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Feb. 23-25th Winter Storm Potential


Chicago Storm

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Although I'm still a little nervous about a last minute northwest trend, I'm ready to bite on significant accumulating snows for LAF. I like a range of 5-8" right now, and if things go right, this could be our biggest snow of the season.

I recognize I am further east and a tad south of you, ultimately closer to the Low, would you think freezing rain and sleet? Haven't heard much regarding a transition zone, yet IWX indicated heavy ice south of the heavy snow.

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Although I'm still a little nervous about a last minute northwest trend, I'm ready to bite on significant accumulating snows for LAF. I like a range of 5-8" right now, and if things go right, this could be our biggest snow of the season.

Bullish. Gonna be a nail biter. I'm crossing my fingers and hoping for the best. :)

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12Z ECMWF came in with about the same track as the 0z run.

It ends up being stronger than the 0z run (Sub 992mb along the OH/PA border).

Looks like a bit more cold sector QPF too.

QPF:

DVN: 0.26"

PIA: 0.52"

ORD: 0.17"

MDW: 0.25"

LAF: 0.92"

IND: 1.45"

GRR: 0.13"

DTW: 0.51"

TOL: 0.80"

YYZ: 0.37"

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I recognize I am further east and a tad south of you, ultimately closer to the Low, would you think freezing rain and sleet? Haven't heard much regarding a transition zone, yet IWX indicated heavy ice south of the heavy snow.

Doesn't look like the setup is favorable for a lot of ice. I expect a big gradient in snow amounts between here and say IND.

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Although I'm still a little nervous about a last minute northwest trend, I'm ready to bite on significant accumulating snows for LAF. I like a range of 5-8" right now, and if things go right, this could be our biggest snow of the season.

I think your golden this time....:snowman: Congrats!

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baum good to see you lurking...whats your ytd snow total?

about 54 inches.....fingers crossed this goes south. We need to be done. Fourth 50 inch season in a row(first time in history around these parts). Jack ass competitors out selling flat rate accounts slowly destroying a good market :axe: How about you guys?

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most likely overdone on the north edge....plus with warm temps. that paltry QPF will melt away.

warm temps....? no. If you look...the snow would be coming overnight, whats cutting down on our QPF is the dry northeasterly flow and the orientation of the LLJ being able to advect moisture up and around. It has gotten a bit better on the past few runs but not the best.

warm temps........:facepalm:

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about 54 inches.....fingers crossed this goes south. We need to be done. Fourth 50 inch season in a row(first time in history around these parts). Jack ass competitors out selling flat rate accounts slowly destroying a good market :axe: How about you guys?

great year...bought 2 new loaders and a few other toys...funny the flat rate accounts haven't affected our big accounts (promedica/first solar) due to the fact they like the service...nickle and dime snows have been great, and thats just what we like as you know...

its easier money that building turf fields in summer, but i'm ready to be on a dozer pushing dirt...getting tired

this one looking good as of 12z

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Anyone think watches will go out this afternoon?

I have been telling people at work and on facebook today that watches should be posted by 4:00pm for the IWX counties. Hopefully my predictions are accurate! :-) Today's model runs seems to confirm IWX's morning concerns about this storm's snow/ice potential and warrants the issuance of watches in today's AFD update. That is my opinion though...

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You Chicago folks can have it! I'm tired of seeing snow, and you know it's been a rough winter when I say i'm tired of it!

Yep, I love snow as much as anyone here.. But, ready to move towards some warmer temps and plain rain.. :yikes:

No doubt that Chicago can have all the snow for the rest of the winter.. So here's to Chicago being targeted from here on out! :drunk:

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