Madmaxweather Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 what is HAO? Hamilton,Ohio about 10 miles south of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 MFD EURO FRI 06Z 25-FEB -0.6 0.3 1010 85 82 0.05 551 543 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.9 -1.1 999 95 98 0.99 543 543 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -2.7 -8.4 1011 86 95 0.44 537 528 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -7.4 -7.6 1021 83 48 0.02 540 523 Man just 30 miles is all I ask lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Hamilton,Ohio about 10 miles south of me. Hey could you post for Indy please. If Im reading that right Dayton could get 10+ or am I reading it wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 ind FRI 06Z 25-FEB 1.9 1.1 1004 95 99 0.58 551 548 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.3 -6.0 1008 90 98 0.78 541 535 FRI 18Z 25-FEB 0.1 -7.2 1020 66 51 0.10 545 529 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 12z WRFs: NMM shows 1.5" - locally 2.5" liquid total precip over the CLE area. ARW shows 1.25" to locally 1.5" liquid total precip over the CLE area. H85 low passes to the south. Eye Candy Beautiful. Even if that is way overdone it is still huge. The low staying to the south is perfect. Looked like it came overhead yesterday. Good year for LES out in Chesterland? Been ok here in Lyndhurst. Can't complain. We had the one good WNW event... other than that alot of nickles and dimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 What's the Euro QPF for CLE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 What's the Euro QPF for CLE? FRI 06Z 25-FEB -1.8 -1.0 1012 86 58 0.01 550 541 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -2.1 1001 93 100 0.66 542 541 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -2.4 -8.6 1009 87 97 0.47 535 528 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -6.1 -7.6 1020 82 59 0.03 537 521 all that snow only to get washed away 2 days later MON 00Z 28-FEB -1.0 4.8 1012 89 73 0.01 557 548 MON 06Z 28-FEB 3.2 8.8 1006 87 45 0.03 560 554 MON 12Z 28-FEB 8.6 11.4 997 97 82 0.54 557 560 MON 18Z 28-FEB 10.3 10.1 992 98 97 0.64 551 558 TUE 00Z 01-MAR 1.5 0.6 998 92 74 0.50 541 543 TUE 06Z 01-MAR -2.2 -9.0 1016 83 4 0.17 545 533 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 FRI 06Z 25-FEB -1.8 -1.0 1012 86 58 0.01 550 541 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -2.1 1001 93 100 0.66 542 541 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -2.4 -8.6 1009 87 97 0.47 535 528 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -6.1 -7.6 1020 82 59 0.03 537 521 all that snow only to get washed away 2 days later MON 00Z 28-FEB -1.0 4.8 1012 89 73 0.01 557 548 MON 06Z 28-FEB 3.2 8.8 1006 87 45 0.03 560 554 MON 12Z 28-FEB 8.6 11.4 997 97 82 0.54 557 560 MON 18Z 28-FEB 10.3 10.1 992 98 97 0.64 551 558 TUE 00Z 01-MAR 1.5 0.6 998 92 74 0.50 541 543 TUE 06Z 01-MAR -2.2 -9.0 1016 83 4 0.17 545 533 Wow. A lot of model agreement for a foot of snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dayton1996 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Alright! I need help here. What do these numbers mean? How do you interpret them? I know the airport codes, and I'm guessing that the negative numbers may be atmospheric temps etc. Yes I'm a weenie, but I love the weather and I lurk here all the time. Help a brother out FRI 06Z 25-FEB -1.8 -1.0 1012 86 58 0.01 550 541 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -2.1 1001 93 100 0.66 542 541 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -2.4 -8.6 1009 87 97 0.47 535 528 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -6.1 -7.6 1020 82 59 0.03 537 521 all that snow only to get washed away 2 days later MON 00Z 28-FEB -1.0 4.8 1012 89 73 0.01 557 548 MON 06Z 28-FEB 3.2 8.8 1006 87 45 0.03 560 554 MON 12Z 28-FEB 8.6 11.4 997 97 82 0.54 557 560 MON 18Z 28-FEB 10.3 10.1 992 98 97 0.64 551 558 TUE 00Z 01-MAR 1.5 0.6 998 92 74 0.50 541 543 TUE 06Z 01-MAR -2.2 -9.0 1016 83 4 0.17 545 533 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Wow. A lot of model agreement for a foot of snow here. Yeah, almost too much agreement . CLE will be bumping totals that's for sure. The RR shows some intense snowfall tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 something to note.. 15z hrrr 16z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 FRI 06Z 25-FEB -1.8 -1.0 1012 86 58 0.01 550 541 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -2.1 1001 93 100 0.66 542 541 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -2.4 -8.6 1009 87 97 0.47 535 528 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -6.1 -7.6 1020 82 59 0.03 537 521 all that snow only to get washed away 2 days later MON 00Z 28-FEB -1.0 4.8 1012 89 73 0.01 557 548 MON 06Z 28-FEB 3.2 8.8 1006 87 45 0.03 560 554 MON 12Z 28-FEB 8.6 11.4 997 97 82 0.54 557 560 MON 18Z 28-FEB 10.3 10.1 992 98 97 0.64 551 558 TUE 00Z 01-MAR 1.5 0.6 998 92 74 0.50 541 543 TUE 06Z 01-MAR -2.2 -9.0 1016 83 4 0.17 545 533 Thanks for the Euro info Dilly. Next week is ugly. Wow that's warm. One storm at a time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Alright! I need help here. What do these numbers mean? How do you interpret them? I know the airport codes, and I'm guessing that the negative numbers may be atmospheric temps etc. Yes I'm a weenie, but I love the weather and I lurk here all the time. Help a brother out 1st number 2m temps. 2nd number 850 mb temps 3rd surface pressure, 4th surface humidity, 5th 700mb humidity, 6th 6hr qpf, 7th 500mb heights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dayton1996 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Thanks Dilly! Very helpful. I hope that you get a foot of snow tonight! 1st number 2m temps. 2nd number 850 mb temps 3rd surface pressure, 4th surface humidity, 5th 700mb humidity, 6th 6hr qpf, 7th 500mb heights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Thanks Dilly! Very helpful. I hope that you get a foot of snow tonight! Not likely but thanks. you probably have a better chance. I need a 20-30 mile SE shift to get in the 10" range. That close does sicken a person lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Not likely but thanks. you probably have a better chance. I need a 20-30 mile SE shift to get in the 10" range. That close does sicken a person lol. HRRR has been subtly trending SE with the heaviest snow axis as you showed. You are going to be riding one fine line.... but the trend is your friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 What will CLE go with? I'm guessing 6-10". The QPF eye candy totals do have me excited for a significant snow event, but I'm trying not to get myself hyped up too much. The Euro with ratios would be an incredible storm for Cleveland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 HRRR has been subtly trending SE with the heaviest snow axis as you showed. You are going to be riding one fine line.... but the trend is your friend. well there isnt much time left for trends. 18z is going to have to show something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 What will CLE go with? I'm guessing 6-10". The QPF eye candy totals do have me excited for a significant snow event, but I'm trying not to get myself hyped up too much. The Euro with ratios would be an incredible storm for Cleveland 6-10" seems reasonable... but definitely on the low side if you go with the model QPF. Not out the question to see them go with 8-12". The one positive for higher snowfall is that there will not be much, if any , QPF wasted on rain. We didn't warm near as much as I thought we would today. Temps are sitting around 33-35 so we will be safely below freezing when the precip starts. I'm pretty hyped about this storm. I can actually see the lakeshore areas being on the Northern fringe of the heaviest snow band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 well there isnt much time left for trends. 18z is going to have to show something. You should like this blurb from CLE since you are on the southern fringe of the FA. FIRST GLANCE AT THE NEW MODEL RUNS INDICATE SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THIS MAY LEAD TO HIGHER AMOUNTS STARTING THIS EVENING AND A TAD FURTHER SOUTH. WILL LOOK AT THE OTHER MODELS BEFORE ADJUSTING THE FORECAST MUCH AT THIS TIME. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER CHANGES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 You should like this blurb from CLE since you are on the southern fringe of the FA. FIRST GLANCE AT THE NEW MODEL RUNS INDICATE SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION SOONER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THIS MAY LEAD TO HIGHER AMOUNTS STARTING THIS EVENING AND A TAD FURTHER SOUTH. WILL LOOK AT THE OTHER MODELS BEFORE ADJUSTING THE FORECAST MUCH AT THIS TIME. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER CHANGES. yea, but a tad isnt enough I need 20-30 miles. preferably 30 to be safe lol.. that isnt a small shift this close to the event. Unless we get another February 5th deal lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 6-10" seems reasonable... but definitely on the low side if you go with the model QPF. Not out the question to see them go with 8-12". The one positive for higher snowfall is that there will not be much, if any , QPF wasted on rain. We didn't warm near as much as I thought we would today. Temps are sitting around 33-35 so we will be safely below freezing when the precip starts. I'm pretty hyped about this storm. I can actually see the lakeshore areas being on the Northern fringe of the heaviest snow band. CLE went with 6-10. Isolated 12" A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NEAR A PATH FROM CINCINNATI TO YOUNGSTOWN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR MIDNIGHT AND COULD MIX WITH SOME SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN INITIALLY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 5 AM AND 10 AM WHEN SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE AMOUNTS APPROACHING A FOOT. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE BY FRIDAY MORNING TO AT LEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOWFALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 CLE went with 6-10. Isolated 12" A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NEAR A PATH FROM CINCINNATI TO YOUNGSTOWN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR MIDNIGHT AND COULD MIX WITH SOME SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN INITIALLY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 5 AM AND 10 AM WHEN SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE AMOUNTS APPROACHING A FOOT. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE BY FRIDAY MORNING TO AT LEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOWFALL. As an FYI, 11" would be the 5th largest calendar day snowfall for CLE. Number 1 is 13.6". The timing of the storm may make it record book worthy. WRF destroys Cleveland with 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 NAM gives Cleveland about 1.15" all snow. Unreal. 13.6" is the record for a calendar day. Euro and NAM say that's in jeopardy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'm going to concede. The way the cold air moves in from west to east ruins any chances I have. If it was from the nnw id have a shot. But after seeing the 18z nam I think game set match for here. Storm would have to slow down or cold air speed up. Good luck CLE guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 NAM gives Cleveland about 1.15" all snow. Unreal. 13.6" is the record for a calendar day. Euro and NAM say that's in jeopardy! I'll be rooting for you. Most of us have had a 6-10" synoptic event, now it's your turn. That being said, I wouldn't mind a little less rain, and some more snow with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Guess I don't see the difference in synoptic and les. Lol. Snow is snow for gods sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 I'm outside of Akron/Canton right now, and it looks like it could get pretty wintry here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheezemm Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Guess I don't see the difference in synoptic and les. Lol. Snow is snow for gods sake. Dilly, I'm near the Stark/Summity County border, so I may be in the same boat as you. It's going to be close, but I think if I were 10 miles further North into Akron, I'd get to see the big snow. We'll see what time the precip turns over this evening, keep your fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Guess I don't see the difference in synoptic and les. Lol. Snow is snow for gods sake. Consistency of snow. 6" of LES is like 2" from a system snow storm. Its hard to explain it unless you live in a snow belt. 6" of LES is just 2" of system snow that is fluffed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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