codfishsnowman Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 does early march not sound that good anymore? whats all that i am seeing about tomorrows event last one for sw areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 does early march not sound that good anymore? whats all that i am seeing about tomorrows event last one for sw areas? Don't worry about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 D6 cutter is not too bad, infact might be ice in the deep interior. It's the cutters beyond that to look for the torch. Tomorrow also may be the final snow event for SW NE this winter. Are you trying to push weenies over the edge - lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This is exactly how I did not want people to perceive my post...lol. I think it still looks good, but all I said (and this goes for the most epic patterns) is to look out for storms with ptype problems or rain. I don't see any glaring issues, if one is realistic. Pickles really isn't stable. i've never seen someone lose it as often as he does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Baby. Crying for his momma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 wow hpc does not give us any love for four inches...looked so snowy last night...well maybe it wont get sheared out as much as forecasted...we certainly have pleny of cold air in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Crying for his momma You and Scooter wouldn't have lasted 5 minutes out there..I'm doubtful you guys can even run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 You and Scooter wouldn't have lasted 5 minutes out there..I'm doubtful you guys can even run Thanks..lol. I actually do run. The difference is that if we're ever attacked...we can stand and fight, where you have to run away screaming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Thanks..lol. I actually do run. The difference is that if we're ever attacked...we can stand and fight, where you have to run away screaming. I hope the 12 z models hold serve...any furthur south trend screws a lot of folks north of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 wow hpc does not give us any love for four inches...looked so snowy last night...well maybe it wont get sheared out as much as forecasted...we certainly have pleny of cold air in place. NWS Box doesn't either. Interestingly NWS Albany has a potential for 3-5" for areas north and west of me and under a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I had to cut my run short this morning. It was so f'ing cold with the wind. It was 8.8 when I left and I was running right into the teeth of 30-40mph winds..Brutal.. Only did 4 miles which pisses me off..but I may not have made it if I hadn't Ahahahahah!!!WAAA!!! Waaa! Waaaa!1 Thanks..lol. I actually do run. The difference is that if we're ever attacked...we can stand and fight, where you have to run away screaming. Ahahahaha!!x2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I hope the 12 z models hold serve...any furthur south trend screws a lot of folks north of the pike Yeah, 2" is starting to look optimistic up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 D6 cutter is not too bad, infact might be ice in the deep interior. It's the cutters beyond that to look for the torch. Tomorrow also may be the final snow event for SW NE this winter. Yes, usually a good call to cancel Winter in New England on February 20th. Your forecasting prowess on full display. Nice work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benchmarkbuoy Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 wow hpc does not give us any love for four inches...looked so snowy last night...well maybe it wont get sheared out as much as forecasted...we certainly have pleny of cold air in place. Yeah...and to think..I was crucified three days ago for talking about how the next 10 days would pan out because I did not cite any evidence. The evidence is about to present itself. Like I said days ago... 1. this first piece of energy would weaken considerably and get sheard to the point that its totals form the midwest would be halved at least. I said this first event would bring 1-2 inches. 2. Everybody was on here claming how we need to give the second piece of energy time to come north because "that has been the trend" well...that storm will bring snow about as far north as Cape Map NJ...guess that stayed soulth like I said as well. 3. I then went on to talk about the lat week major warm up with a drenching lakes cutter and I was called "stupid" and told that "my time allowed to participate on this forum would be short" Well, late week looks like it get to near 50 in some places with 18 hours of rain and two days of well above normal temps. As I have said...on this board, withough a meteorology degree, you will get crucified for predicing anything but "big winter" . but if you call for heavy snow and cold...do not worry...no evidence or weather background necessary...just say it over and over and slap a few emoticons on there and you will be fine...may not come true...as it will be seen this week..but you will never b e called "stupid" or a "troll." I am going to see how I fare on these three events and then take it from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benchmarkbuoy Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR A QUICK MOVING MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROF AND ATTENDING SURFACE LOW TO TRACK ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF 40N LATITUDE. 00Z GFS IS FARTHER N BUT GOOD CLUSTERING FROM 00Z NAM/ECMWF AND 03Z SREF. CONFLUENT FLOW ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUPPORTS A FARTHER SOUTH SOLUTION. THEREFORE WE FOLLOWED A NON-GFS SOLUTION. IN FACT CONFLUENT FLOW WILL BE KEY TO THIS FORECAST WITH BIG BUST POTENTIAL...AS VORTEX SLIDING ACROSS QUEBEC AND NEW BRUNSWICK MON COULD SHIFT BULK OF QPF FARTHER SOUTH AND OFSHR! NAM DEPICTS THIS WELL WITH MAX QPF ACROSS NYC AREA AND THEN TRACKING ESE ACROSS LI AND OUT TO SEA. 03Z SREF ALSO HINTS AT A FARTHER SOUTH SOLUTION WITH SNOW PROBS OF 4+ INCHES FAIRLY LOW AND FOCUSED ACROSS SE NY STATE INTO CT AND THEN BID TO MVY-ACK AND DIMINISHING EASTWARD WITH TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 . Yeah...and to think..I was crucified three days ago for talking about how the next 10 days would pan out because I did not cite any evidence. The evidence is about to present itself. Like I said days ago... 1. this first piece of energy would weaken considerably and get sheard to the point that its totals form the midwest would be halved at least. I said this first event would bring 1-2 inches. 2. Everybody was on here claming how we need to give the second piece of energy time to come north because "that has been the trend" well...that storm will bring snow about as far north as Cape Map NJ...guess that stayed soulth like I said as well. 3. I then went on to talk about the lat week major warm up with a drenching lakes cutter and I was called "stupid" and told that "my time allowed to participate on this forum would be short" Well, late week looks like it get to near 50 in some places with 18 hours of rain and two days of well above normal temps. As I have said...on this board, withough a meteorology degree, you will get crucified for predicing anything but "big winter" . but if you call for heavy snow and cold...do not worry...no evidence or weather background necessary...just say it over and over and slap a few emoticons on there and you will be fine...may not come true...as it will be seen this week..but you will never b e called "stupid" or a "troll." I am going to see how I fare on these three events and then take it from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Big winter, big big winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Yeah...and to think..I was crucified three days ago for talking about how the next 10 days would pan out because I did not cite any evidence. The evidence is about to present itself. Like I said days ago... 1. this first piece of energy would weaken considerably and get sheard to the point that its totals form the midwest would be halved at least. I said this first event would bring 1-2 inches. 2. Everybody was on here claming how we need to give the second piece of energy time to come north because "that has been the trend" well...that storm will bring snow about as far north as Cape Map NJ...guess that stayed soulth like I said as well. 3. I then went on to talk about the lat week major warm up with a drenching lakes cutter and I was called "stupid" and told that "my time allowed to participate on this forum would be short" Well, late week looks like it get to near 50 in some places with 18 hours of rain and two days of well above normal temps. As I have said...on this board, withough a meteorology degree, you will get crucified for predicing anything but "big winter" . but if you call for heavy snow and cold...do not worry...no evidence or weather background necessary...just say it over and over and slap a few emoticons on there and you will be fine...may not come true...as it will be seen this week..but you will never b e called "stupid" or a "troll." I am going to see how I fare on these three events and then take it from there. This was your post. "Wow...this is really starting to get depressing and really beginning to look like our true winter ended on Feb 2nd, as that was the last accumlating snow here in SNE. Looks like we miss to the south on the storm monday and the there is a cutter late week and then we are in March and the light at the end of the tunnell gets brighter. I just wish that we could have held onto the epic patter for two more weeks and then let spring come full force...what we may be looking at is the worstcase scenario where it is warm through the rest of feb and then cold and dreary but not cold enough for snow all through march and into april...I have seen planty of years when it is in the upper 30's low 40's with clouds and rain especially near the coast with the ocean...just miserbale stuff. Here's hoping that we get some more snow while it is cold enough because as epic as our run was...it was only from about Jan 12 to Feb 2nd and when history looks back a three week stretch of heavy snows will not be remembered as much is the last six weeks of winter fizzle out. There have been many years when Boston has recieved over 65 inches of snow...this will just be one of them jp" It was a stretch from mid Dec through Feb 2 for most. Saying winter is over on Ground hog day is just as bad as saying expect an epic stretch into April. That will shove a few dogs into your fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 8/-3, blustery w/sun and clouds. Still liking 3-6" here ALB agrees with zones adjacent to me forecast to get 3-6", BOX forecast for here looking similar. Another beautiful day for Winter sports. Today's activities, skiing and ice fishing. Get out there people, don't let Winter pass you by sitting in front of the computer. Just for BenchmarkBuoy. Big Winter Incoming, Big Big Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Not exactly what I was hoping to wake up to, but hopefully the 12z models bump further north a hair. Even the Rev struggles to see 3-5'' if the 6z/Euro have the right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I'm surprised BOX didn't issue an advisory for the CT zones especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This was your post. "Wow...this is really starting to get depressing and really beginning to look like our true winter ended on Feb 2nd, as that was the last accumlating snow here in SNE. Looks like we miss to the south on the storm monday and the there is a cutter late week and then we are in March and the light at the end of the tunnell gets brighter. I just wish that we could have held onto the epic patter for two more weeks and then let spring come full force...what we may be looking at is the worstcase scenario where it is warm through the rest of feb and then cold and dreary but not cold enough for snow all through march and into april...I have seen planty of years when it is in the upper 30's low 40's with clouds and rain especially near the coast with the ocean...just miserbale stuff. Here's hoping that we get some more snow while it is cold enough because as epic as our run was...it was only from about Jan 12 to Feb 2nd and when history looks back a three week stretch of heavy snows will not be remembered as much is the last six weeks of winter fizzle out. There have been many years when Boston has recieved over 65 inches of snow...this will just be one of them jp" It was a stretch from mid Dec through Feb 2 for most. Saying winter is over on Ground hog day is just as bad as saying expect an epic stretch into April. That will shove a few dogs into your fanny. Oh man, I missed that post, now I know what the hub bub was all about. Here I was feeling sorry for the Newbie. Please save this post for future taunting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Big winter, big big winter! Ayut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This was your post. "Wow...this is really starting to get depressing and really beginning to look like our true winter ended on Feb 2nd, as that was the last accumlating snow here in SNE. Looks like we miss to the south on the storm monday and the there is a cutter late week and then we are in March and the light at the end of the tunnell gets brighter. I just wish that we could have held onto the epic patter for two more weeks and then let spring come full force...what we may be looking at is the worstcase scenario where it is warm through the rest of feb and then cold and dreary but not cold enough for snow all through march and into april...I have seen planty of years when it is in the upper 30's low 40's with clouds and rain especially near the coast with the ocean...just miserbale stuff. Here's hoping that we get some more snow while it is cold enough because as epic as our run was...it was only from about Jan 12 to Feb 2nd and when history looks back a three week stretch of heavy snows will not be remembered as much is the last six weeks of winter fizzle out. There have been many years when Boston has recieved over 65 inches of snow...this will just be one of them jp" It was a stretch from mid Dec through Feb 2 for most. Saying winter is over on Ground hog day is just as bad as saying expect an epic stretch into April. That will shove a few dogs into your fanny. Benchmarkbaby sure has made a name for himself already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I'm surprised BOX didn't issue an advisory for the CT zones especially. Hey do you know what happened to Garrett? Did 61 get rid of him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 As I have said...on this board, withough a meteorology degree, you will get crucified for predicing anything but "big winter" . but if you call for heavy snow and cold...do not worry...no evidence or weather background necessary...just say it over and over and slap a few emoticons on there and you will be fine...may not come true...as it will be seen this week..but you will never b e called "stupid" or a "troll." I am going to see how I fare on these three events and then take it from there. The rant was funny but its funnier that its true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 8/-3, blustery w/sun and clouds. Still liking 3-6" here ALB agrees with zones adjacent to me forecast to get 3-6", BOX forecast for here looking similar. Another beautiful day for Winter sports. Today's activities, skiing and ice fishing. Get out there people, don't let Winter pass you by sitting in front of the computer. Just for BenchmarkBuoy. Big Winter Incoming, Big Big Winter. Tuned my skis yesterday and re-glued my skins. Headed out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Yeah...and to think..I was crucified three days ago for talking about how the next 10 days would pan out because I did not cite any evidence. The evidence is about to present itself. Like I said days ago... 1. this first piece of energy would weaken considerably and get sheard to the point that its totals form the midwest would be halved at least. I said this first event would bring 1-2 inches. 2. Everybody was on here claming how we need to give the second piece of energy time to come north because "that has been the trend" well...that storm will bring snow about as far north as Cape Map NJ...guess that stayed soulth like I said as well. 3. I then went on to talk about the lat week major warm up with a drenching lakes cutter and I was called "stupid" and told that "my time allowed to participate on this forum would be short" Well, late week looks like it get to near 50 in some places with 18 hours of rain and two days of well above normal temps. As I have said...on this board, withough a meteorology degree, you will get crucified for predicing anything but "big winter" . but if you call for heavy snow and cold...do not worry...no evidence or weather background necessary...just say it over and over and slap a few emoticons on there and you will be fine...may not come true...as it will be seen this week..but you will never b e called "stupid" or a "troll." I am going to see how I fare on these three events and then take it from there. You said winter was over and we wouldn't get any more snow the rest of the winter. Not only that you're basing your argument strictly by model outputs once again, not even mentioning the broad pattern of why you think xy or z will happen. So once again your post is moving more toward the 5/day range than not. You're certainly counting your chickens way before they hatch here, but if it does trend north at the last minute and we end up with a wide 4-8" swatch I doubt you'll come back to eat crow so w/e. Pattern seems to be cutter/reload cutter/reload which definitely throws in some good chances for snow here and there over the next few weeks with a chance of a big storm if the timing works out right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 8/-3, blustery w/sun and clouds. Still liking 3-6" here ALB agrees with zones adjacent to me forecast to get 3-6", BOX forecast for here looking similar. Another beautiful day for Winter sports. Today's activities, skiing and ice fishing. Get out there people, don't let Winter pass you by sitting in front of the computer. Just for BenchmarkBuoy. Big Winter Incoming, Big Big Winter. Box's call for here is 2-4". But, their AFD is giving me pause. Upton's does exactly have me leaping for joy. At least I'll get a coating--and some's always better than none. Hopefully even if the late week comes in warm as threatened, GC will be able to muster something wintry from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benchmarkbuoy Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This was your post. "Wow...this is really starting to get depressing and really beginning to look like our true winter ended on Feb 2nd, as that was the last accumlating snow here in SNE. Looks like we miss to the south on the storm monday and the there is a cutter late week and then we are in March and the light at the end of the tunnell gets brighter. I just wish that we could have held onto the epic patter for two more weeks and then let spring come full force...what we may be looking at is the worstcase scenario where it is warm through the rest of feb and then cold and dreary but not cold enough for snow all through march and into april...I have seen planty of years when it is in the upper 30's low 40's with clouds and rain especially near the coast with the ocean...just miserbale stuff. Here's hoping that we get some more snow while it is cold enough because as epic as our run was...it was only from about Jan 12 to Feb 2nd and when history looks back a three week stretch of heavy snows will not be remembered as much is the last six weeks of winter fizzle out. There have been many years when Boston has recieved over 65 inches of snow...this will just be one of them jp" You are right in that I should have been more clear about what I meant by "the end of true winter" I did not mean winter was over. I was really referring to the lack of snow from that point forward. I think we can all agree that if this pattern prevails and we go essentially withouyt a storm over two inches for the last six weeks of winter then that is pretty rare and significant in a historical perspective. If when we look back we see 70+ inches of snow in just over five weeks and then under 10 the rest of the winter people will be reminded just as much about that contrast as they will about the epic five week stretch of snow. The truth is that Chicago blizzard changed things permanently around here..in fact if this week plays oug like it look like it is going to with 1-2 inches of snow, then a miss to the south, and then a lakes cutter, then the only snow in the entir emonthe of Feb will be the 4-5 inches that came on the 1st of the month from the overunning piece that came out ahead of the chicacgo blizzard (which I am having a touhg time lopping in as part of that storm, but everyones ays they were one storm so fine) but if it were not for the overrunning feature...February would be virtually snowless ..to me that is a remarkable turnaround considering the month that preceeded it. jp LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --HIGHLIGHTS... * BLUSTERY AND COLD TUE WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES WED AND THU * ANOTHER PRECIPITATION EVENT FRIDAY...MOST LIKELY RAIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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