free_man Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 <br />What an awful week coming up.<br /><br /><br /><br />As we said 10 days ago, late feb/early Mar will not feature any snowstorms or a retrn to sig winter wx. I still dont understand where all the glimmer and hope was coming from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 And the chipmunks start to worry, too! They've spent the whole Winter planning a battle strategy. Kevin's not used to having a deep snowpack and will be shocked at the damage the moles and munks do to a lawn when protected by snow. Heavy heavy tunneling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 <br /><br /><br />As we said 10 days ago, late feb/early Mar will not feature any snowstorms or a retrn to sig winter wx. I still dont understand where all the glimmer and hope was coming from February always looked skeptical. Nothing new here. Early March was up in the air with mixed signals. I certainly would not have said it looked horrible 10 days ago, unless I was trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 There does appear to be something in the cards for the 5-12th period, so hopefully that works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Nothing terribly dire in BOX's forecast for My Locale. I should wring some snow out over the 5 days. Looking to top 120" for the season. Shouldn't be that tough to do. mph. Tonight: Clear, with a low around 11. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm. Thursday: A slight chance of snow showers before 3pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Increasing clouds, with a high near 37. Calm wind becoming south between 4 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Thursday Night: A chance of rain and snow before 7pm, then snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Friday: Rain and snow, becoming all snow after 3pm. High near 37. Calm wind becoming north between 15 and 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Friday Night: A chance of snow, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 29. Saturday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 They've spent the whole Winter planning a battle strategy. Kevin's not used to having a deep snowpack and will be shocked at the damage the moles and munks do to a lawn when protected by snow. Heavy heavy tunneling. This is true. My dog has a penchant for small mammals and she is constantly sniffing and pouncing on the snow in our yard like she is sensing and chasing something under there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Parkbenchboy- You are much smarter than all us grownups here. It's frustrating for you that the men you are attempting to engage in battle here are dimwitted to such an extent that they are unable to see the full spectrum of all your brilliance. As an adult with a big heart I sense a need in you. A need for a manly explanation on how to behave around mature strangers. So let me explain this for you. Shut up. Vim Toot If I had an award to give...you would receive it. I may have to quote you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 If I had an award to give...you would receive it. I may have to quote you... That was classic. The next time I pass a homeless guy on the park bench, I'll think of that dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 SNE better get the arcs ready over the next week. seriously. there's a lot of water in that pack...and lots coming from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 BS I often hear folks play the "no high over Canada, what will force a triple point" card......my response to this is that their perspective is backwards. Orographics render the default setting of climo to a cp track, thus you must look for what will force this to track bodily across the spine of NE, not vice versa.....and I don't view this trough as sharply neg enough to truck this thing over Mt. Pete. That just doesn't happen unless you have a violently negative trough far enough west to grab the low by the hair and force it to do so, otherwise this will find a way to spill onto the cp. Track over se MA is my call....minor front end snows and a minor-mod ice threat for the elevated interior. The 'ole "no high, no blocking" cry rationalizes a hugger over a BM track, sure, but that isn't going to cut it to Ski MRG in and of itself. I think I understand you better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 4.2/-2 here. Brrrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Looks like a nice advisory event Sat night and Sunday. We'll worry about next week after that let's hope. euro is pretty skimpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Well my hope to avoid buying Ray dinner is that the next 2 events can add up to 3.6. Little chance of much for Thurs night/Friday but the weekend still has some hope. Next week truly looks like a dead ratter. I need to take a day trip to PIT 3/2...out early AM and back mid evening. Then the next day I need to go to DC for about 24 hours. Doesn't look like delays this far out but a week is a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 6z WRF and GFS continue to trend more amplified/further NW and are now almost identical to the Euro with a track from near NYC to just off the coast of downeast Maine. Long live the King Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 looked at my zone and fell off the couch...I dont believe it. INTERIOR YORK-INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANFORD...BERWICK...NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEBANON...HANOVER...PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT...CHARLESTOWN...CONCORD...HOOKSETT...LACONIA...MEREDITH...ROCHESTER...DOVER...SALEM...DERRY...EXETER303 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH..TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. LIGHT ANDVARIABLE WINDS..THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLYCLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS..THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT ASCOLD WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS..FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS INTHE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT..FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS10 TO 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 When things run off the tracks here I always have my mome away from home to cheer for. In the end I think I'll pick up some on the front end and maybe a bit as the system pulls away. Hope you guys get pasted if it has to go bad here. I still think this works out for a net gain for you and MPM... MPM might be in a slightly better spot a county or two northward, but overall the Berkshires will just continue to lock that snowpack in until May. My gut from the past couple of days looks right with best snow from ALB-GFL-RUT-LEB areas. Up here BTV should be the northwest extent of the steadier snows, we should be right on the line here near MVL... I think the Hanover/Lebanon/Dartmouth crowd gets a nice 4-7" dense snowfall... across to Dendrite and up towards Dryslot... a nice SW-NE axis of moderate snows bookended on the north and south by lighter accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I still think this works out for a net gain for you and MPM... MPM might be in a slightly better spot a county or two northward, but overall the Berkshires will just continue to lock that snowpack in until May. My gut from the past couple of days looks right with best snow from ALB-GFL-RUT-LEB areas. Up here BTV should be the northwest extent of the steadier snows, we should be right on the line here near MVL... I think the Hanover/Lebanon/Dartmouth crowd gets a nice 4-7" dense snowfall... across to Dendrite and up towards Dryslot... a nice SW-NE axis of moderate snows bookended on the north and south by lighter accums. Hmmm, sounds like Hickory will be the place to be Friday . I really need to get up there to ski... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I see some chairs and rope have made there way out of the closet here this am, Looks like the Euro went SE some and the Nam and GFS trended NW...AWT, Still looks like the SREF track from yesterday will be the outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 2/25/2011 event So you can build if one lives between 43and 45 north South of 43 North looks like gentle Frosty meltdown Next week's torch cutter looks like Frosty flash melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 The pattern looks pretty awful for snow lovers into the first week of March, to be honest. Maybe we can get the Blackstone River into flood. Where the hell is that -NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 There be sn in the forecast for dem me foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mica Vim Toot Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 If I had an award to give...you would receive it. I may have to quote you... Yeah, I'm still proud of that one. Can't wait to read it to my lovely wife. She thinks everything I say is hugely funny. Women sure are suckers. Vim Toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 The pattern looks pretty awful for snow lovers into the first week of March, to be honest. Maybe we can get the Blackstone River into flood. Where the hell is that -NAO? 00z ec wants to grant you that wish. two primer events then a coastal. that would do it given the existing conditions/snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 The pattern looks pretty awful for snow lovers into the first week of March, to be honest. Maybe we can get the Blackstone River into flood. Where the hell is that -NAO? It's just ugly and time us running out. Now we are looking at the latter part of the first week of march. We can still get lucky and catch a pattern relax that gives us 1, 2 maybe even 3 quick chances but it's getting uglier by the day. If the gfs were a restaurant they'd change the name of it and post "under new management" signs after this performance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Yeah, I'm still proud of that one. Can't wait to read it to my lovely wife. She thinks everything I say is hugely funny. Women sure are suckers. Vim Toot! Perhaps you and the Missus should adopt parkbenchbuoyboy and bring him to northern Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Perhaps you and the Missus should adopt parkbenchbuoyboy and bring him to northern Maine? I'm guessing no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 looked at my zone and fell off the couch...I dont believe it. INTERIOR YORK-INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANFORD...BERWICK...NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEBANON...HANOVER...PLYMOUTH...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE...CLAREMONT...NEWPORT...CHARLESTOWN...CONCORD...HOOKSETT...LACONIA...MEREDITH...ROCHESTER...DOVER...SALEM...DERRY...EXETER303 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH..TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. LIGHT ANDVARIABLE WINDS..THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLYCLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS..THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. NOT ASCOLD WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS..FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. HIGHS INTHE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT..FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS10 TO 15. Mark what are you thinking for totals up your way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Mark what are you thinking for totals up your way? I have no foookin clue. Which models are actually showing a snowstorm here? I am 15 miles nw of CON at 675 ft. Going out to walk the doggie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Hmmm, sounds like Hickory will be the place to be Friday . I really need to get up there to ski... Definitely get up there if you can... I used to skin/hike and ski Hickory back in high school (10 years ago) and its got some excellent pitch for a small hill. Great little area that rocks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mica Vim Toot Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Perhaps you and the Missus should adopt parkbenchbuoyboy and bring him to northern Maine? Oh no. Parkbenchboy is an angry savant who would rub our farmers and woodsmen wrongly. Such a didact would soon develop teeth troubles and blocked nasal passages. As his sponsor I would be responsible for the many doctor visits. Let him remain a ward of the state of Massachusetts. Vim Toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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