dendrite Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Cool..seems like it held serve from 00 zeeeeeeeeeeee..A nice snowy day for everyone tomorrow..Enjoy weenies and oh yeah AWT It cut back again a bit on the NE side of the heavier precip. Technically you're under 0.25" now...the contour runs through about BDL. Maybe you could get 3-4" of fluff though if all pans out right.I get just enough to cover the sand in the snowbanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It cut back, but it's still good for areas just to your southwest. You're on the edge. scott do you have any access to the graphics of say 12z that show where the best lift is ? and i realize it is not here but just like the visual image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Again folks watch for the bump back north the next 2 cycles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It cut back again a bit on the NE side of the heavier precip. Technically you're under 0.25" now...the contour runs through about BDL. Maybe you could get 3-4" of fluff though if all pans out right. I get just enough to cover the sand in the snowbanks. Need March to come through, or this winter is going to be remebered for one of the most epics periods, followed by one of the most epic ball drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It actually juiced up over western NY and developed a big qpf gradient in that area, through BGM. That suggests we may see one of those outer edge fronto bands that adds up for someone. We'll have to watch that, because it may move into sne..probably CT if it does come in. It's not certain, but I'd watch it. That PV will try to squish the qpf south, but we may see a pretty good area of frontogenesis on the northern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I'm happy with 3-5..and think 4-6 is the correct forecast. 50 miles south and north of the pike not to get on you ....cause i like your optomism but if snownh made this post he would be railed a new one. it's baseless IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Again folks watch for the bump back north the next 2 cycles It's pretty clear that isn't going to happen to the degree that I had expected, but I was never gung-ho on the 2nd half of Feb, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 scott do you have any access to the graphics of say 12z that show where the best lift is ? and i realize it is not here but just like the visual image. It's down by NYC and NJ, but a pretty good area of lift moves into NW CT at 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 not to get on you ....cause i like your optomism but if snownh made this post he would be railed a new one. it's baseless IMO. You need some psychiatric help dude. Really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 It actually juiced up over western NY and developed a big qpf gradient in that area, through BGM. That suggests we may see one of those outer edge fronto bands that adds up for someone. We'll have to watch that, because it may move into sne..probably CT if it does come in. It's not certain, but I'd watch it. That PV will try to squish the qpf south, but we may see a pretty good area of frontogenesis on the northern edge. Similar cut-off to the 12z GFS? It looks like the gfs had .4" to the ct/ma border to .1 at the pike. Extreme cut-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 not to get on you ....cause i like your optomism but if snownh made this post he would be railed a new one. it's baseless IMO. Yep. Saying the models will trend north....pretty much they have to or johns sun through clouds comes to fruition at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Through yesterday, BOS +0.2 for Feb. Today should bring it back below and given the overall prog in the face of rising climo, it Feb should complete the all 3 months sub normal for met winter. Elephant FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 You need some male company this aft ..i'm bored? Really no thx i'm good lol your a good salesman but what i posted was a fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Similar cut-off to the 12z GFS? It looks like the gfs had .4" to the ct/ma border to .1 at the pike. Extreme cut-off. GFS had the 0.25" area down by Waterbury CT from what I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This thread needs an event because it's turned into a wet dream for Dr Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 GFS is quite the snow bomb d5-6 and to a lesser extent D7-8. CMC is trending that way in the d5-6 event...now with a significant front end dump ala the best SWFEs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Looks like Euro is following GFS/CMC trend on the D5-6 event trend at least for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This thread needs an event because it's turned into a wet dream for Dr Phil. My 6" or less for the rest of Feb looks good, now.....I was getting roasted for that a couple of weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Messenger is either writing a long post or arguing with his wife over spending 18 hours a day at the computer. Been there...done that...lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 GFS had the 0.25" area down by Waterbury CT from what I can tell. Yeah, it was the 12z Nam had that cut-off, not the GFS. The GFS was more gradual but still accounted for .1" near the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 My 6" or less for the rest of Feb looks good, now.....I was getting roasted for that a couple of weeks ago. You'll bust but that's jmho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Well I am just looking forward to seeing some flakes fly, whether its an inch or 6, enjoyed the lull, but my thirst for dendrites is at a high level, so to me any snow is good snow, I like the fact we had a break, can easily be taken for granted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 My 6" or less for the rest of Feb looks good, now.....I was getting roasted for that a couple of weeks ago. We always had 2 chances. You may miss the 6" by 70 miles..that's luck, but yeah you may get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 I'm wrong on the Euro...looks like a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 We always had 2 chances. You may miss the 6" by 70 miles..that's luck, but yeah you may get it. That's verification. I'm going out on a limb still expecting 3-6", but I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 I was going to take my daughter skiing Friday...Euro says no soap...it will be raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 You'll bust but that's jmho. I'll bet you that dinner that I owe you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 You need some psychiatric help dude. Really A ministry free service for "Guidance"? Thanks for the optimism Rev. It may happen. However, i won't expect it too. It's NBD in my area. However, Nice to see snow anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Messenger is either writing a long post or arguing with his wife over spending 18 hours a day at the computer. Been there...done that...lol... i spit up my pre workout drink after reading scott's dr. phil comment and then your's back to back. great stuff lets just toss all models like HPC did on 12/26......that i will remember for years as the turning point for our winter wx period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 I'll bet you that dinner that I owe you. What is the verification site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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