NEOH Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Did you get any snow last night? or sleet? or all rain? You would think that this low should track south of the past low but maybe I am just shooting the breeze here. Toledo gets hammered on the EURO! Toledo FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.6 -0.8 1004 94 99 0.24 547 544 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -4.2 1004 89 100 0.64 538 534 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.2 -6.8 1014 76 74 0.10 538 527 Huge temp gradient looks like. May I trouble you for CLE's stats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Did you get any snow last night? or sleet? or all rain? You would think that this low should track south of the past low but maybe I am just shooting the breeze here. Toledo gets hammered on the EURO! Toledo FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.6 -0.8 1004 94 99 0.24 547 544 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -4.2 1004 89 100 0.64 538 534 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.2 -6.8 1014 76 74 0.10 538 527 around 5pm we began mixing with sleet, around 630 with snow, but the mix never went completely to all snow til fairly late, (like 8 or so). By then it was almost over. We ended up with a couple of crusty inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Huge temp gradient looks like. May I trouble you for CLE's stats? CLE FRI 06Z 25-FEB 2.4 1.2 1003 96 95 0.26 549 546 FRI 12Z 25-FEB 0.1 -0.8 997 96 99 0.86 539 542 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.3 -7.1 1010 85 96 0.22 536 52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 hard to tell but it looks like it basically rides along the ohio river? great hit for probably the same areas on the northern and western parts of the state that saw it yesterday. Ehh im not even north enough for this one on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Did you get any snow last night? or sleet? or all rain? You would think that this low should track south of the past low but maybe I am just shooting the breeze here. Toledo gets hammered on the EURO! Toledo FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.6 -0.8 1004 94 99 0.24 547 544 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -4.2 1004 89 100 0.64 538 534 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.2 -6.8 1014 76 74 0.10 538 527 this will probably have a very narrow area of heavy snow with a tight gradient cutoff to the north and a typical slop zone to the south. My money goes on a findlay to akron line as axis of heavy snow in OH. Then from there to about 15 miles north of 1-70 getting into advisory criteria slop. closer to i-70 probably rain to minor slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 CLE FRI 06Z 25-FEB 2.4 1.2 1003 96 95 0.26 549 546 FRI 12Z 25-FEB 0.1 -0.8 997 96 99 0.86 539 542 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.3 -7.1 1010 85 96 0.22 536 52 Thanks. Appreciate it. Talk about riding a fine line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Did you get any snow last night? or sleet? or all rain? You would think that this low should track south of the past low but maybe I am just shooting the breeze here. Toledo gets hammered on the EURO! Toledo FRI 06Z 25-FEB 0.6 -0.8 1004 94 99 0.24 547 544 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -2.2 -4.2 1004 89 100 0.64 538 534 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.2 -6.8 1014 76 74 0.10 538 527 FDY's was pretty entertaining: FRI 06Z 25-FEB 1.9 1.1 1002 98 98 0.52 548 546 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.6 -4.2 1003 93 99 0.94 539 537 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.6 -7.2 1015 84 94 0.11 539 527 It's a shame the previous 6 hours were rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 FDY's was pretty entertaining: FRI 06Z 25-FEB 1.9 1.1 1002 98 98 0.52 548 546 FRI 12Z 25-FEB -1.6 -4.2 1003 93 99 0.94 539 537 FRI 18Z 25-FEB -0.6 -7.2 1015 84 94 0.11 539 527 It's a shame the previous 6 hours were rain though. Its a positive for you. It got colder over that way. Still WAYYYY too warm here I think. But hard to tell. Like I've said. Closest icao is kzzv and this past stom they didn't even get an inch while my location got 6" so makes it a pain for me. I typically take the mfd mos and the zzv mos and get an average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 this will probably have a very narrow area of heavy snow with a tight gradient cutoff to the north and a typical slop zone to the south. My money goes on a findlay to akron line as axis of heavy snow in OH. Then from there to about 15 miles north of 1-70 getting into advisory criteria slop. closer to i-70 probably rain to minor slop. That's pretty optimistic... and I would be more than happy with that. But the way it has gone this winter I can see the heaviest snow axis from Toledo over to Erie PA... with slop from the lakeshore south to MFD. Hopefully this storm can break the trend we have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 EURO is mighty toasty with the Sunday/Monday storm.. 60's!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 EURO is mighty toasty with the Sunday/Monday storm.. 60's!!! I'd be curious to see what the EURO shows for the week of March 7th. I get the feeling we will see another pattern change that MAY give us a better shot of snow than what we are currently dealing with this week and next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Its a positive for you. It got colder over that way. Still WAYYYY too warm here I think. But hard to tell. Like I've said. Closest icao is kzzv and this past stom they didn't even get an inch while my location got 6" so makes it a pain for me. I typically take the mfd mos and the zzv mos and get an average. It's a pain here... FDY, DFI, TDZ, and TOL are all approximately 20-25 miles away to my North, West, and South. Its tough with all this borderline crap. Either way, I'd like to see a barely cooler surface on the ECMWF and I'd be a happy camper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 HAO EURO MON 06Z 28-FEB 5.4 8.9 1008 84 73 0.09 561 554 MON 12Z 28-FEB 10.9 10.3 1002 98 91 0.42 560 558 MON 18Z 28-FEB 15.7 9.5 1003 81 16 0.35 559 557 TUE 00Z 01-MAR 13.3 10.9 995 97 93 0.10 554 559 TUE 06Z 01-MAR 8.4 6.6 987 94 72 1.02 542 553 TUE 12Z 01-MAR -1.3 -4.6 1001 87 94 0.52 538 537 CMH EURO MON 12Z 28-FEB 6.9 10.2 1004 94 88 0.24 559 556 MON 18Z 28-FEB 12.4 8.7 1003 89 12 0.25 558 556 TUE 00Z 01-MAR 11.5 9.5 998 96 34 0.02 554 556 TUE 06Z 01-MAR 10.8 10.5 984 97 93 1.15 546 560 TUE 12Z 01-MAR -0.7 -5.0 994 90 97 0.38 532 537 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 It's a pain here... FDY, DFI, TDZ, and TOL are all approximately 20-25 miles away to my North, West, and South. Its tough with all this borderline crap. Either way, I'd like to see a barely cooler surface on the ECMWF and I'd be a happy camper Euro has zzv at +8 while its +1 or so in mfd lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Couple of crappy cell pics... but the sun on the ice covered trees is amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 EURO is mighty toasty with the Sunday/Monday storm.. 60's!!! ah yes, why i love march one day your wife is hounding you to go pick up some bags of mulch....the next day your shoveling snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 ah yes, why i love march one day your wife is hounding you to go pick up some bags of mulch....the next day your shoveling snow. Still too far out for temps on the euro. Had this last storm way to warm for me 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Anyone see the 12z JMA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Storm 1- Over Pittsburgh Storm 978 Bomb over Lake Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 That's pretty optimistic... and I would be more than happy with that. But the way it has gone this winter I can see the heaviest snow axis from Toledo over to Erie PA... with slop from the lakeshore south to MFD. Hopefully this storm can break the trend we have seen. I have little faith in getting more than 4" from this. Another fringe event as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 I have little faith in getting more than 4" from this. Another fringe event as usual. The track is actually lining up pretty well. I'm catiously optimistic. The fly in the ointment is the temps. That would be the ultimate kicker this year... perfect storm track... but cold air lacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Another magical run for NWOH... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Another magical run for NWOH... Your area has been in the jackpot for quite awhile now. Really close call in the NE part of the state. The storm is not even on shore yet. If there are any significant changes, we'll start seeing them tonight I believe. The CLE area hasn't had a synoptic storm over 5 inches this year so it won't take much to please me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted February 22, 2011 Share Posted February 22, 2011 Another magical run for NWOH... 18z NAM FWIW - over 10 inches at CLE and FDY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Nam is close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Nam is close Hard to tell without the actual raw numbers, but it looks like heavy ZR at hour 60 here in CMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 DAY NAM THU 7A 24-FEB 1.9 5.8 1017 99 100 0.03 562 548 THU 1P 24-FEB 4.6 6.2 1014 100 99 0.09 562 551 THU 7P 24-FEB 4.1 4.5 1012 100 56 0.12 559 549 FRI 1A 25-FEB 2.2 3.7 1006 99 100 0.37 554 549 FRI 7A 25-FEB -0.6 -2.2 1009 96 98 0.73 546 539 CMH NAM THU 1P 24-FEB 4.5 5.5 1015 100 100 0.11 562 550 THU 7P 24-FEB 4.3 4.5 1012 100 58 0.18 560 550 FRI 1A 25-FEB 3.2 4.3 1007 99 98 0.28 555 549 FRI 7A 25-FEB 0.1 -0.5 1006 95 94 0.81 547 543 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 White hole of nothing over CMH downtown FTW http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_72HR.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 1.5" of qpf, 99% of it is a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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