Allenson Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Started out the day under blue skies...clouded over very quickly. I should know better than to report sky conditions because as soon as I do, it changes. Blue skies once again approaching from the NW. 13F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Clean up is finished! Updated map with my storm total of 10.75". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 back door area this morning and the driveway too. The benches in front of the house are about 3 feet off the ground. Best measurement I could come up with snow on the ground this morning was about 26 inches. I think yesterday was about 7 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hvysnow79 Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Back up to 29" at the stake and now at 85.5" for the season. Less than 15" to go, baby. It is interesting that our numbers are almost identical this season....I have received 84.6" and have just under 30" on the ground. Not usually the case with our elevation differences as you know. Ended up with 9.4" yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 C NH 2m temps on this run of the NAM don't get above 33-34F on Mon-Tue. With the flip back to snow it may even be a slight net gain. Man...that would be insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 nice pics KLW! picked up 1.5 here, about 18 on the ground meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 C NH 2m temps on this run of the NAM don't get above 33-34F on Mon-Tue. With the flip back to snow it may even be a slight net gain. Man...that would be insane. I was completely disregarding this event because rain at this time of year is not interesting. That has changed. I know Jeff has been mentioning the Euro shifting east for a couple of days now, so here's hoping there's validity in the NAM solution. And, while we're at it, let's get it just a couple degrees cooler at all levels. If this winds up as mostly snow (a stretch, I know) it'll be an epic week in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I'm either on crack or the NAM sounding says this place doesn't get above about 32.3... and it's not just surface cold, but at or below freezing from 900 mb downward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Finished yesterday about where I'd guessed, with 6.8" new (0.71" LE) and 25" at the stake, now back to 24. From 9-5 I had 6.2" of all snow but modest ratio, 0.70" LE for 8.9 to 1. Then from 6:30-8 that last little band dropped 0.6" of feathers which, when melted down came to a rounded-off 0.01" - actually was about 0.012, but still a 50:1 ratio. Blew pretty hard starting yest afternoon, and still windy now, mostly sunny and mid-teens. We spent 16 days hanging 2" under last winter's total, but are now 4.8" ahead, and about the same amount over my 12-yr avg total thru 2/25. 06z gfs has AUG max temp Mon at 34, RUM briefly up to 33, though thicknesses mid-upper 540s so a messy event. Only about 1/2" qpf, though. Judging by GYX discussion, other models must be much juicier, and warmewr as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I'm either on crack or the NAM sounding says this place doesn't get above about 32.3... and it's not just surface cold, but at or below freezing from 900 mb downward. IZG is also below 0C 900mb down. Just a touch warm 750-850. Ice, ice baby. Big time shift. Let's hope other guidance hops on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 It is interesting that our numbers are almost identical this season....I have received 84.6" and have just under 30" on the ground. Not usually the case with our elevation differences as you know. Ended up with 9.4" yesterday. Yeah, I think this the third moderate/major event where the immediate CT valley from Orford/Fairlee south has done better than we have out here. Definitely not often the case no, but it sure has been so this year. More of an even spread this season. I'm not complaining but here, we've pretty much been at the low end of forecasted ranges all season. For example, yesterday's point-n-click was 7-11", ended up just shy of 8". Plenty of snow to go around, spread the love & wealth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 IZG is also below 0C 900mb down. Just a touch warm 750-850. Ice, ice baby. Big time shift. Let's hope other guidance hops on board. GFS doesn't buy what the NAM is selling. The MET MOS for LCI has wetbulbs remaining 32F or lower throughout the event. I don't think the NAM will pan out, but hopefully it scores a coup. I envision a brief period of front end snow (1-2"?) and then some ZR/ZL followed by a mid 30s interior/ low 40s coast glopfest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 GFS doesn't buy what the NAM is selling. The MET MOS for LCI has wetbulbs remaining 32F or lower throughout the event. I don't think the NAM will pan out, but hopefully it scores a coup. I envision a brief period of front end snow (1-2"?) and then some ZR/ZL followed by a mid 30s interior/ low 40s coast glopfest. Not a big surprise GFS didn't take the bait - that was a sizeable leap by the NAM. Maybe we'll get better news with Doc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 5 minutes ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 5 minutes ago You must be really bummed about the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 You must be really bummed about the snow. why do you say that? I love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 Been following the trends like Eric said for Monday, The Euro has hit on this further SE track over the last few runs and the Nam looks like it has jumped on, GFS is still north though, Going by the 12z nam here, Mondays storm starts as SN to RN to FRZRN back to SN with close to 6" snow and about .37" rain, That would certainly be a net gain here if it verifys, We will see what the Doc has in another 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 CAR onto the trend for Monday..... SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF NEW ENGLAND AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS PERIOD THEN TRACK EAST NORTHEAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. OPERATIONAL GFS AND ECMWF ALONG WITH NAM AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ALL AGREE ON SOUTHERLY TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. WILL BRING CHANCE POPS IN BEHIND SYSTEM AS OVER-RUNNING OCCURS BEHIND DEPARTING HIGH LATER SUNDAY. NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST EARLY MONDAY. OPERATIONAL GFS TAKES THIS SYSTEM ON A TRACK OVER THE NORTHERN TIP OF MAINE...HOWEVER MOST GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBER TAKE SYSTEM A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK AS DOES THE ECMWF. SO WILL KEEP MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH WITH MIX OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. FOR POPS HAVE USED A BLEND OF THE SREF...NAM AND GFS. WILL INCREASE POPS A LITTLE BASED ON GFS ENSEMBLE AND SREF PROBABILITY. FOR WIND...TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT HAVE USED THE GMOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Here's another from this morning with a 70 pound golden to provide scale. The wire fence which is peeking out is a three foot high fence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 Just for a reference to the height of the snowpack here after yesterdays storm, My sled is pretty much level with the height of the picnic table...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Ski doo, FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 Ski doo, FTW. lol, Most definitely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Sad to be home now. 12" on the storm. Left around 10am and got home about an hour ago. Not much here except a bunch of snow piles here and there. Looks like it did snow on the back end maybe an inch since there was snow on the shaded side of the house. Here are the random shots I took yesterday. It will take multiple replies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Snow pile off the side of the house. All the snow from the roof falls off so you need to dig a path to the door. What a b**ch that was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I'd be rather surprised if BTV and GYX don't issue WWA... EDIT: I guess I'll be surprised... cause they won't with the totals they're offering... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Here are all the shots from the beach clubhouse area looking out onto Moose Pond and then walking out 100 yards onto the pond. In the 3rd image you may be able to make out a faint tree line. That is the island along the Rt 302 causeway. That's 0.3mi away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 Here are all the shots from the beach clubhouse area looking out onto Moose Pond and then walking out 100 yards onto the pond. Nice pics Bob, I am sure it sucked having to leave that scene and return to something less then winterish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Nice pics Bob, I am sure it sucked having to leave that scene and return to something less then winterish Pretty much. Was nice to see a true snowstorm with limited vis. again. Just looking at the IZG ASOS and it confirms what you see. 3 hours of +SN. 10:54 AM 28.9 °F 28.0 °F 96% 29.65 in 0.2 miles North 6.9 mph - 0.16 in Fog , Snow Heavy Snow METAR KIZG 251554Z AUTO 35006KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV002 M02/M02 A2962 RMK AO2 SLP038 P0016 T10171022 11:54 AM 30.0 °F 28.0 °F 92% 29.58 in 0.2 miles North 6.9 mph - 0.17 in Fog , Snow Heavy Snow METAR KIZG 251654Z AUTO 36006KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV002 M01/M02 A2956 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP015 P0017 T10111022 12:54 PM 30.0 °F 28.9 °F 96% 29.48 in 0.2 miles North 9.2 mph - 0.13 in Fog , Snow Heavy Snow METAR KIZG 251754Z AUTO 36008KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG BKN002 OVC007 M01/M02 A2946 RMK AO2 SLP983 P0013 60061 T10111017 11011 21022 58077 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Monday is starting to sound more interesting. from BTV AFD http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=AFD&issuedby=BTV THINKING INITIAL BAND OF WAA PRECIP WL ARRIVE ACRS OURCWA BY 12Z MONDAY...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW. BUT AS SECONDARY SURGE DEVELOPS MONDAY AFTN ASSOCIATED WITH SFC LOW PRES...SOUNDINGS SHOW 85H TEMPS WARMING BTWN 1C (NORTH) AND 5C (SOUTH)ACRS OUR CWA...WHILE 925MB TEMPS STAY BTWN +4C (SOUTH) AND -3C (NORTH)...SUPPORTING FZRA/SLEET...WITH A STRONG LLVL CAD SIGNATURE IN THE MSLP FIELDS ACRS THE SLV AND PARTS OF THE NEK/EASTERN VT. GIVEN SFC WINDS CONT FROM THE NE THRU THE ENTIRE EVENT AND COLD AIR REMAINS LOCKED IN AT THE SFC ACRS THESE AREAS...EXPECT MAINLY A FROZEN PRECIP EVENT. HOWEVER...ACRS THE WIDER CPV AND PARTS OF THE WESTERN DACKS...AND SOUTHERN VT...ENOUGH LLVL WARMING WL OCCUR TO CHANGE SNOW/MIXED TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN...BEFORE ENDING AS A PERIOD OF SNOW MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...A MAINLY ADVISORY TYPE EVENT LOOKS LIKELY...WITH POSSIBLE LOW END WARNING ACRS THE NORTHERN SLV AND PART OF EASTERN/NORTHEAST VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Nice shots everyone. In the spirit, here's one from yesterday down the hollow below our place, during a bit of a lull, while on a beer run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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