Ji Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Bwi .27 rain .43 snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samdman95 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Way more qpf on euro. For iAd about .32 is cold rain and about .50 as snow With the euro's warm bias and high ratios, 3-6 isn't out of the question for northern suburbs, and if everything goes perfectly, we could squeak out up to 8! I don't see why everyone is so negative about this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Wow iAd .82 qpf from wave 2. Phl .10 ji is that .1 for phl on wave 1 or 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Bwi .27 rain .43 snow Thanks JI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 ji is that .1 for phl on wave 1 or 2? Wave 1 is .05 Wave 2 is .11 Wave 1 is too warm at surface for snow to stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Wave 1 is .05 Wave 2 is .11 Wave 1 is too warm at surface for snow to stick hmmm, my maps must be pretty badly smoothed then. they have a total qpf of over .25.... looks like .08-.1 for rd 1 then .15-.2 rd 2...it has the .25 line up to ttn for total accum precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 hmmm, my maps must be pretty badly smoothed then. they have a total qpf of over .25.... looks like .08-.1 for rd 1 then .15-.2 rd 2...it has the .25 line up to ttn for total accum precip I only see .15 for ttn in total from both waves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I only see .15 for ttn in total from both waves this is what my map shows for total qpf out to hr 72. Thats why i said 2-4 for phl then down south of it, cause its only showing like .08-.1 for the first rd. I trust your numbers better, so it looks like an inch then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 WSI maps give Philly about 0.25" total from both events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 WSI maps give Philly about 0.25" total from both events. JI uses Accuweather Pro maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 WSI maps give Philly about 0.25" total from both events. Will how does that map i posted compare to yours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Accuweather has actual mos for euro but not sure how accurate it is. Seems always drier than stormvista 18z monday...Dulles 8c Richmond 21c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Will how does that map i posted compare to yours? Its pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 JIs interpretation of Euro showing .43" snow is a little generous he's including a 6 hour period that starts as rain, so you're probably closer to .3-.35" qpf, but its a guess since we don't know for certain the timing of the changeover definitely more qpf on the Euro as well as the GFS, so that is a + imho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 only out to 48 hrs, but 6Z NAM looks to be crushing like last night's 6Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 NAM not quite as much qpf as last night's 6Z, but close and decently cold too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 NAM not quite as much qpf as last night's 6Z, but close and decently cold too If the 12Z shows it i will start getting a little more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 If the 12Z shows it i will start getting a little more excited. I'm w/you on that but NAM/Euro combo are now giving us .3-.4" qpf snow this is all snow definitely with a little snow possible in the panel before this one below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 6z NAM came in nice again. Wes should be happy...or not Anyway, what we need now is some consistency. This is like asking for the horn of a unicorn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 6z NAM came in nice again. Wes should be happy...or not Anyway, what we need now is some consistency. This is like asking for the horn of a unicorn. Agreed, it would be nice to see the GFS come on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Agreed, it would be nice to see the GFS come on board. it took a step in the right direction with higher qpf totals it will follow as the models now start to hone in on the final solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark304 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 No snow please. The public does not want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 For those asleep, I live in the Philly area, but took a look at the 6z RGEM/GFS and they have really amped up QPF for you guys, good luck down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 The 6z gfs looked kinda meh to me, but maybe there is more qpf at changeover than I am aprpeciating. It also tried to do something interesting Friday into Saturday, but it failed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 6z GFS has more moisture, but probably still only ~1 or maybe 2" for Baltimore and probably 1" max for DC. Possibly a big hit for the areas around the Mason-Dixon Line depending on when the profile goes below freezing. 3z SREFs have an average of 0.14" of QPF of snow for BWI, max 0.66". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 6z GFS has more moisture, but probably still only ~1 or maybe 2" for Baltimore and probably 1" max for DC. Possibly a big hit for the areas around the Mason-Dixon Line depending on when the profile goes below freezing. 3z SREFs have an average of 0.14" of QPF of snow for BWI, max 0.66". I'm seeing some positive things and the Euro has been holding steady its looking like a 1-3" event around DCA and 2-4" event around BWI, at least that would be my initial guestimate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 The 06Z nam gives dc .21 and BWI .49 as snow. The gfs is .22 for BWI and sterling accomrding to BUFKIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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