Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 from Harry which i found interesting The difference seems to be is the GFS/NAM have a stronger front runner tracking across S.Canada just north of the lakes ahead of this system. That ends up forcing this system farther south. Yea the GGEM started showing that and it was mentioned yesterday. Question for the historians, what storm was it in Jan where we had an inland runner progged for days then all of a sudden a front runner flew through Canada building HP behind it and we ended up with a snowier scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 Wow, EnS fall to the Op Doesn't mean it's right, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Yea the GGEM started showing that and it was mentioned yesterday. Question for the historians, what storm was it in Jan where we had an inland runner progged for days then all of a sudden a front runner flew through Canada building HP behind it and we ended up with a snowier scenario. hehe Gin i was actually referring to the 51 ensemble euro agreement as the interesting part. as for the front runner scenario, i can recall numerous times (no specific dates) over the years that a northern stream frontrunneer passed through SE Canada shunting the main storm S and E of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Yea the GGEM started showing that and it was mentioned yesterday. Question for the historians, what storm was it in Jan where we had an inland runner progged for days then all of a sudden a front runner flew through Canada building HP behind it and we ended up with a snowier scenario. I think more importantly the NAM which was in the NW camp has nudged it further ESE each run. So clearly something is correcting here and it's probably not the NW outliers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Doesn't mean it's right, though. Doesn't mean it's wrong though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I think more importantly the NAM which was in the NW camp has nudged it further ESE each run. So clearly something is correcting here and it's probably not the NW outliers. It is probably rain for me anyway but there is a definite push for interior areas, ski areas to reap, which I like mucho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 That is a shift SE...HMmmmmmmmmmmmmm You can't resist any more, you want to declare heavy, heavy snow so badly its killing ya, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 GGEM... Nice ski area hit for the end of President's week. Many a ski resort executive is hoping this run is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 ECM came in much stronger with a random cumulous cloud 431.123 miles ENE of Honolulu in the PAC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 ECM came in much stronger with a random cumulous cloud 431.123 miles ENE of Honolulu in the PAC so i assume no change from 00z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 GGEM... Nice ski area hit for the end of President's week. Many a ski resort executive is hoping this run is correct. I am not a ski resort exec but I endorse this thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Silence says it all, I would imagine the King stood its ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Does not look like much of a change on the Euro for friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 LOL, right over Albany. Nice call, Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro is a couple of pubic hairs further se than 00z...pretty much AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Well this is one heck of a battle. ncep against the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Silence says it all, I would imagine the King stood its ground. Not from me...busy working and could care less until this time Wednesday. Think it's fun and entertaining right now but we all know we're going to see some bending. UK and EURO are 100+ miles apart....euro is SE of the UK by quite a bit but are well north of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 it's over before it begun..We can still hold out hope of Will's call for a triple point south of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 I guess if anything, there was a slight shift to the se. It's probably going to wind up somewhere in sne..maybe Kevin gets his 35F rain eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Ekster should post his thoughts instead of lurking all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I guess if anything, there was a slight shift to the se. It's probably going to wind up somewhere in sne..maybe Kevin gets his 35F rain eventually. How much snow will he have left? Triple or nothing bet he's got bare ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I guess if anything, there was a slight shift to the se. It's probably going to wind up somewhere in sne..maybe Kevin gets his 35F rain eventually. A 50-75 mile shift SE would make all the difference up here on this run verbatium, Looks a littel bit more robust with the qpf then 0z as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 How much snow will he have left? Triple or nothing bet he's got bare ground? Come on..you can do better than that..Even Birvine can troll better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 it's over before it begun..We can still hold out hope of Will's call for a triple point south of SNE I'm not sure of a triple point, just hope for your sake it's a track more to the east, and you get 40F e-se winds, instead of 50F se-s winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Come on..you can do better than that..Even Birvine can troll better Lol...I wasn't trolling. I was wondering if that was your take...I.e...you think you will have none left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I'm not sure of a triple point, just hope for your sake it's a track more to the east, and you get 40F e-se winds, instead of 50F se-s winds. I'd like to hold temps in the mid 30's..with winds off the cold ocean out of the e that would be doable. If there's any SE component it's 40 or higher even if it;s only for a few hours. Someone post when the Euro gets to the Sunday snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Lol...I wasn't trolling. I was wondering if that was your take...I.e...you think you will have none left. Well if it got into the 50's to ski country then yeah we'd all lose the pack...but my thinking is flow stays e/ne and keeps the torch confined to SE New Eng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 The differences in Quebec between the GFS/NAM and the ECMWF are remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 The differences in Quebec between the GFS/NAM and the ECMWF are remarkable. Which group tends to handle that area better from past history? US Garbage or Euro trash? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 This is pretty ridiculous to have such solutions, but I can think of a few that happened. Remember when the GFS was giving parts of sne 1-2' of snow during the big Patriots Day storm in 2007?? Lets not forget our recent Nina winters with a +NAO too. I think the euro continues to tick east, but as far as sensible wx goes...it might not mean much. Maybe I'm wrong...we'll see I guess. I suppose for far interior areas like nrn ORH county out through GC, it would have a greater outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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