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DaculaWeather

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wow, right now the entire northern half of GA is for the most part clear on radar.

It should fill back in later today esp. when the ULL in texas scoops up that moisture from La/Ms. and takes it directly to your area and the Apps. The RUC has a pretty long duration of good UVV's tonight along the spine of the Apps all the way from ATL north.

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Late afternoon without a drop of rain here except for a little drizzle early this morning. Local radar looks horrible. Doubt we'll get more than a few tenths at most here. The sun is acually shining now :gun_bandana: . Hope some of you down south get some.

lol I think you are going to get a little bit more than that. The main brunt of the system hasn't reached you yet so don't worry. 18z models still targeting your area with really heavy rains and radar seems to support that.

gfs_p24_024s.gif

nam_p36_036s.gif

A lot of Gulf Coast Convection currently going on...always gotta be concerned about that.

Normally yes but keep in mind this low does not move from the gulf to the carolina coast as we normally see, in which cases it would be cause for concern. But Instead the low moves northeast across north ga into western nc. So that batch of heavy rain is going to translate northeast with the low and track right across the southern appalachians.

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CAE...:(:angry::devilsmiley:

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING/...

-- Changed Discussion --MOISTURE WILL BECOME DEEP TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONTAL

SYSTEM. EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY

ASSOCIATED WITH THE H85 JET LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. SHEAR

WILL BE STRONG. THE NAM INDICATES H85 WINDS NEAR 60 KNOTS. THE

HIGH SHEAR SUPPORTS POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY

DURING THE LATE MORNING AS THE MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT NEARS THE

REGION. STILL...THE THREAT APPEARS LIMITED BECAUSE OF A LACK OF

SIGNIFICANT SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. THE NAM LOWERS LI/S TO

AROUND -1 OVER MAINLY THE SOUTH AND EAST PART DURING THE 12Z TO

18Z TIME FRAME. THE MODEL FORECAST OF JUST WEAK INSTABILITY APPEARS

REASONABLE BECAUSE OF THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX THAT WAS TRACKING

ALONG THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT THESE

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND LIMIT THE

TRANSPORT OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY NORTHWARD. THE LATEST NAM

AND GFS PLUS SREF MEANS INDICATE LOWER QPF THAN PREVIOUS RUNS WITH

AMOUNTS AROUND 0.75 OF AN INCH. THE WARMER TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE

APPEARS BETTER TONIGHT BECAUSE OF CLOUDINESS AND MIXING.-- End Changed Discussion --

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0.04" at the house so far. Had to work in Asheville today and it's a whole different world. Much lower cloud deck and a steady drizzle all day. I guess the SE wind is just pounding the moisture into the escarpment and dropping it. Have to agree with Weather Czar about the micro climates in the Mnts. Never a dull moment around here.

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