ArmyGreens Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Temperature is still falling before the precip starts. Now dropped under 31 and sitting at 30.8F in delaware. Looking more and more like heavy freezing rain or sleet to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 NAM looks....interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 So um, is the temp supposed to rise when the precip gets here? It's 34F at OSU. 0z Nanm cmh FRI 1A 25-FEB 0.6 1.1 1008 97 100 0.30 554 548 FRI 7A 25-FEB 0.3 0.1 998 96 87 0.63 543 544 FRI 1P 25-FEB -0.9 -8.4 1013 82 90 0.15 539 528 FRI 7P 25-FEB -2.3 -7.6 1022 89 52 0.00 543 526 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 0z Nanm cmh FRI 1A 25-FEB 0.6 1.1 1008 97 100 0.30 554 548 FRI 7A 25-FEB 0.3 0.1 998 96 87 0.63 543 544 FRI 1P 25-FEB -0.9 -8.4 1013 82 90 0.15 539 528 FRI 7P 25-FEB -2.3 -7.6 1022 89 52 0.00 543 526 AHhhhhhhhh, so close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevin83 Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 How much is fairlawn (north of akron) going to get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 NAM keeps areas just NW of Columbus-Youngstown all snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looking at radar returns you would think that something is falling in Columbus. Anyone verify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looking at radar returns you would think that something is falling in Columbus. Anyone verify? Yep, it's raining here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 Started here. Accuwx radar is right on.. Snow/rain mix. More snow than rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 35 and rain...shoot me please!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Started here about 10 min ago...freezing rain and sleet. Lots of pinging on the windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looks like we are pretty much all snow now! Was not expecting that quick of a transition. Temperature holding steady between 30 and 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looks like we are pretty much all snow now! Was not expecting that quick of a transition. Temperature holding steady between 30 and 31. Temp here is between 33.3 and 34...with rain..I have a gut feeling it may change quicker then 6 am..Thatys what they are saying right now..We shall see i guess! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looks like we are pretty much all snow now! Was not expecting that quick of a transition. Temperature holding steady between 30 and 31. Supposed to warm when the front gets closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 Gfs is a thing of beauty! !! CMH FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.5 1.4 1005 99 100 0.70 553 549 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.7 -4.1 1002 98 100 0.68 540 538 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.9 -7.9 1017 93 91 0.03 540 527 DAY FRI 06Z 25-FEB -0.2 0.4 1004 99 99 0.69 552 548 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -3.2 -4.7 1006 98 95 0.43 540 535 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -1.7 -7.4 1019 94 76 0.03 543 528 CLE FRI 06Z 25-FEB -1.7 -2.3 1010 98 96 0.08 549 542 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -3.1 -6.2 1004 98 98 0.44 539 536 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -2.2 -9.0 1015 95 96 0.19 536 524 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -5.6 -8.3 1022 94 69 0.01 539 521 ME FRI 06Z 25-FEB -0.2 1.2 1007 100 100 0.45 553 547 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.4 -1.2 999 99 99 0.73 542 543 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -1.1 -8.9 1014 96 97 0.12 538 527 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -4.8 -7.5 1022 98 57 0.02 542 525 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looking at intellicast radar, the rain/snow line is setting up right on the Franklin/Delaware County border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looking at intellicast radar, the rain/snow line is setting up right on the Franklin/Delaware County border. has me about to switch over to mix already. I started as mix, went to rain and according to this will be as a mix again soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 hmmm pit changed my forecast but are smoking something apparently Overnight: Snow. Low around 32. Northeast wind between 8 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Friday: Snow, mainly before 3pm. High near 34. Breezy, with a north wind between 10 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Not sure how Id get no accumulation if its going to be snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Mesoscale Discussion 134 < Previous MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0941 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL IL...NRN IND...NRN OH...EXTREME SERN LOWER MI CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 250341Z - 250945Z SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF E-CNTRL IL...NRN IND...NRN OH...AND EXTREME SERN LOWER MI OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN IND/OH. INTENSE 850-700-MB FRONTOGENESIS IS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE DEFORMATION ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION SHIFTS E-NEWD. THIS WILL SUPPORT SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AS RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DEPTH OF THE TROPOSPHERE FALLING TO OR BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THESE SOUNDINGS ALSO INDICATE NEARLY ISOTHERMAL LAYERS BETWEEN 850 AND 700 MB /WITH TEMPERATURES AOB FREEZING/ ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN IND/OH AFTER 04Z...INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR EFFICIENT SNOW AGGREGATION. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THIS REGION...WHERE GREATER AMOUNTS OF DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT LEADING THE CYCLONE ARE PRESENT. THE 00Z RUN OF THE NAM INDICATES AMPLE SLANTWISE INSTABILITY SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR BANDED PRECIPITATION AND HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS. HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALSO OF NOTE...A NARROW CORRIDOR OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET MAY OCCUR ACROSS EXTREME SRN PORTIONS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA...WHERE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY WARMER. THE 00Z RUN OF THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR INDICATES THE SNOW TAPERING OFF ACROSS IL/IND AFTER 10Z WHILE PERSISTING ACROSS NRN OH INTO FRIDAY MORNING. Hmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 Mesoscale Discussion 134 < Previous MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0134 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0941 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL IL...NRN IND...NRN OH...EXTREME SERN LOWER MI CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 250341Z - 250945Z SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF E-CNTRL IL...NRN IND...NRN OH...AND EXTREME SERN LOWER MI OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN IND/OH. INTENSE 850-700-MB FRONTOGENESIS IS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE DEFORMATION ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION SHIFTS E-NEWD. THIS WILL SUPPORT SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AS RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE DEPTH OF THE TROPOSPHERE FALLING TO OR BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THESE SOUNDINGS ALSO INDICATE NEARLY ISOTHERMAL LAYERS BETWEEN 850 AND 700 MB /WITH TEMPERATURES AOB FREEZING/ ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN IND/OH AFTER 04Z...INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR EFFICIENT SNOW AGGREGATION. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THIS REGION...WHERE GREATER AMOUNTS OF DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT LEADING THE CYCLONE ARE PRESENT. THE 00Z RUN OF THE NAM INDICATES AMPLE SLANTWISE INSTABILITY SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR BANDED PRECIPITATION AND HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS. HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALSO OF NOTE...A NARROW CORRIDOR OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET MAY OCCUR ACROSS EXTREME SRN PORTIONS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA...WHERE LOWER TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY WARMER. THE 00Z RUN OF THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR INDICATES THE SNOW TAPERING OFF ACROSS IL/IND AFTER 10Z WHILE PERSISTING ACROSS NRN OH INTO FRIDAY MORNING. Hmmmm... hmm is right. One damn county away on their map. right now Im not too worried. GFS has led the way. It looked excellent for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looking at intellicast radar, the rain/snow line is setting up right on the Franklin/Delaware County border. where i live....well i'm about 500 feet from the border..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Looks like we are pretty much all snow now! Was not expecting that quick of a transition. Temperature holding steady between 30 and 31. that's weird the radar has been showing mostly rain over delaware.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 that's weird the radar has been showing mostly rain over delaware.... u got rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I'm back to skepticism here... despite the fact that the RUC/HRRR/RR/NAM/HRW-NMM and ARW give me about 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 u got rain? rain here.. one county away showing a mix on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 dun dun DUN. 32F now at OSU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 well radar looks like the WAA is winning big time. was a mix one county north now rain all the way to MFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 gfs gave me 6-9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 this radar (GREarth) showing it changing to zr here. http://www.weatherobservatory.com/radar_comp2.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Snow should be starting soon... HRRR/HIRESW runs showing 10"+ for BG/Sandusky/Lorain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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