weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 The fukkn dewpoint is 7...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I think you'll end up getting into a nice burst at some point early tomorrow...up here I'm in a more precarious position but hoping to be just far enough south to get a nice burst too. Of course you will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 ugh...28/6. Still winter though. Going out for an hour or more with my beloved friend, my dog Honey. We have to get her and Doppler together one day Ryan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I think you'll end up getting into a nice burst at some point early tomorrow...up here I'm in a more precarious position but hoping to be just far enough south to get a nice burst too. My gut right now is 3-5" western and southern CT... with 1-3" from like PSF-HFD-IJD points northeast to like ORE-BED I'll keep my 2-4 for NE CT though for 11 barring a total choke and nightmare from the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 KBFD 210229Z AUTO 13005KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV009 M03/M04 A2987 RMK AO2 P0005 IAG is 1/2SM SN now too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 http://www.twisterda...e&archive=false Don't know how to post the actual map but this would make Mike and Pete happy...and for some reason that I don't understand, Brian and I as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 KBFD 210229Z AUTO 13005KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV009 M03/M04 A2987 RMK AO2 P0005 IAG is 1/2SM SN now too The BFD obs are probably too far south for us in this flow...but those IAG/ROC areas are a good sign....also SYR later on. Good sign too that the Canadian stations north of the Lake Ontario are all reporting snow and now just getting into ART area with GTB reporting 1 mile -SN...ART still overcast but probably 10pm obs will be snow. So that tells me at least we are unlikely to get totally whiffed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I'm out for a bit......GL with the nowcasting.... 26.9\14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The BFD obs are probably too far south for us in this flow...but those IAG/ROC areas are a good sign....also SYR later on. Good sign too that the Canadian stations north of the Lake Ontario are all reporting snow and now just getting into ART area with GTB reporting 1 mile -SN...ART still overcast but probably 10pm obs will be snow. So that tells me at least we are unlikely to get totally whiffed. yeah and a lot of those more northern spots are not really pegged with any great mid-level lift so minimally that would suggest that despite the best zone of mid-level omega shifting SE across PA/NJ...that there's still enough there to produce some snows . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 KBOS 210254Z 30009KT 10SM FEW065 BKN080 OVC095 M01/M14 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP153 VIRGA ALQDS T10061144 5000 lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 RGEM coming in, didn't really move the 5mm line at all versus the 24h 12z forecast...but it didn't lighten the max south of there. Overall it may be that the RGEM did well here. Each new RUC appears to suck worse than the previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 NAM is totally stingy this run....even LGA on FOUS has a total of only 0.19. Williamsport, PA FTW....0.61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was at WaWa for part of tonight so did not follow too in depth (skiing was great btw) First call FMBY - 3-5" 2nd call 1-3" Final call D-1" I do feel a teeny bit better about Thur/Friday though. Maybe not a complete disastah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wife and I just watched the fighter, loved it, bootleg dvd for the win. Just took a peek at radar, models are useless at this point, I think I will be thrilled with an inch or two. Hope we all get a coating at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Radar looks to be getting squashed a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I was at WaWa for part of tonight so did not follow too in depth (skiing was great btw) First call FMBY - 3-5" 2nd call 1-3" Final call D-1" I do feel a teeny bit better about Thur/Friday though. Maybe not a complete disastah box went down on ORH from 3.9 to 2.5 (on their last 925 updated map) adding (6hr increments) has 1.4 for bos 4.3 HFD 4.2 pittsfield 2.5 pvd 2.2 ktan JPot on box map looks to be litchfield county approx 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 box went down on ORH from 3.9 to 2.5 (on their last 925 updated map) adding (6hr increments) has 1.4 for bos 4.3 HFD 4.2 pittsfield 2.5 pvd 2.2 ktan JPot on box map looks to be litchfield county approx 6 Where is the map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 BTW meant HRR earlier not RUC. we'll see how it plays out, SW CT is back to being the storm snow capitol though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wanna bet? Oh wait...we did. 8 days is a long time. Wouldn't take much to get 6 inches of cement in a SWFE despite a crap pattern. Or....2 inches tomorrow and combined 4.3 over a series of doodoo. Then I still win. I think the storm towards the end of the month is the best "chance". I mentioned that to Ray, but that's in la la land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Where is the map? i dunno just add up the 3 (6hr increments) they have those maps all the time ...latest one put out at 925pm. 2.5 or so give or take .3 inches per map for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 21z SREFs have awful looking 4"+ probabilities. Greenwich gets into some good stuff but 0% probs for MMK and points northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 21z SREFs have awful looking 4"+ probabilities. Greenwich gets into some good stuff but 0% probs for MMK and points northeast is there one weenie panel out of all of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Ugh..hopefully someone gets into the leading edge band. Not looking too hot for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 i dunno just add up the 3 (6hr increments) they have those maps all the time ...latest one put out at 925pm. 2.5 or so give or take .3 inches per map for you. Are you talking about the graphical forecast thingy? Sometimes they put out one of those "Plowable event" products, but I guess this one was not worth it... Oh, well. No big deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Are you talking about the graphical forecast thingy? Sometimes they put out one of those "Plowable event" products, but I guess this one was not worth it... Oh, well. No big deal yes exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Ugh..hopefully someone gets into the leading edge band. Not looking too hot for my area. Yeah this is going downhill for many I think. I may struggle to 2" or 3" here west of Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 BGM has 1/2SM SN now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Somehow Blizz will get 4" from this. Lucky bustard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 The axis of 2-3 in terms of being where the cutoff should be in general to the heavier stuff is decent. Everyone gets something, but kind of a downer for sure. Unreal that such a potent system for PA/western NY just gets obliterated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Yeah this is going downhill for many I think. I may struggle to 2" or 3" here west of Hartford. I wish that stuff over Wisconsin and Michigan would move east...nice little ULL action there with all the trimmings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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