN TACONICS. FURTHER

N AND W...SOMEWHAT DEEPER COLD AIR MAY HOLD ON...AND

THIS...COMBINED WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL FORCING SHOULD KEEP THE

ATMOSPHERE COLD ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN MORE SNOW FROM THE MOHAWK

RIVER VALLEY NORTHWARD ACROSS THE DACKS...AND SOUTHERN VT. IT IS

IN THIS REGION THAT CONFIDENCE LEVELS CONTINUE TO INCREASE THAT

HEAVY SNOW MAY OCCUR

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