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FEB 18 CWG blog


usedtobe

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with the mild temps before the storm, to worry about rush hour tuesday is a bit premature considering the model differences and temps, even if their cold enough, ground temps are too damn warm. Getting excited about this is, , well, kinda boring. Considering this winter, I wont worry about it until monday aftn. What the hell. I,m enjoying the warmth. It might be heavy snow or it might not????

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with the mild temps before the storm, to worry about rush hour tuesday is a bit premature considering the model differences and temps, even if their cold enough, ground temps are too damn warm. Getting excited about this is, , well, kinda boring. Considering this winter, I wont worry about it until monday aftn. What the hell. I,m enjoying the warmth. It might be heavy snow or it might not????

All I was saying is it is worth monitoring. I doubt it will be heavy snow but....I'm not prescient.

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Elevation will be a big factor this time. This could be the kind of storm where northern MD gets 4-6" while DC gets a dusting.

It could be but fairly small changes to the palyers could impact the track and it could still edge back southward or northward a little. Shift the NAM sfc low south 50 miles and it would make a big difference in the temps.

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It could be but fairly small changes to the palyers could impact the track and it could still edge back southward or northward a little. Shift the NAM sfc low south 50 miles and it would make a big difference in the temps.

Yes, but since this storm will be preceded by a torch on Monday, I don't think anyone east of the fall line should count on any meaningful accumulation. At least that is how I recall most storms with suddenly colder temps, like 12/5/2009. Of course you know more than I do.

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Yes, but since this storm will be preceded by a torch on Monday, I don't think anyone east of the fall line should count on any meaningful accumulation. At least that is how I recall most storms with suddenly colder temps, like 12/5/2009. Of course you know more than I do.

I don't remember that many torches to snow even though upper 50s to snow isn't unusual in March. That might be something for Ian to look for.

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