40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I think the fact that suppression has been introduced and the end result of today's system should at least give pause to the idea that this automatically cuts west. We'll see but pattern recognition suggests that the Euro is the outlier this time. The pattern that I recognize is a rather robust RNA......the ens offer a good comp, I think......east of the EURO, but still not a snowy appeal for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Is it a 50's screaming sou easter? No. Hts are falling so the low is trying to move east but it's too little too late. Likely 42 rainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 No dude I deleted that I have 5 windows opened and replied to the wrong one but immediately deleted it. That was for my chat window on FB LOL lol Gotcha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The pattern that I recognize is rather robust RNA......the ens offer a good comp, I think......east of the EURO, but still not a snowy appeal for us. Yes. But the question is does RNA relax for a day just in time? Does the extreme cold in Canada dump a little lobe of hp just in time north of us? Those issues are on the table and in fact growing in possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I think the fact that suppression has been introduced and the end result of today's system should at least give pause to the idea that this automatically cuts west. We'll see but pattern recognition suggests that the Euro is the outlier this time. Wasn't the euro nw with this last one too? And nw and too phased with many coastals all winter? I agree Jerry. A lean towards the gfs ggem is prob the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 nina climo taking over, northern stream will be stronger, cold air wins and lp travels up the canal..........rain to mix to snow for the cp, wet snowbomb for the hinterlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well...into the woods I go. bbl.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Yes. But the question is does RNA relax for a day just in time? Does the extreme cold in Canada dump a little lobe of hp just in time north of us? Those issues are on the table and in fact growing in possibility. You think yes and yes.....don't you think that it's a precarious stance to count on favorably timed nuances in the face of the most skilled model and it's ensembles.....I understand it's a plausibility, but....to favor it is another thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wasn't the euro nw with this last one too? And nw and too phased with many coastals all winter? I agree Jerry. A lean towards the gfs ggem is prob the way to go. Kev going warm and messenger going snowy...what world am I living in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wasn't the euro nw with this last one too? And nw and too phased with many coastals all winter? I agree Jerry. A lean towards the gfs ggem is prob the way to go. Of coruse Messenger hugs the snowiest suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Whats up with day 6 Euro Jerry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Kev going warm and messenger going snowy...what world am I living in I'm pretty sure he's just trolling. I don 't think he thinks cold i the way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Whats up with day 6 Euro Jerry? Not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Not much. Thanks saw the high 700 RH looked like a WAA event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Thanks saw the high 700 RH looked like a WAA event Like a 1-3"er. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Of coruse Messenger hugs the snowiest suite. I'm anti euro. Its been too far nw so I'd favor anything se and in this case there's decent consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I'm pretty sure he's just trolling. I don 't think he thinks cold i the way to go I'm not sure. He seems serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 So besides the Euro the only thing showing mainly rain is the extrapolated nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 EURO has trended the low from about the lakes region of NH to the MA\CT border, but it's not much colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I'm anti euro. Its been too far nw so I'd favor anything se and in this case there's decent consensus. I'm going with a 75%\25% comp in favor of the EURO.....it is likely too amped, but that doesn't have to mean a snowstorm.......ens offer a good idea. Same deal in your split system deal on Jan 26-27....EURO was too amped, but we still got crushed....it likely has a better idea than the rest, though not perfect (bit too far n). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I'm pretty sure he's just trolling. I don 't think he thinks cold i the way to go No I think the euro has been too far nw. As far as temps go that's tbd. Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 No I think the euro has been too far nw. As far as temps go that's tbd. Toss it. Ok, ok....I was misunderstanding you, then...you aren't saying snow, you just think the EURO is too amed.....agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 "When aren't you" Not sure what you mean by that, Steve.....Scott was a little more optimistic for a significant event for this past event, originally.....are you implying that I copy this thoughts... I think Scott copies your thoughts, but whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Like a 1-3"er. awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I think Scott copies your thoughts, but whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wasn't the euro nw with this last one too? And nw and too phased with many coastals all winter? I agree Jerry. A lean towards the gfs ggem is prob the way to go. absolutely not, the euro destroyed the competion with this last event. not even close. it had one hiccup run, but otherwise it nailed it from 6 days out with the general idea that the PV would sqaush the system S after getting as far N as the upper plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Of coruse Messenger hugs the snowiest suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 EURO has trended the low from about the lakes region of NH to the MA\CT border, but it's not much colder. That actually would make a quite a diff for interior ice..if the secondary hugs the cape or something it's an icy scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 What an awful EURO run.....even makes the March 1 event a rainer....ice in the N and W hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 That actually would make a quite a diff for interior ice..if the secondary hugs the cape or something it's an icy scenario God's country and the ORH hills maybe, but you need more trending. I need snow because it's rain, otherwise......you also have to remember that good ice events are becoming harder to see as the sun angle rises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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