OSUmetstud Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 We had all the early Feb snow and ice..and then we all had 2-4 the other day. 2-4 inches of rain over a week with much of it being a cold rain isn't going to cause any major issues give it a rest...no one is stopping you from talking about snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 give it a rest...no one is stopping you from talking about snow. Stop acting like a mod..you're not one..and I'll talk about what i want to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 winter for all intents and purposes is over--sure there could be a couple of nickel and dimers and maybe hope for a big one....but all in all its another year where we fail to get a good 2nd half...that's why everyone is morose.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 The NAM is a heavy wet sap snow pounding here Friday.... It held serve from the last run I guess. The thing that makes me nervous though is that we have very little wriggle room for any northward shifts at the end. But the NAM track looks very realistic to me. Another beautiful Winter's day in progress. Nice cold start now sun and wind. Totally psyched to be heading into the volatile part of Winter. Risk/reward. It'll be icing on the cake to rack up some more snow over the next two months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Stop acting like a mod..you're not one..and I'll talk about what i want to quit whining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 We had all the early Feb snow and ice..and then we all had 2-4 the other day. 2-4 inches of rain over a week with much of it being a cold rain isn't going to cause any major issues It might not, but it ties into a larger issue down the road. It's weather and this is a weather forum so I don't see the big deal talking about it. Phil started a thread. This thread was about how things look going into March so it all relates. This doesn't have to be strictly a snow thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 oh man, I hope it's just at least gonna be warm enough out saturday to make the snow on the ski areas slushy and not solid ice. We're gonna be flying through the air at mach 1, ice would kill someone. What are you talking about? Saturday should be some good packed powder if they groom out the storm snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 quit whining Leave the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 What are you talking about? Saturday should be some good packed powder if they groom out the storm snow. Speaking of packed... Wachusett is wall to wall people attm. I hope they all go home and prepare for flooding so I can ski in peace this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Ski area operators would be running for the bridges. Maybe in the Berkshires and Southern VT... but the 540 line is sort of useless in this situation as the thermal profile is so marginal in the lowest 6,000ft. H85 is below zero across all of ski country (just not god's country). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 People getting a little testy in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Leave the board lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 That second week of March may be one to watch. Unless the se ridge just destroys everything, still think that may be the period where something could brew, but it's far out obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 The NAM is a heavy wet sap snow pounding here Friday.... It held serve from the last run I guess. The thing that makes me nervous though is that we have very little wriggle room for any northward shifts at the end. But the NAM track looks very realistic to me. I can see a scenario where I watch it snow and mix all day and get an inch on the front and back while MPM a few miles up the road from me gets 6"+ of paste. His extra 600' make all the difference in the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mica Vim Toot Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 People getting a little testy in here Went right over yer head, Granny. Vim Toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 People getting a little testy in here You thinking a few inches possible N of RT 2 ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 It's tough to ice in the day after Feb 20th ...or thereabouts. The solar contribution will make accreting difficult even as low as 31.5 - I have seen light zr stop accreting at that temperature in March before, and the ice on car windows starts to crack. At night - sure, different story. This system would have probably been a nice warning ice storm for a large area if this were a month ago. Given to the consensus storm track beginning to emerge S of the Pike. That will instantiated a llv ageostrophic response either way - the question is, is that flow pulling down 30F DP, or 3 days of intense solar processed rotten polar air at 33F to absolutely maximize the misery of it all ... Jokes on me! I've been bitching and whining all week about wanting winter to end, hoping that this wouldn't snow - now, this is how the devil works. Ha ha. This way NO ONE gets to be happy. Great. You keep talking like no one is going to get snow out of this... Logan11's area near ALB up through all of our Lebanon/Dartmouth/Hanover dwellers, over to Dendrite, Dryslot & the Mainers. Not to mention folks like Moneypitmike and Pete in the Berkshires who will likely pick up a net gain. All of us in CNE and NNE should've reacted like this when SNE was getting its record snows as we watched from the outside, lol. Anyway.... Anyone notice the front running QPF some of the models are spitting out tomorrow evening? I know its not much, but the old ETA (I still love that model), GGEM, and now NAM have been insistent on some light QPF working in as snow across parts of New England tomorrow evening. NAM and ETA have both been showing .25-.5" QPF for some on this front-end wave, and although the geographic area is small, someone could still pick up a quick 3-5" tomorrow evening/night before the main event shows up: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Yea scooter think the 5th on is looking good for a switch back to more wintry chances. That clipper on Sunday which yesterday looked decent became bleh last night and today. We have not had a great clipper all year was hoping for one, could return though as its way out. Just because we have a wet period for SNE coming up I do not think its over in fact quite the opposite. Delayed but not denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 The NAM is a heavy wet sap snow pounding here Friday.... It held serve from the last run I guess. The thing that makes me nervous though is that we have very little wriggle room for any northward shifts at the end. But the NAM track looks very realistic to me. You are going to get crushed, especially at 1,000ft. Not necessarily crushed, but a heavy wet 8" dump would likely be well received... something that can't blow off your fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Why is noone talking about the Sunday snow event? all guidance has it..yet all anyone cares about is talking about flooding ...that won't directly effect most people that post on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 You are going to get crushed, especially at 1,000ft. Not necessarily crushed, but a heavy wet 8" dump would likely be well received... something that can't blow off your fields. Hey Powderfreak..... now you know why I never get excited! Enjoy your snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Nice 1-2'' N of the Pike on the front end per the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 All of us in CNE and NNE should've reacted like this when SNE was getting its record snows as we watched from the outside, lol. Thats why you guys made your own thread, if we do that we get chastised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Yea scooter think the 5th on is looking good for a switch back to more wintry chances. that clipper on Sunday which yesterday looked decent became bleh last night and today. We have not had a great clipper all year was hoping for one, could return thoughas its way out. Just because we have a wet period for SNE coming up I do not think its over in fact quite the opposite. Delayed but not denied. Yeah the clipper Sunday hopefully whitens the ground. I have low confidence in that time (second week or so), but it seems that it offers a chance. People for whatever reason go handlebars when you talk about a pattern that may not be quite favorable. I don't understand the hatred that develops when one talks about it. We'll have our chances and by no means would I write off March as a complete dead ratter...absolutely not. I'd be fine..even with climo. However, there are some signs that are a concern if you expect an incredible month. Lets just hope we can get a couple of decent events. People like Will, Kev, Ray, and you have a shot at 100"...esp the Rev. I was hoping for 90", but I'll need Sunday to perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS is a maple mauler from here through the Monads and Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS could be a pretty good icing event for GC and up in nrn ORH county. Maybe even Will. Might be a good call on his part, the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 You thinking a few inches possible N of RT 2 ?? Yeah maybe 1-2" Any appreciable snowfall will be confined north and west of Concord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Hey Powderfreak..... now you know why I never get excited! Enjoy your snow! Haha very true... this could still trend a few miles north but doubtful. I think I'm right on the northern end of the good snows, but I'd be much more comfortable if I were even a layer of counties south towards J.Spin, mreaves, Allenson & the Lebanon/Dartmouth crew. Thinking 2-4", maybe 3-5" here of 10:1 ratio dense stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I didn't think the Sunday event looked bad. Still looks a solid couple of inches..IF you're not focusing on qpf that is..if you are..then expect flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS is a maple mauler from here through the Monads and Berks. Just looking at the soundings. It is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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