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Return of winter.....let's rock to the records..2/20-25.


weathafella

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Andy..thoughts?

I'm sure slant stickers will find a way to inflate snow. I'm watching the NYR vs Flyers....

anyway not much north of I90 1-3 north to south gradient....I was never overly amped for this event....3-5 vs 4-7 ho cares....4-5 for you Kev Max..

Messenger maybe onto something SW CT N'rn burbs of NYC may get lolli 4-7 amts....

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Man, the month after that epic month has sucked HARD.

Yeah we all need to count our blessings that those 4 weeks were so epic.

I think we'll still have 1 or 2 good warning criteria events but if we don't people will be lowering their assumed "A" grades for this winter down to a solid "B". Maybe lower in NNE if they don't have a huge March.

I think Scott said a few weeks back don't grade a winter until it's over.

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Yeah we all need to count our blessings that those 4 weeks were so epic.

I think we'll still have 1 or 2 good warning criteria events but if we don't people will be lowering their assumed "A" grades for this winter down to a solid "B". Maybe lower in NNE if they don't have a huge March.

I think Scott said a few weeks back don't grade a winter until it's over.

One charactertic of Nina winters has been to be awesome early and awful late.

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One big difference between the setup for Mar 3, 1960 and the progs from Euro and other models for next weekend is the total lack of blocking. Not only that - heights over Greenland are quite low and one lobe of the polar vortex is near the Davis Strait.

As you used to say in irc....hogging up all the cold...

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Going to have to rely on positive anomalies building NE from AK to offset the positive NAO. Euro has a nice block north of AK by day 10, but a little too far north to really help deliver cold air for New England.

The NAO hasn't been signaled for quite a while, and I don't see the big block returning for now.

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At least we have an event to possibly look forward to. I could do without a rain soaked torch. Dry torch is fine but 1" of rain with a cutter on Friday just isn't all that pleasant lol

It won't be a torch in the classic sense. It will be cold and then quickly warming to rain and then cold. Almost the worst case scenario.

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Well sure technically. Just saying the pattern def supported the >6" for the northeast, but crap luck with this PV, potentially. Parts of nrn PA may get buried.

That is where "hunches" come in.....potential is cool, but I like to just make a call......sometimes it's possible to catch the vibe of a season at a particular time and Feb's has been awful.

Same basis for me saying that we were done in Feb, last year.

Lets see if I miss March.

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I'm sure slant stickers will find a way to inflate snow. I'm watching the NYR vs Flyers....

anyway not much north of I90 1-3 north to south gradient....I was never overly amped for this event....3-5 vs 4-7 ho cares....4-5 for you Kev Max..

Messenger maybe onto something SW CT N'rn burbs of NYC may get lolli 4-7 amts....

Im watching the race and am so disinterested in this event I have barely looked at models. But looks like a classic se ny nnj sw ct type of deal with maybe a super sharp cutoff ne of there. Imby I out the odds at 50% I see an inch or less 50% of 1+

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"thou shall see snow in abudance or thy will go thy firey pit." ...there... .....that boy is healed.

Ice warrior make sure you get the chick in the mink coat to take a weenie measurment tommorrow am.

ha, That should do it.

You saw that? lol.. Okay, since you asked, I'll do that tomorrow AM. she has work off so i'll have her go measure both the new snow and the depth too.. :lol:

Ice Commander has spoken ( with cap off)..

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Im watching the race and am so disinterested in this event I have barely looked at models. But looks like a classic se ny nnj sw ct type of deal with maybe a super sharp cutoff ne of there. Imby I out the odds at 50% I see an inch or less 50% of 1+

You look good at the moment, but I have learned to wait until verification before issuing congrats....I conceded to you too early in that 6thr bomb.

Nonetheless, you do make invaluable obs and offer great insight.

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