Stebo Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 lol Why lol Hey man anything to 55" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 try and figure out the date lol draw a line from galesburg to bloominging and its goes west to east.....thats where the WF that was supposed to move north got hang up April 10, 1997 An April winter storm in parts of central Illinois began during the morning hours on this date, and continued into the 11th. The heaviest snowfall was reported in an area from Galesburg to the north side of Peoria to north of Bloomington. Snowfall totals included 13.5 inches at Galesburg, 11.5 inches in Chillicothe, 11 inches in Minonk, and 6 inches at the Peoria airport. Snowfall quickly tapered off to the south, with little or no snowfall from Lincoln southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Sunday: Snow, possibly mixed with sleet before noon, then snow, possibly mixed with rain and sleet between noon and 5pm, then snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain and sleet after 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 34. Breezy, with a east wind between 8 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow and sleet accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible I believe the woman in your picture just read that forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I believe the woman in your picture just read that forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It's amazing how difficult it is for us to see a big storm. And by big, I mean 6" or better. We could have the worst snowstorm climo of any locale north of 40n. I agree. Let's hope the Euro is off-base with its QPF amounts for us, though it has support from the RGEM. BTW, a bit off-topic, tonight's Euro has another snow event for the 25th with 0.25" QPF (all snow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Do I pull an all nighter ,or save it for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 draw a line from galesburg to bloominging and its goes west to east.....thats where the WF that was supposed to move north got hang up April 10, 1997 An April winter storm in parts of central Illinois began during the morning hours on this date, and continued into the 11th. The heaviest snowfall was reported in an area from Galesburg to the north side of Peoria to north of Bloomington. Snowfall totals included 13.5 inches at Galesburg, 11.5 inches in Chillicothe, 11 inches in Minonk, and 6 inches at the Peoria airport. Snowfall quickly tapered off to the south, with little or no snowfall from Lincoln southward. wow...a never ending E-W band http://mesonet.agron...our=14&minute=0 GBG to BMI ftw lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I agree. Lets' hope the Euro is off-base with its QPF amounts for us, though it has support from the RGEM. BTW, a bit off-topic, tonight's Euro has another snow event for the 25th with 0.25" QPF (all snow). It's not. The trends have been that way with the GFS/NAM. Might be too low, but I'd say we're in store for 0.3-0.4" liquid, so maybe 3-5" of snow. No point in getting excited in any other potential down the road as that'll just end in disappointment as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Do I pull an all nighter ,or save it for next week? Go to sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Sounds lke SPC isn't all that far away from pulling the trigger on a slight risk for parts of Iowa and Missouri. It's a conditional setup, and we all know how fast that can change. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR NEAR AND E OF SFC LOW OVER SRN IA AND NRN MO WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR CONDITIONAL SVR RISK...GIVEN SUFFICIENTLY DEEP CONVECTION. ATTM...HOWEVER...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO SMALL AND UNCERTAIN FOR AOA 5% UNCONDITIONAL SVR PROBABILITIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Do I pull an all nighter ,or save it for next week? All nighter for tonight would be pointless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Go to sleep. DTX to issue warnings in the morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 DTX to issue warnings in the morning? Duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Sounds lke SPC isn't all that far away from pulling the trigger on a slight risk for parts of Iowa and Missouri. It's a conditional setup, and we all know how fast that can change. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR NEAR AND E OF SFC LOW OVER SRN IA AND NRN MO WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR CONDITIONAL SVR RISK...GIVEN SUFFICIENTLY DEEP CONVECTION. ATTM...HOWEVER...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO SMALL AND UNCERTAIN FOR AOA 5% UNCONDITIONAL SVR PROBABILITIES. Interesting, the potential is there for a bit of sunshine too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Duh You never know with them. I think they might wait for buffalo to issue warnings first then pull the trigger. BTW stebo, do you or patrick work for DTX? Probably should've asked and known that before I semi-bashed them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 You never know with them. I think they might wait for buffalo to issue warnings first then pull the trigger. Ya I'm 99.99% sure a watch is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 ugh what happened to the http://greatlakes.salsite.com/ ecmwf links that automatically drew up the plymouth state stuff. : ( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Yea..pulling all nighters for forecasting is brutal..especially when the storm is the next day. After the Blizzard I told myself never again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It's not. The trends have been that way with the GFS/NAM. Might be too low, but I'd say we're in store for 0.3-0.4" liquid, so maybe 3-5" of snow. No point in getting excited in any other potential down the road as that'll just end in disappointment as well. Agree. It looks like I will stick with my prelim call of 4-6" for Toronto, though more likely closer to 4-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Sounds lke SPC isn't all that far away from pulling the trigger on a slight risk for parts of Iowa and Missouri. It's a conditional setup, and we all know how fast that can change. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR NEAR AND E OF SFC LOW OVER SRN IA AND NRN MO WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR CONDITIONAL SVR RISK...GIVEN SUFFICIENTLY DEEP CONVECTION. ATTM...HOWEVER...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO SMALL AND UNCERTAIN FOR AOA 5% UNCONDITIONAL SVR PROBABILITIES. oh ya man, deep layer and low level shear are stupid good in the warm sector tomorrow afternoon, I wouldn't be shocked if there is a small slight risk contour in northern MO tomorrow. if you can get it to 68/55 or something like that tomorrow in the warm sector.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 My thoughts are the further east you go, say along I 94, the more snow you'll get given the orientation of the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Ya I'm 99.99% sure a watch is coming. if that was joke...it sure was a burn! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 You never know with them. I think they might wait for buffalo to issue warnings first then pull the trigger. BTW stebo, do you or patrick work for DTX? Probably should've asked and known that before I semi-bashed them. 100% chance they will issue them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Sounds lke SPC isn't all that far away from pulling the trigger on a slight risk for parts of Iowa and Missouri. It's a conditional setup, and we all know how fast that can change. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR NEAR AND E OF SFC LOW OVER SRN IA AND NRN MO WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR CONDITIONAL SVR RISK...GIVEN SUFFICIENTLY DEEP CONVECTION. ATTM...HOWEVER...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO SMALL AND UNCERTAIN FOR AOA 5% UNCONDITIONAL SVR PROBABILITIES. oh ya man, deep layer and low level shear are stupid good in the warm sector tomorrow afternoon, I wouldn't be shocked if there is a small slight risk contour in northern MO tomorrow. if you can get it to 68/55 or something like that tomorrow in the warm sector.. Let's go chasin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 My thoughts are the further east you go, say along I 94, the more snow you'll get given the orientation of the cold air. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Let's go chasin'. after we get insane CG's in the morning, right? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 ugh what happened to the http://greatlakes.salsite.com/ ecmwf links that automatically drew up the plymouth state stuff. : ( It is in the exact same place. http://greatlakes.salsite.com/big_ECMWF_plymouth_page.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It is in the exact same place. http://greatlakes.sa...mouth_page.html Isn't anyone else getting this message though: Page Not Found The page you are looking for might have been removed, had its name changed, or is temporarily unavailable. Please try the following: If you typed the page address in the Address bar, make sure that it is spelled correctly. Click the Back button in your browser to try another link. Use a search engine like Google to look for information on the Internet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Isn't anyone else getting this message though: Page Not Found The page you are looking for might have been removed, had its name changed, or is temporarily unavailable. Please try the following: If you typed the page address in the Address bar, make sure that it is spelled correctly. Click the Back button in your browser to try another link. Use a search engine like Google to look for information on the Internet. I am not. I use chrome--not sure why it works on my end but not others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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