TheWeatherPimp Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 I'm in training all this week in Alliance, Ohio (way Northeast) in Stark and Mahoning Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS won't back down....Someone is going to have to bow sometime soon. The Doctor or the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Gfs is freaking sweet for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 HAO FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.2 1.4 1010 97 95 0.44 556 547 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.1 -3.0 1009 97 99 0.34 548 540 FRI 18Z 25-FEB 0.2 -4.5 1018 90 90 0.04 549 536 DAY FRI 00Z 25-FEB 1.2 2.7 1016 98 47 0.01 557 544 FRI 06Z 25-FEB -0.5 -0.4 1012 97 95 0.22 554 544 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.3 -4.4 1010 98 98 0.34 547 538 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -1.1 -5.2 1018 94 97 0.06 547 533 CMH THU 18Z 24-FEB 2.8 3.8 1016 99 99 0.20 561 548 FRI 00Z 25-FEB 1.2 2.1 1016 98 43 0.02 558 545 FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.3 0.3 1012 97 97 0.12 554 544 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.7 -3.1 1008 97 99 0.37 548 541 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.7 -5.4 1016 95 97 0.15 546 534 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Give me at least 5" I would guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Gfs is freaking sweet for me I really don't want to get stuck here lol. I'm here with two of my employees haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Hammers PIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Looks like snow on Friday then thunderstorms on Monday and 60! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 DAY SUN 18Z 27-FEB 2.7 5.8 1007 100 98 1.20 560 554 MON 00Z 28-FEB 7.6 10.0 1001 100 79 0.82 559 558 MON 06Z 28-FEB 11.2 10.8 990 99 81 1.07 553 561 MON 12Z 28-FEB 4.9 3.0 95 50 0.24 530 539 Bring out the sand bags! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 DAY SUN 18Z 27-FEB 2.7 5.8 1007 100 98 1.20 560 554 MON 00Z 28-FEB 7.6 10.0 1001 100 79 0.82 559 558 MON 06Z 28-FEB 11.2 10.8 990 99 81 1.07 553 561 MON 12Z 28-FEB 4.9 3.0 95 50 0.24 530 539 Bring out the sand bags! It'll trend colder and not as wet. Woohoo FRI 12Z 25-FEB -0.7 -0.8 1006 98 99 0.53 549 545 FRI 18Z 25-FEB 0.1 -5.3 1014 95 97 0.18 546 535 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -2.2 -5.8 1022 96 36 0.01 550 533 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 It'll trend colder and not as wet. Woohoo FRI 12Z 25-FEB -0.7 -0.8 1006 98 99 0.53 549 545 FRI 18Z 25-FEB 0.1 -5.3 1014 95 97 0.18 546 535 SAT 00Z 26-FEB -2.2 -5.8 1022 96 36 0.01 550 533 I have to agree with you on that one. Call me stupid but the monsoon storm painted on the maps right I think could bring more snow then the Friday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Wow that Monday storm looks perfect for severe weather....Kinda hope it stays that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Anyone see the ggem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Lol euro refuses to fold. As does the gfs. Gfs has other model support. Euro really doesn't with as warm as it is. Although the euro did trend a degree or two colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 wooohoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 GFS is invalid. It tries to run a low right into a high, to the point of idiocy. well I like it and it has backing wrt the surface low and temps. EURO is off by itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 The GFS is off by itself. Upper levels are disorganized and placement of surface low improper. not wrt temps. We shall see. GFS led the way with the last storm wrt temps etc for OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 This isn't the last storm. Very little cold air to work with. If you are on the wrong side, you are toast. Kinda like the last storm? 20 miles south of me got 1/4" I got 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 I think it'll be a similar setup as last storm, with a sharp cutoff to the snow. Areas within 25 miles of last storm will recieve the snow this time. Could be same areas, could be 25 miles north of the last storm. Either way I think it'll be similar to this last one wrt where snow will fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 6z nam need to be about 50 miles south and I would be golden. Edit: a shift of 25 miles south will do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Wow 6z GFS so close to a monster lol.. THU 18Z 24-FEB 2.7 3.5 1015 98 98 0.31 560 548 FRI 00Z 25-FEB 1.6 2.3 1014 99 80 0.25 558 547 FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.6 2.1 1009 99 94 0.15 554 546 FRI 12Z 25-FEB 0.0 1.7 1000 99 99 0.74 546 546 FRI 18Z 25-FEB 0.0 -6.5 1011 93 98 0.17 542 533 Edit: it is still a nice hit for cmh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 NAM crushes me, along with the ECMWF/UKMET. Then you got the GFS still holding out, but still came a bit NW. Even the ensembles had more snow for me. Let's get this storm going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 NAM crushes me, along with the ECMWF/UKMET. Then you got the GFS still holding out, but still came a bit NW. Even the ensembles had more snow for me. Let's get this storm going. Good to see there were no disasters with the model runs last night. Still a close call here... but confidence is growing for a nice dump of cement. I wouldn't be overly concerned about the GFS with its SE bias. A blend of the models delivers a nice snowfall. Temps are going to be close though. The slower this storm is the better for areas on the fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Lol euro refuses to fold. As does the gfs. Gfs has other model support. Euro really doesn't with as warm as it is. Although the euro did trend a degree or two colder. Dilly - You mind sharing the euro info for CLE? Thinking we are still right on the line wrt temps. If it did trend colder as you mentioned we might just be ok though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 this is going to be primarily a rainstorm until east of Ohio. Sure there will be a strip of heavy wet snow on the northern fringe but it will probably be a couple of counties wide with the axis along or just north of rte 30 thru Ohio. The globals are creeping north...the gfs is holding south. That's a recipe for the gfs being too far south. We've seen it a million times before. Give up on the snow Dilly...this one isn't for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 this is going to be primarily a rainstorm until east of Ohio. Sure there will be a strip of heavy wet snow on the northern fringe but it will probably be a couple of counties wide with the axis along or just north of rte 30 thru Ohio. The globals are creeping north...the gfs is holding south. That's a recipe for the gfs being too far south. We've seen it a million times before. Give up on the snow Dilly...this one isn't for us dilly never says "die"...he's the toughest met on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 CLE seems to favor a track along or just south of the river. COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES JUST SE OF CWA THEN STALLS BY WED EVENING. LOW PRESSURE TO RIDE NE ALONG THE FRONT. MODELS COMING TOGETHER BETTER WITH TRACK EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR JUST SE OF OHIO RIVER. THREAT FOR LIGHT SHRA THU WILL SHIFT TO MOSTLY SE PART OF AREA BY END OF THE DAY. PRECIP SHIELD WITH THE LOW WILL SPREAD BACK NNE ACROSS THE CWA THU NIGHT THEN PULL EAST OUT OF AREA BY LATER FRI. FAR NW AROUND TOL COULD BE ON THE EDGE OF PRECIP FIELD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Looks like a jump south of the track they showed yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Looks like a jump south of the track they showed yesterday. normally that would be a great track for the I-70 corridor... ....normally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 normally that would be a great track for the I-70 corridor... ....normally What a winter. We finally get the track we need, BUT there is no cold air. In a winter where there has been plenty of cold air this just proves that it has not been our year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.