Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:02 AM, Chicago Storm said: 0z ECMWF... 66hrs: Sub 1004mb SLP in NE. Oklahoma. Same position/strength as the 12z run. 72hrs: Sub 1000mb SLP in SE. Missouri. Snow moving into the DVN area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:03 AM, Chicago Storm said: 72hrs: Sub 1000mb SLP in SE. Missouri. Snow moving into the DVN area. 78hrs: Sub 996mb SLP centered in far SE. Indiana. Snows from MO/IA eastward towards LM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:06 AM, Chicago Storm said: 78hrs: Sub 996mb SLP centered in far SE. Indiana. Snows from MO/IA eastward towards LM. 84hrs: Sub 992mb SLP along the OH/PA border. Snows from IL to YYZ. Nice hit for DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro looks like it's ticking south of the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Towel time.. no mans land again. tried to coax the last storm a tad south but nope. This one is going the same way but nothing points to it coming nw.. go figure. Gets past me and there is all the world to cut. Last storm finds a way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:07 AM, Chicago Storm said: 84hrs: Sub 992mb SLP along the OH/PA border. Snows from IL to YYZ. 90hrs: Sub 988mb SLP in C. NY. Snows from DTW to YYZ. Nice hit for YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 EURO SOUTH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:09 AM, Chicago Storm said: 90hrs: Sub 988mb SLP in C. NY. Snows from DTW to YYZ. Nice hit for YYZ. Its been a while since I read this^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Great hit for DET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:09 AM, Ajdos said: EURO SOUTH? A tick in south in MO/IN, but its is basically the same by the time it reachs the OH/PA area, and then its north when it reaches NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro sounds like a great hit from KC to Chicago, to Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:09 AM, Ajdos said: EURO SOUTH? Strangely the surface low track is identical to 12z but a shade colder and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Euro is really tanking the low out. 988 sounds stronger than the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:11 AM, kab2791 said: Great hit for DET UKIE/NAM/EURO hard to beat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 QPF for select cities... DVN: 0.36" PIA: 0.71" MKE: 0.17" ORD: 0.30" LAF: 1.24" GRR: 0.22" DTW: 0.95" TOL: 1.30" YYZ: 0.85" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 00Z EURO: MKE: 0.17 ORD: 0.30 DVN: 0.36 BTL: 0.55 GRR: 0.22 DET: 0.90 DTW: 0.95 TOL: 0.38 (rain) + 0.81 snow YYZ: 0.85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:13 AM, baroclinic_instability said: Euro is really tanking the low out. 988 sounds stronger than the 12z. It is a bit stronger. It is alot closer to the 12z euro ensembles as well as far as track goes from about IN/OH onward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:18 AM, kab2791 said: 00Z EURO: MKE: 0.17 ORD: 0.30 DVN: 0.36 BTL: 0.55 GRR: 0.22 DET: 0.90 DTW: 0.95 TOL: 0.38 (rain) + 0.81 snow YYZ: 0.85 What are the temps like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:18 AM, kab2791 said: 00Z EURO: MKE: 0.17 ORD: 0.30 DVN: 0.36 BTL: 0.55 GRR: 0.22 DET: 0.90 DTW: 0.95 TOL: 0.38 (rain) + 0.81 snow YYZ: 0.85 I assume 10-1 ratios? Since toledo has some rain mixing in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Betcha that fantasy storm comes in hot and heavy and me and joey are dreaming of chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 DET: 2m | T850 Quote FRI 00Z 25-FEB 0.0 0.4 1011 90 30 0.00 552 543 FRI 06Z 25-FEB -0.2 -1.0 1004 92 93 0.08 546 543 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.5 -3.8 999 91 100 0.65 536 537 FRI 18Z 25-FEB 0.1 -7.3 1009 81 87 0.17 534 527 On 2/22/2011 at 6:20 AM, Ajdos said: What are the temps like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 like the 12z run here regarding QPF ORD- .30" all snow PIA- .71" RA to SN DTW-. .95" all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:22 AM, kab2791 said: DET: 2m | T850 Basically 28-32 for DET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:22 AM, Thundersnow12 said: like the 12z here regarding QPF ORD- .30" all snow PIA- .71" RA to SN DTW-. .95" all snow Seems surprisingly dry considering the open gulf. Who's to doubt the Godfather though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:23 AM, dmc76 said: Basically 28-32 for DET I thought that was going to be the case with this last storm but we were at 25-26 for the whole event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:24 AM, cyclone77 said: Seems surprisingly dry considering the open gulf. Who's to doubt the Godfather though. I think like the last storm that things will trend up as we move along closer to the went, too good of moisture transport for it not to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:24 AM, cyclone77 said: Seems surprisingly dry considering the open gulf. Who's to doubt the Godfather though. It's actually wet...mostly on the warm side though. DTW is basically the highest all snow QPF it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:28 AM, Stebo48858 said: I think like the last storm that things will trend up as we move along closer to the went, too good of moisture transport for it not to. I was thinking maybe it's just moving things along quicker than other models, but it seems pretty similar to the speed shown on the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Good luck to you guys down in the south, unless there is a major shift, looks like this will be a non-event up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 On 2/22/2011 at 6:29 AM, Chicago Storm said: It's actually wet...mostly on the warm side though. DTW is basically the highest all snow QPF it looks like. Sounds like it's not wrapping much moisture back into the cold side of the storm, and keeps it more like large wave of precip. Seems a bit weird though given the strength of the surface low by the time it reaches Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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