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Return of winter.....let's rock to the records..2/20-25.


weathafella

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I think this has Pete to Will to Ray on north written all over it, I know Will thought this was coming north for days now and never bought into a ct jackpot. Pike north into ski country, that will be the jackpot in my opinion.

Not with the PV where it is..no way ..Will feels 50 miles either side of pike is jackpot which is not a CT jackpot

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I think this has Pete to Will to Ray on north written all over it, I know Will thought this was coming north for days now and never bought into a ct jackpot. Pike north into ski country, that will be the jackpot in my opinion.

NW trend every storm this season

This will come north.. even tho I don't want it..

I want Friday weather

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I think jackpot is 50 miles either side of pike with 4-6 and someone gets 7 possibly 8 max..with a sharp nw/se cutoff somewhere up in your area

Not sure about the sharp cutoff. With the PV lobe floating to our north, UL confluence (and associated high surface pressure) is confined to our west. There will definitely be a sharp cutoff in accumulations across the northern Midwest into southern Ontario perhaps, but I think in being downstream of the PV lobe, in the difluent region, we'll see a more gradual drop off in accumulations to the north ... probably becoming more orographically influenced.

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NW trend every storm this season

This will come north.. even tho I don't want it..

I want Friday weather

Of course I dont want it, but to think it cant happen is unerealistic, thats an impressive push of warmth, I think in the end everybody in ct taints and south of 84 is snow to rain, with very little qpf, ends as drizzle. For the last month every clipper or swfe has trended north the final 48, no reason to think this wont, normally having the euro on my side would be a no brainer, not this winter.

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I'm not sweating anything......notice how uncharacteristically level-headed I have been of late.

It's going to be a snowy month and any guidance suggesting otherwise is wrong.....OPINION and soon to be FACT.

29.2\16

Couldn't agree more.

amen!

was a spotty lurker through the torch, and just casually glanced at NCEP products friday as if a subconscious calling that la epic 2 was on the horizon...

cautiously optimistic.

nice gradient setting up:

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Good start..2-4 just Sunday nite..with more all day Monday

SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF

2 TO 4 INCHES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW

90 PERCENT.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT

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Good start..2-4 just Sunday nite..with more all day Monday

SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF

2 TO 4 INCHES. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW

90 PERCENT.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE

AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT

I actually think most of the snow is over by 15z Monday.

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Thanks Sam.

Looks like BDL and PVD can really come in well below normal FTM

What a wild month. These semi-neutral departures come nowhere close to describing the temperature regimes that we've had.

Worcester, right on 0, has had 3 days with temps -10F from normal, and 3 days with >+10 from normal ... one of which was +20 (yesterday)

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Tell me how I'm wrong...unless you're basing your forecast soley on the outlier Euro whose own ensembles don't support the op

I don't think you're really wrong. Tomorrow is -10 for the day... Monday is like -4 or -5. Tuesday is back to -10 or maybe more... and then we start warming at or above normal for Thursday and Friday.

What I think you may be wrong about is the "well below for the month"... that may be tough to accomplish.

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I don't think you're really wrong. Tomorrow is -10 for the day... Monday is like -4 or -5. Tuesday is back to -10 or maybe more... and then we start warming at or above normal for Thursday and Friday.

What I think you may be wrong about is the "well below for the month"... that may be tough to accomplish.

Well to me anything -2.5 or colder is a WBN month.

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Tell me how I'm wrong...unless you're basing your forecast soley on the outlier Euro whose own ensembles don't support the op

Yeah the op Euro gets a lot colder early next week than most of the ensemble members. The op Euro agrees with the ensemble mean for a cutter and somewhat of a torch Fri/Sat and then the op goes crazy with the cold but the ensembles don't.

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Keep in mind the normals are starting to rise steadily.

For BDL, normal for today is 39/21, mean of 30. Next week should definitely add to that negative departure. Of course it might not fit under your definition of "well" below.

I wouldn't consider -2.5 in February well below.

-3 or -3.5 probably are though... so it's possible we get there. I don't think it's a lock though.

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