earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Good John. The images wouldn't post for me.... No problem bud, you have to right click them and find the source link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The HRRR is too fast moving those heavy echoes east compared to current radar- they should arrive in NYC around 4AM, not 3AM. Also, the HRRR simulated radar has echoes too strong in the max region over central/NE PA. The HRRR has a huge area of 35-40 dbz in that area, where radar shows mainly 25-30 dbz. That said, I think it has a better handle on short-term, mesoscale trends than most other models aside from the 5 km WRF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Moderate snow in NE jersey, accumulating too. I love snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Snowing here in Upper Manhattan. Already sticking on grass and cars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Moderate Snow here with a temp of 24*... Closing in on 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 I love snow ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 ftw Says the guy who was rooting on 70F temperatures Friday and thought the 1/28 storm would be all rain. Seriously, though, NYC metro needs a pattern change if we're to break the record from 95-96. 0z ECM shows three cutters in a row with the -NAO not building back in until Day 10. Everyone should enjoy this event as much as possible since it might be a while before we get another snowfall. I think March will get decent after 3/3 but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 These flakes are pretty big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Says the guy who was rooting on 70F temperatures Friday and thought the 1/28 storm would be all rain. If it's not snowing, it's time for summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 sue me, but im not in bronxville for this one..im in the poconos and we are approaching 2" i'll measure at 3 2" as of 3 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 HRRR also noticeably more amplified/further north with the 2nd system over the Ohio Valley/southern Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Heavy Snow now here in western orange county... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well, I only have 1/4 inch so it's nothing to write home about. Snow has really slackened after the initial burst about an hour ago. Generally, Southern Westchester has done better this year...Snowlover11 has measured like 70" on the season, whereas I've only measured 58". I assume you have like 50" up there. The Boxing Day Storm and 1/28 snowstorm both had better banding in NYC than in Westchester, as amounts really trailed off once you got further north into the County. So there's been multiple snowstorms in which Southern Westchester has outperformed Northern Westchester...I measure pretty conservatively so I'm fairly confident we've had at least 58" here. It's just one of those years, unfortunately for you guys up there. You'll beat people right on the NYC border most seasons, however...the marginal events start to add up over the years where places like Ossining and Croton get a good front-end dump while it's mostly a mix/rain down here. You and I probably average about the same seasonal snowfall, however...I'm at 350', and this is a good spot to have elevation given we get a lot of big coastals that hammer Southern Westchester/NYC. The downtown Dobbs Ferry co-op has averaged 36"/season since its inception in 1947, so I'm figuring my house averages 38-39". The best spots in Westchester are definitely the 700-800' ridges up near Mahopac and Yorktown Heights which certainly see over 40" per year. Yeah it has been amazing the differences within the county. I have had about 40 inches so far give or take a few inches. This winter is has been all about banding. I have just missed out. I thought that altitude would help me as well, I am at 360, but alas no luck except with early winter storms. Snowing Moderately and steady now. Down to 28 degrees. 1/8 of an inch on everything. Looks like it is really starting now!! Good luck all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Coming down pretty well now. We've got more than a trace definitely..so we can officially call it legit accumulation. Don't have the energy to go measure though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Loving the west-northwest extension of snow on the radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 light snow has begun here... it feels really good to actually see snow falling again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 So on 2/22/08 we had about 85 people on awaiting what we thought would be 2-5 inches....now awaiting 2-5 inches we have 24...shows you what a 60 inch snow winter will do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Light snow here. cars/grass covered. sidewalks beginning to look white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 So on 2/22/08 we had about 85 people on awaiting what we thought would be 2-5 inches....now awaiting 2-5 inches we have 24...shows you what a 60 inch snow winter will do... Also shows you what a subforum will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 From nothing to a coating on the ground in 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParsippanyWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 OK, it's officially coming down at a pretty good clip here in Morris County. Nice size flakes, everything covered in white. Eyeballing about an inch, maybe a little more. Temp @ 29F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 06z HRRR...looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 So on 2/22/08 we had about 85 people on awaiting what we thought would be 2-5 inches....now awaiting 2-5 inches we have 24...shows you what a 60 inch snow winter will do... That was back when the board populations were less too. I was commenting earlier in the SNE thread that if it was December, the board would be lit up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Snowing pretty heavy now up to a 1/4 of an inch. It's awesome no matter what we get. It's just great to see some snow. I hope this is not the last one. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The 06Z NAM is absolutely butchering this system right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 That was back when the board populations were less too. I was commenting earlier in the SNE thread that if it was December, the board would be lit up. Yeah, regardless of the subforums it has been very quiet in here lately. I think everybody is just tired--we had a 30 day period where we were literally tracking storms hardcore every single day. I think we had a few days of boring after Dec 26 but it wasn't long. The Jan 10 storm was on the map within a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 The 06Z NAM is absolutely butchering this system right now. I've learned (and watched it happen this winter) that the NAM can be absolutely atrocious inside 12 hours. I never, ever look at it in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 SN 28.5/27 1.25" new Streets are totally snow covered right now as temperatures have dropped into the 20s. Steady snowfall outside with some heavier banding back in PA. NYC north looks to be in prime position for this storm as the bands are clearly moving from NW-SE. Many of us could finish with near 6" if the trends continue. Nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Yes, the NAM has a tendency to suddenly cut back on QPF just as an event approaches. I've learned (and watched it happen this winter) that the NAM can be absolutely atrocious inside 12 hours. I never, ever look at it in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Hope you guys are enjoying thus far We're a steady SN here and accumulating decently well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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