Madmaxweather Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 It was suppose to be 50 by now and were stuck at 39-40... FWIW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Ruc shows a good 4-5" over N Ohio with a blob of 6" over Columbiana County. Post link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 It was suppose to be 50 by now and were stuck at 39-40... FWIW.. Yea I'm at 33 and the temps are falling to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Post link? http://ruc.noaa.gov/disp2.cgi?/w3/rapb/plots_13km_oper/.//+snowacc+am+18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Ruc shows a good 4-5" over N Ohio with a blob of 6" over Columbiana County. Nice. Let's hope it verifies. I'm not that optimistic... there is going to be a very sharp cutoff line... I hope that line isn't south lakeshore. Precip is moving due east once it gets into OH. Dilly - Your area is looking great right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Nice. Let's hope it verifies. I'm not that optimistic... there is going to be a very sharp cutoff line... I hope that line isn't south lakeshore. Precip is moving due east once it gets into OH. Dilly - Your area is looking great right now. Im worried man. Most models have me in that heavy band that pit is in, but one county to my south is basically not gonna get much of anything because its too warm. So I am not confident by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 cold air is moving in faster than expected at least. Hoping for a changeover by 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 the radars are all showing an area of snow pushing down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 CLE's aviation update. Looks like they think the NE part of the state won't even see 1-3. ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN OHIO. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW WITH THE SOUTHERN AREAS SEEING SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION. BELIEVE THE MIXTURE OF SLEET AND MAYBE SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL BE NEAR AND SOUTH OF A KFDY TO CANTON LINE THROUGH 20Z-21Z. ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD BE OVER TO SNOW BY 21Z-22Z. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA WITH 3 TO LOCALLY 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...EXCLUDING EXTREME NE OHIO INTO NW PA...WILL SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 here is the radar, im near that black dot. it's pouring rain here though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 here is the radar, im near that black dot. it's pouring rain here though Intellicast's radar is usually pretty accurate. Looks different than the one you posted. So... do you want to do the honors for the end of the week storm? Seems best to have an OV storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Much better depiction of the freezing rain/sleet/snow/rain lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Much better depiction of the freezing rain/sleet/snow/rain lines that dont go over to me. but it isnt accurate from the looks. I just went outside and it is clear ice pellets and rain mixed in, so the accuwx radar is accurate in the sense that it is trying to switchover. The radar on my site looks like acuwxs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 it is showing the snow area expanding clearly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 that dont go over to me. but it isnt accurate from the looks. I just went outside and it is clear ice pellets and rain mixed in, so the accuwx radar is accurate in the sense that it is trying to switchover. The radar on my site looks like acuwxs If you are seeing a mix... Intellicast's radar is probably the most accurate then. It shows the mix line moving south into your county. EDIT: That accujunk radar you posted is terribly wrong. How can you say it is accurate when you have a mix... but the radar is showing snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 If you are seeing a mix... Intellicast's radar is probably the most accurate then. It shows the mix line moving south into your county. EDIT: That accujunk radar you posted is terribly wrong. How can you say it is accurate when you have a mix... but the radar is showing snow? I didnt say it is accurate. I said it is clearly showing that its trying to change over. The accuwx radar I believe is only temp based, so it is accurate in depicting temperature falls. I was hovering at 33° and now I am at 32°, So no, it isnt so much accurate as to what is falling but it is accurate where temp changes are concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 that dont go over to me. but it isnt accurate from the looks. I just went outside and it is clear ice pellets and rain mixed in, so the accuwx radar is accurate in the sense that it is trying to switchover. The radar on my site looks like acuwxs Well over this way that accuweather radar is awful. That map I posted is from GREarth and has been very accurate this way and over the past several winter storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Well over this way that accuweather radar is awful. That map I posted is from GREarth and has been very accurate this way and over the past several winter storms. yes. I like the grearth radars. I just stated it didnt reach my location on the one you posted, but it didnt look like it would be accurate here. looked like it would show rain over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Much better depiction of the freezing rain/sleet/snow/rain lines That looks accurate. Freezing line is sinking south....Latest RUC says frz rain starts in Columbus at 6pm with 1/4" of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I didnt say it is accurate. I said it is clearly showing that its trying to change over. The accuwx radar I believe is only temp based, so it is accurate in depicting temperature falls. I was hovering at 33° and now I am at 32°, So no, it isnt so much accurate as to what is falling but it is accurate where temp changes are concerned. I'm not sure what parameters the intellicast radar uses... but it has handled the mix precip very well around here this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Going to be a sharp cut off in Cleveland. RUC gives about 6" while NAM has a tight gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Winter Weather Adv for 0.10" of ice now in effect for Columbus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 A poster from Indiana reported 4" in the past two hours in another thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 A head's up for the OH posters. I had about 1/10" of freezing rain earlier. It then mixed with and changed to sleet, accumulating 4/10". After a lull in the precip, I'm now getting +SN with half-dollar size flakes, over 1" an hr rates right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Going to be a sharp cut off in Cleveland. RUC gives about 6" while NAM has a tight gradient. Suprised the RUC is still showing that much. I'm going to say no more than 1-2" IMBY. Precip is having a hard time pressing north. Ugly signal for the NE counties to get screwed. Although that area may be limited to Ashtabula and NW PA. 18z NAM shows the heaviest snow just grazing of the shoreline. So it won't take much a shift to surprise or shaft this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Suprised the RUC is still showing that much. I'm going to say no more than 1-2" IMBY. Precip is having a hard time pressing north. Ugly signal for the NE counties to get screwed. Although that area may be limited to Ashtabula and NW PA. 18z NAM shows the heaviest snow just grazing of the shoreline. So it won't take much a shift to surprise or shaft this area. http://ruc.noaa.gov/disp2.cgi?/w3/rapb/plots_13km_oper/.//+snowacc+am+18 8+ around Wooster, 6" up to Cuyahoga, 4" up to Mentor, nothing in Ashtabula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 2.5" in Bowling Green right now... from 2:10 to 2:55 we got about 1" or so... ridiculous band. Another band appears to be setting up again in Central/Northern IN heading this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 http://ruc.noaa.gov/.../+snowacc+am+18 8+ around Wooster, 6" up to Cuyahoga, 4" up to Mentor, nothing in Ashtabula. Yeah, this is going to a big surprise for parts of northern Ohio. I don't know why all the forecasts are calling for no more than 2-4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Yeah, this is going to a big surprise for parts of northern Ohio. I don't know why all the forecasts are calling for no more than 2-4 inches. That's a very large shift from the RUC compared to this morning... it barely had NWOH in 4" or so... now it's showing 6"+ Rapid Refresh/HRRR did much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 http://ruc.noaa.gov/.../+snowacc+am+18 8+ around Wooster, 6" up to Cuyahoga, 4" up to Mentor, nothing in Ashtabula. Wow. I'll feel a lot better about those totals once I see the snow start to fall. Nothing yet. Northerly winds should actually help the lakeshore. Congrats down south. Impressive total if the RUC verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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