KokomoWX Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Im the biggest winter fanatic you'll meet and im shocked to say it but I want the winter over. Im just done with it. I agree. The taste of spring this week was really nice. Unless a real threat can materialize of 10+ inches, then fook it and let's be done with winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I know all about that. I'm a browns, cavs and indians fan lol Good man you are. We are gluttons for punishment in OH. Anyone buying the strong second wave on the NAM? Pastes most of OH with a nice snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Good man you are. We are gluttons for punishment in OH. Anyone buying the strong second wave on the NAM? Pastes most of OH with a nice snowfall. I am. This looks like a classic Buckeye special... don't know why it's just not working out on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Good man you are. We are gluttons for punishment in OH. Anyone buying the strong second wave on the NAM? Pastes most of OH with a nice snowfall. No it doesn't. Mos data shows it stays above freezing at 850 and at 2m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 No it doesn't. Mos data shows it stays above freezing at 850 and at 2m My bad. Looks like the cut off is round Rt. 30 or just south of there... so not too far from you. Can still trend colder once the first storm passes and flushes the warm air out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 My bad. Looks like the cut off is round Rt. 30 or just south of there... so not too far from you. Can still trend colder once the first storm passes and flushes the warm air out. Yea. From Mansfield on north it would be cold enough. Cmh on south too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 This is sickening. I might just save this image because it is SO bad: http://wxcaster.com/...3?STATIONID=ILN EDIT: That actually includes the big storm on Thursday. Still upsetting lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 This is sickening. I might just save this image because it is SO bad: http://wxcaster.com/...3?STATIONID=ILN EDIT: That actually includes the big storm on Thursday. Still upsetting lol HAHAHA that map actually gives me 6-9 inches. ECMWF MON 06Z 21-FEB 9.5 8.6 1005 89 69 0.09 559 555 MON 12Z 21-FEB 5.1 7.0 1005 93 72 0.28 557 553 MON 18Z 21-FEB 2.7 3.0 1009 94 88 0.18 554 547 TUE 00Z 22-FEB 1.4 1.1 1010 96 99 0.50 553 545 TUE 06Z 22-FEB 0.0 0.9 1010 89 94 0.16 549 541 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Only real solice is that the gfs is trending colder for the Friday storm FRI 00Z 25-FEB 2.6 3.3 1019 99 32 0.04 561 546 FRI 06Z 25-FEB 1.8 3.1 1013 99 97 0.07 557 546 FRI 12Z 25-FEB 0.5 1.7 1003 98 100 0.79 550 547 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -1.1 -5.8 1009 93 97 0.26 544 536 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -4.7 -7.0 1020 95 55 0.01 545 529 And here is cmh FRI 06Z 25-FEB 1.1 2.6 1013 98 99 0.11 556 546 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -0.9 0.4 1004 96 100 0.70 548 545 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -1.4 -6.3 1013 93 96 0.25 544 535 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -5.9 -6.5 1022 94 42 0.01 545 528 TUE 12Z 01-MAR -4.6 -1.7 1014 96 85 0.01 552 540 WED 00Z 02-MAR 1.0 1.2 999 100 97 0.57 540 541 WED 12Z 02-MAR -1.5 -7.8 1007 98 96 0.10 531 525 THU 00Z 03-MAR -5.6 -11.3 1024 95 12 0.06 535 517 SAT 00Z 05-MAR 0.8 -1.5 1017 99 99 0.28 555 541 SAT 12Z 05-MAR 2.4 6.6 1006 100 83 0.65 556 551 SUN 00Z 06-MAR 12.3 11.2 999 100 36 0.13 559 560 SUN 12Z 06-MAR 1.4 6.0 1011 95 78 0.24 557 548 MON 00Z 07-MAR -3.2 -6.3 1026 90 61 0.10 557 536 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 euro is a torch for friday THU 12Z 24-FEB 2.1 5.3 1017 85 89 0.12 563 549 THU 18Z 24-FEB 6.1 5.4 1015 90 88 0.11 563 550 FRI 00Z 25-FEB 6.7 6.2 1010 98 88 0.10 560 552 FRI 06Z 25-FEB 11.7 9.1 999 94 97 0.56 557 558 FRI 12Z 25-FEB 13.1 7.7 996 93 20 0.32 548 552 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 euro is a torch for friday THU 12Z 24-FEB 2.1 5.3 1017 85 89 0.12 563 549 THU 18Z 24-FEB 6.1 5.4 1015 90 88 0.11 563 550 FRI 00Z 25-FEB 6.7 6.2 1010 98 88 0.10 560 552 FRI 06Z 25-FEB 11.7 9.1 999 94 97 0.56 557 558 FRI 12Z 25-FEB 13.1 7.7 996 93 20 0.32 548 552 Maybe we can get some severe weather then Anything but being stuck in the boring rain zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Looking at the Ohio areas with the 16Z SmartModel, looking at mostly rain for ILN, but switches to FZRA to SN by 04Z on the 22nd, last for about 4-5 hours. Cleveland picks up around 4" and with another .3" of Freezing precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Lmao heavy snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 The warm bubble of the central lakeshore is amazing. Two counties away to the NE they are below freezing with NE'erly winds. To the west by Toledo it is below freezing with E'erly winds. 35 IMBY with SE'erly winds, yet these locations are all at the same latitude. Can't locate any front that would cause this. Temps should drop once the precip starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Easily inch per hour rate. Flakes ar the size of half dollars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Easily inch per hour rate. Flakes ar the size of half dollars. We had that earlier for 15 minutes or so. Loved it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 18z nam was nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Jeez. I thought this storm was gone, and here it is back for tomorrow evening. Picked up 0.8" of snow this evening, which puts me at exactly 50.0" for the season. It feels like so much less than that has fallen though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Jeez. I thought this storm was gone, and here it is back for tomorrow evening. Picked up 0.8" of snow this evening, which puts me at exactly 50.0" for the season. It feels like so much less than that has fallen though. Over performing already... I was expecting 0 and we have close to an inch. It's mostly sleet and freezing rain now. Winds have come around to the ENE. Maybe that will help lock the cold air in. Crazy snowfall gradient on the models. W PA and WNY will probably see 6-12 inches with just 1-2 around here. Who's know what will happen with the 2nd storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Over performing already... I was expecting 0 and we have close to an inch. It's mostly sleet and freezing rain now. Winds have come around to the ENE. Maybe that will help lock the cold air in. Crazy snowfall gradient on the models. W PA and WNY will probably see 6-12 inches with just 1-2 around here. Who's know what will happen with the 2nd storm. It quickly turned to sleet and ZR here, the snow has now compacted to an icy mess. Now we just wait to see what happens tomorrow night. I give it a 90% chance of being the same run of the mill 2-3" snow event that is ever present in NE Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Lol nam back to cold. Gives 4-6" of snow after rain MON 7P 21-FEB 0.9 2.8 1005 95 100 0.45 552 548 TUE 1A 22-FEB -3.8 -1.3 1011 91 79 0.44 546 537 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Lol, dilly...do you have soundings for pit? It looks like we get bombed, but can't tell how much is frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Lol nam back to cold. Gives 4-6" of snow after rain MON 7P 21-FEB 0.9 2.8 1005 95 100 0.45 552 548 TUE 1A 22-FEB -3.8 -1.3 1011 91 79 0.44 546 537 Would you mind giving me text output for KPIT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Would you mind giving me text output for KPIT? MON 7P 21-FEB -1.6 -1.4 1010 90 100 0.07 550 542 TUE 1A 22-FEB -6.3 -6.0 1012 88 99 0.58 546 537 TUE 7A 22-FEB -8.6 -7.1 1017 86 92 0.08 542 528 Precip before falls as rain, but this is what falls as snow. But nam is good for 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 MON 7P 21-FEB -1.6 -1.4 1010 90 100 0.07 550 542 TUE 1A 22-FEB -6.3 -6.0 1012 88 99 0.58 546 537 TUE 7A 22-FEB -8.6 -7.1 1017 86 92 0.08 542 528 Precip before falls as rain, but this is what falls as snow. But nam is good for 6-8" Kick ass...thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 MON 7P 21-FEB -1.6 -1.4 1010 90 100 0.07 550 542 TUE 1A 22-FEB -6.3 -6.0 1012 88 99 0.58 546 537 TUE 7A 22-FEB -8.6 -7.1 1017 86 92 0.08 542 528 Precip before falls as rain, but this is what falls as snow. But nam is good for 6-8" Awesome, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wow nice flip lol Careful though, the 0.44" fell in the PREVIOUS 6 hours for CMH and the thermo. data is RIGHT AT that time. So with a little math (assuming linear trend) you could probably figure out how much fell as snow. EDIT: If my math is correct, only a couple inches at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wow nice flip lol Careful though, the 0.44" fell in the PREVIOUS 6 hours for CMH and the thermo. data is RIGHT AT that time. So with a little math (assuming linear trend) you could probably figure out how much fell as snow. EDIT: If my math is correct, only a couple inches at best. I see you are a met student...what do you think about Pittsburgh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 21, 2011 Author Share Posted February 21, 2011 Wow nice flip lol Careful though, the 0.44" fell in the PREVIOUS 6 hours for CMH and the thermo. data is RIGHT AT that time. So with a little math (assuming linear trend) you could probably figure out how much fell as snow. EDIT: If my math is correct, only a couple inches at best. I think it is all the previous 6. Temps and everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 21, 2011 Share Posted February 21, 2011 I see you are a met student...what do you think about Pittsburgh? I'm not 100% sure what I'm doing is correct, but I'm taking the rate of change of thicknesses over than 6 hour period, then seeing when it equals 540. Then I take that amount of time times the amount of QPF per hour (the number you see divided by 6), but that is assuming a changeover when the thicknesses hit 540 and a linear trend. That gives you about .42" all snow. Just realized twisterdata has NAM snowfall maps so this makes life easier http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2011&model_mm=02&model_dd=21&model_init_hh=00&fhour=51¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.