Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Since none of the typical wind weenies are really talking about it ..figured we need a thread for Winds aloft at 925mb are pegged to be 60-70 knots Full sun on Saturday along with CAA promotes the perfect conditions for full mixing from late morning thru late day. Also pretty good alignment in the flow from top down Should be alot of 55-60 mph type gusts I would say half of Ginx's treetops will be snapped..and Tip will make several posts of jet engine roaring and swaying at tree level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 We want snow, not wind. NWS still has 40's here for Sat and Sun-add'l meltage likely to occur-wind will blow all the snow away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 And my yard will be littered with sticks and branches, I still have a lot buried under the snow from the boxing day storm. Should be a big spring clean up this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Since none of the typical wind weenies are really talking about it ..figured we need a thread for Winds aloft at 925mb are pegged to be 70-80 knots Full sun on Saturday along with CAA promotes the perfect conditions for full mixing from late morning thru late day. Also pretty good alignment in the flow from top down Should be alot of 55-60 mph type gusts I would say half of Ginx's treetops will be snapped..and Tip will make several posts of jet engine roaring and swaying at tree level LOL. I don't see winds that strong at 925mb, otherwise we'd have Cat 1 gusts, but 50kt gusts are possible. Strong mixing on Saturday with the NAM up to 750mb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Since none of the typical wind weenies are really talking about it ..figured we need a thread for Winds aloft at 925mb are pegged to be 70-80 knots Full sun on Saturday along with CAA promotes the perfect conditions for full mixing from late morning thru late day. Also pretty good alignment in the flow from top down Should be alot of 55-60 mph type gusts I would say half of Ginx's treetops will be snapped..and Tip will make several posts of jet engine roaring and swaying at tree level OKX agrees with you in there discussion, saying confidence is growing for a HWA seeing gusts to 40-50 and they mention not ruling out HWW for gusts 50-60. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 HWW or bust. Advisory ain't gonna cut it. Generator at the ready. 35.7/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 We want snow, not wind. NWS still has 40's here for Sat and Sun-add'l meltage likely to occur-wind will blow all the snow away... Temps drop all day Saturday..no melting Saturday and Sunday looks like low -mid 30's upper 20's hills..Melting stops Friday nite late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 OKX agrees with you in there discussion, saying confidence is growing for a HWA seeing gusts to 40-50 and they mention not ruling out HWW for gusts 50-60. Impressive. BOX has gusts to 55mph in the text forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Temps drop all day Saturday..no melting Saturday and Sunday looks like low -mid 30's upper 20's hills..Melting stops Friday nite late I think there will be a huge difference between hills and sea level Saturday. Temps may rise Saturday morning, but fall in the aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 I think there will be a huge difference between hills and sea level Saturday. Temps may rise Saturday morning, but fall in the aftn. Yeah Saturday has steep lapse rates written all over it..one of those days where it's 8-10 degrees colder in the hills..then y'all drop in te PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I think there will be a huge difference between hills and sea level Saturday. Temps may rise Saturday morning, but fall in the aftn. Will these winds be a "hill-friendly' event? I suspect it will be raucous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Not really the most classic inverted V signature on the soundings. No doubt we'll see advisory criteria, but I'm not sure about anything apocalyptic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Yeah Saturday has steep lapse rates written all over it..one of those days where it's 8-10 degrees colder in the hills..then y'all drop in te PM NW Mass hills and down here maybe...but you and I won't be the far apart. Adiabatic lapse rate because strong winds is like 3C/300m...5-6F...not 8-10F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Will these winds be a "hill-friendly' event? I suspect it will be raucous. Yeah they should be. I wouldn't lock in HWW yet, but usually CAA nw winds are more spread out over the interior and coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 NW Mass hills and down here maybe...but you and I won't be the far apart. Adiabatic lapse rate because strong winds is like 3C/300m...5-6F...not 8-10F. I think something like 36 here while cp is 43-44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 how come Ray hasnt posted in this thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Ehhhh....... I mean sticks, branches, limbs.... thats it. Not like things are fully leafed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I made a post about this last night in one of the threads. Saturday looks like it's going to be pretty brutal, temps around 40F and falling with winds in the 25-35 mph range with gusts up to 50-60 mph possible. Saturday is also the outdoor hockey game with events starting as early as 10:00 AM so I'll be outside from about 10:00 AM to 10:00 PM...going to be dressing in like 5 layers. It will be interesting to see how the wind affects the players at all. I'm expecting to see a Whale player trying to clear the puck from behind their own net only for the wind to take it and put it in the net while Chad Johnson is sucking on his water bottle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I can't decipher what the new GFS is giving for winds. But, it appears that they don't seem quite as robust and also strongest in the evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 I can't decipher what the new GFS is giving for winds. But, it appears that they don't seem quite as robust and also strongest in the evening? It does want to seem to bring in another pulse, late day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 GFS still looks pretty impressive for winds, at least down this way. Both the NAM/GFS showing some very strong mixing on Saturday with some pretty steep low-level lapse rates...plus forecast soundings have somewhat of an inverted-v look as well with lots of dry air down below 5000-7000ft. While the winds aloft aren't screamingly impressive they are still in the 40-50kt range so with good mixing those will be brought down...plus some enhancement from the cold + dry air too. I could see some gusts close to over over 60 mph in some spots Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2011 Author Share Posted February 17, 2011 Still on track modelwise for 55+ mph gusts Saturday PM and eve..HWW should go up tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Still on track modelwise for 55+ mph gusts Saturday PM and eve..HWW should go up tomorrow Any squalls possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Still on track modelwise for 55+ mph gusts Saturday PM and eve..HWW should go up tomorrow Go warning or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2011 Share Posted February 17, 2011 Still on track modelwise for 55+ mph gusts Saturday PM and eve..HWW should go up tomorrow Discouraging to see the zones come down in their wind forecasts. Seems the highest wind period has come down 5 mph in the zones. I had been 55, now 50. Those that had 50 now show 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 I wish we'd get more mets or Phil posting about this in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I wish we'd get more mets or Phil posting about this in here Looks like a good event. 45 kts..maybe 50kts in some areas. I haven't looked all that hard, but I will tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Looks like a good event. 45 kts..maybe 50kts in some areas. I haven't looked all that hard, but I will tomorrow. Two wind maxima, frontal and pressure rise, good mixing but meh like Tuesday more or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 Two wind maxima, frontal and pressure rise, good mixing but meh like Tuesday more or less. 50-60mph ..easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 ORH gusted to 60mph in the CAA this past Tuesday...but I feel like we won't reach that again. That was an over performer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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