Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 This is a NW trender if I ever saw one. I fully expect mostly liquid here. yeah it really is. the whole pattern upcoming looks wide open, with the barn doors blown not only wide open, but off the hinges here in quebec wrt to any significant impeding features. potential flies include poorly timed northern stream waves and lack of spacing between storms not allowing for heights to build along the east coast. as a result, if these storms pass S and E of here, it will be like sticking a pen in your eye. i have my shovel, and umbrella on standby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 yeah it really is. the whole pattern upcoming looks wide open, with the barn doors blown not only wide open, but off the hinges here in quebec wrt to any significant impeding features. potential flies include poorly timed northern stream waves and lack of spacing between storms not allowing for heights to build along the east coast. as a result, if these storms pass S and E of here, it will be like sticking a pen in your eye. i have my shovel, and umbrella on standby. What exactly does this mean? Allows for a storm to move further north and not be suppressed when the heights build? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 What exactly does this mean? Allows for a storm to move further north and not be suppressed when the heights build? Thanks Yep, higher heights as the ridge pumps up and storm rides farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 GGEM even further SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 GGEM even further SE Ill roll with w/e the euro shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 GEFS further NW than the op, again that raises a flag about the op's solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Ill roll with w/e the euro shows good idea, if the euro shifts S and E, then its on the table. regardless, the energy is still 2 days from coming onshore and it will be diving well S into mexico, so nothing is stable at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 It gonna rain. Miserable miserable finish to winter here. Good luck to those up north with this one. Have a sneaking suspicion that we may be caught between the severe weather and the bulk of the wintry precip. I guess there's still time and averaging the solutions would leave the door open, but that darn Euro is a big one to have against you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 good idea, if the euro shifts S and E, then its on the table. regardless, the energy is still 2 days from coming onshore and it will be diving well S into mexico, so nothing is stable at this point. Yea 2 days away from coming onshore and only 3.5 days before its impacting everyone. Still amazes me how fast the energy travels once it comes onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 12z Ukie goes from C. Missouri to NE. Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 12z Ukie goes from C. Missouri to NE. Ohio. sounds like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 12z Ukie goes from C. Missouri to NE. Ohio. This makes much more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 sounds like the Euro. close...maybe a hair south of the 00z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 EURO is a bit SE of the 0z run, but still an ok hit for Chicago. LOW develops a bit east then where the 0z had it, hence the farther east track. SE MO-C. IL-C. IND-NE Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 12Z Euro PTK: 0.71 all snow DET: 0.94 mostly snow DTW: 1.00...mostly snow TOL: 1.28 (0.5 at least is rain--->then more snow) ORD: .34 MKE: .15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 12Z Euro PTK: 0.71 all snow DET: 0.94 mostly snow DTW: 1.00...mostly snow TOL: 1.28 (0.5 at least is rain--->then more snow) ORD: .34 MKE: .15 Thanks. Looks like the ukie has a similar track but looks a bit stronger. I will say this could easily go NW or be more suppressed. if northern stream is too fast this could be suppressed and vice versa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 12Z Euro PTK: 0.71 all snow DET: 0.94 mostly snow DTW: 1.00...mostly snow TOL: 1.28 (0.5 at least is rain--->then more snow) ORD: .34 MKE: .15 If you don't mind, what are the totals for the GRR/Muskegon area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 euro holds pretty steady. taking a look at hr 72, (using free maps)....appears to be a slight trend towards the GFS with trough position being a bit further east , but then then amplifies the heights nicely on the east coast unlike the GFS/GEM......resulting in fairly similar depictions to its previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Thanks. Looks like the ukie has a similar track but looks a bit stronger. I will say this could easily go NW or be more suppressed. if northern stream is too fast this could be suppressed and vice versa? yeah pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Thanks. Looks like the ukie has a similar track but looks a bit stronger. I will say this could easily go NW or be more suppressed. if northern stream is too fast this could be suppressed and vice versa? Way to narrow things down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 If you don't mind, what are the totals for the GRR/Muskegon area? .30 for GRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Don't look at the EURO hr 186-192 timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Don't look at the EURO hr 186. 968mb SLP over Lake Huron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 968mb SLP over Lake Huron. pardon me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 lol, mostly everyone in the E.WI/IL/IN/MI get heavy snow and strong winds. It's insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 968mb SLP over Lake Huron. Reminds me of that bomb it had a couple years ago. I think that one was 964 mb. Not sure what ended up happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 968mb SLP over Lake Huron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 This has msp written all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 12Z Euro PTK: 0.71 all snow DET: 0.94 mostly snow DTW: 1.00...mostly snow TOL: 1.28 (0.5 at least is rain--->then more snow) ORD: .34 MKE: .15 Come on NW trend! You can start anytime you'd like, but not too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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