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Feb. 19th-21st Winter Storm Part 3


wisconsinwx

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I have my fingers crossed for TSSN this afternoon. Is the ice accumulating on everything?

Yeah it's glazing pretty nicely out there on the elevated surfaces. It's more slushy than anything on the ground due to marginal temps and the fact it's raining high end moderate. If this were to continue for several hours I'd be a bit concerned, but WAA should bump us above freezing within an hour or two.

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Wow, some very impressive bright banding showing up on the ILX radar over north-central Illinois. Must be some huge snowflakes aloft. Probably a great sign for very heavy snow later on in far northern/northeast Illinois.

Yeah I am very pleased with what I am seeing downstream.

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We could be in trouble here, I'm thinking precip type is going to be a huge issue here, basically I am the borderline for a major snowstorm or a run of the mill storm. Way too close to call..

RUC/HRRR says dry slot after the first band, a few inches of slush...It wouldn't surprise me historically speaking these are how these storms usually turn out around these parts. MSP looks to be sitting very nice though.

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Latest 10Z SmartModel run is showing Aberdeen with about 11" of snow potential, OshKosh looking at 14", LaCrosse at 12", Rochester at 14", Minneapolis at 16", and Brookings at 18" right now, still seeing significant icing also especially in the Milwaukee and Madison areas, cold see over .5" of Ice

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Low's further south and weaker than what the GFS has/had at 12z (headed well into Kansas versus along/north of the KS/NE border).

Best pressures falls are towards SE Iowa.

More in line with the NAM actually.

Hmmm, the EURO may just pull a coup based on the observational and model trends. I almost 100% expect the GFS to come south on the 12z run now.

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