MaineJayhawk Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 SREFs say it goes just south of the Rev's chapel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 6z GFS goes north. AWT Finally it broke! haha... took it long enough to figure out this wasn't going to the Benchmark, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 EC ens are a little cooler. 66hr the 0C 850 line is about ALB-LEB-PWM. Hopefully for those of us in the foothills it ticks a little more S to look like the SREF mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 HPC says Toot Toot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS is POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 SREFs say it goes just south of the Rev's chapel. AWT..a cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 AWT..a cold rain What's the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Looks like a nice advisory event Sat night and Sunday. We'll worry about next week after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 What's the difference. Sarah M cranked yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 What an awful week coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 What's the difference. It means I keep my snowpack and possibly even prolonged icing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Sarah M cranked yet? Almost..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 4/-3, calm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I'm a little worried that it may be tough to bring a decent pattern back in.......things shall we say are not going according to plan...still time though...and rain washing the ridiculous amount of salt dumped on walkways Monday won't be so bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 It means I keep my snowpack and possibly even prolonged icing If there is any icing, I think it's up by GC and maybe HubbDave. I do think there is a chance for some sn or mix at the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 I'm a little worried that it may be tough to bring a decent pattern back in.......things shall we say are not going according to plan...still time though...and rain washing the ridiculous amount of salt dumped on walkways Monday won't be so bad... It's a raging +NAO. My concern grows with each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 It means I keep my snowpack and possibly even prolonged icing Don't look at 150hr on the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 It's my raging weenie. My concern grows with each day. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Well we've lost Scooter. He's talking about raging positive NAO's and flooding , arcs, and has cancelled winter. He held on for a long time..But he's gone. I'm sure we'll have some more go that route today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 BTV's discussion seems about right... no heavy snowfall accumulations have ever really been in the cards with this system. Just a light to maybe moderate event (generally less than 8")... I love how this time of year they get so relaxed about snowfall that 4-7" is like "meh". If BOX mentioned 4-7" of snowfall I can think of a few who would be hounding BOX for not issuing a winter storm watch or something like that, lol. This has advisory event written all over it. SNOWFALL AMTS COULD TOTAL 4-7" ACROSS CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL VT DURING FRIDAY...PERHAPS AS FAR NORTH AS BTV...BUT STILL A BIT SOON TO PIN DOWN AMTS. LIGHTEST AMTS SHOULD FALL ACROSS THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY. DON/T FORESEE ANY PARTICULARLY HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DUE TO FAST MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM...WHICH IS CONSISTENT ACROSS THE 00Z NWP SUITE. THAT SAID...TRAVEL COULD BE SLOW DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE FRIDAY AND DURING THE DAYLIGHT HRS. HIGH TEMPS FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Don't look at 150hr on the EC. I saw it. Next week's storm looks bad. I'm just looking forward to a few inches tomorrow night, maybe a little ice, and then a few more inches Sunday. No reaason to get upset or worry about next week. Surprised folks are giving up but it always happens when a bad model run or 2 comes out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Well we've lost Scooter. He's talking about raging positive NAO's and flooding , arcs, and has cancelled winter. He held on for a long time..But he's gone. I'm sure we'll have some more go that route today I'll be the last standing. Even you will bail once you see a patch of lawn and get itchy to dump pesticides on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 It's a raging +NAO. My concern grows with each day. D5: D10: D15: Epic March progs are getting whacked on a daily basis. Oh the humanity.....and before anyone says...it's GFS ensembles....Dr. No ain't exactly advertising wintry conds here....oy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 And now we've lost Jerry. 2 big boys are gone. Once you go..you can't come back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Well we've lost Scooter. He's talking about raging positive NAO's and flooding , arcs, and has cancelled winter. He held on for a long time..But he's gone. I'm sure we'll have some more go that route today I'm not lost, but some of the stuff I see concerns me. I'm still hopeful, but the last 7-10 days has made me a little nervous about going forward. It doesn't mean we can't get a good snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 BTV's discussion seems about right... no heavy snowfall accumulations have ever really been in the cards with this system. Just a light to maybe moderate event (generally less than 8")... I love how this time of year they get so relaxed about snowfall that 4-7" is like "meh". If BOX mentioned 4-7" of snowfall I can think of a few who would be hounding BOX for not issuing a winter storm watch or something like that, lol. This has advisory event written all over it. SNOWFALL AMTS COULD TOTAL 4-7" ACROSS CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL VT DURING FRIDAY...PERHAPS AS FAR NORTH AS BTV...BUT STILL A BIT SOON TO PIN DOWN AMTS. LIGHTEST AMTS SHOULD FALL ACROSS THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY. DON/T FORESEE ANY PARTICULARLY HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DUE TO FAST MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM...WHICH IS CONSISTENT ACROSS THE 00Z NWP SUITE. THAT SAID...TRAVEL COULD BE SLOW DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE FRIDAY AND DURING THE DAYLIGHT HRS. HIGH TEMPS FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S.-- End Changed Discussion -- When things run off the tracks here I always have my mome away from home to cheer for. In the end I think I'll pick up some on the front end and maybe a bit as the system pulls away. Hope you guys get pasted if it has to go bad here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 And now we've lost Jerry. 2 big boys are gone. Once you go..you can't come back How'd you lose me? All I did was post progs. I don't control the wx, can just wish for it. The next week to 10 days will generally be frustrating. Maybe we can cash in after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Depressing on here this morning. Need a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I'll be the last standing. Even you will bail once you see a patch of lawn and get itchy to dump pesticides on it. And the chipmunks start to worry, too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Nothing terribly dire in BOX's forecast for My Locale. I should wring some snow out over the 5 days. Looking to top 120" for the season. Shouldn't be that tough to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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