RowanBrandon Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Ray, did the EURO numbers you see match the ones I posted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Puts ttn on the edge for both rounds Let that spread out a bit more and then there will be two non-archive events I don't have to worry about when Spring comes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Ray, did the EURO numbers you see match the ones I posted? I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Not too bad considering 24 hours ago most of the hi-res models hardly had ANY qpf North of the m-d line for round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 NAM snow qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 ray said gun to head call for phl would be 2-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Tombo, how am i sitting in monroe county? Rd 2 is a no show here, but what about rd 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 nam clown map and heres rays model of choice the 12z arw snowfall totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Tombo, how am i sitting in monroe county? Rd 2 is a no show here, but what about rd 1? rd 1 looks good for you id say 2-4 maybe some spots to 5 or 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbTC Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 New map out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 ray said gun to head call for phl would be 2-3 inches :gun_bandana: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 :gun_bandana: well the nws confirms your call if it makes you happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbTC Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 No advisory for Delco, but..... .MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. RAIN LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 and heres rays model of choice the 12z arw snowfall totals Ah...beautiful screw zone right over my backyard. Radar watching would be pretty frustrating if something like this happens. Granted, I don't think SNJ will pick up 12" but if it splits the immediate phl area like that...ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 well the nws confirms your call if it makes you happy. You like to make stuff up, don't you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Amazing bust potential over the next 48 hours. Should be something to watch unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 mt holly goes 3-5 for middlesex county north ed by NWS for: Edison NJ Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ412 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011...SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING....AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FROM THE WEST WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERNGREAT LAKES AND THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTEDTO PASS OVER OUR REGION ON MONDAY MORNING BEFORE MOVING OUT TOSEA AND WILL BRING WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION.NJZ007>010-012-PAZ060>062-210500-/O.EXA.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.110221T0500Z-110221T1700Z/WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON412 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TONOON EST MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROMMIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST MONDAY.* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW TONIGHT, MIXING WITH SLEET AFTER DAYBREAK ON MONDAY.* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IN MOST AREAS, WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES FOR BERKS COUNTY.* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AFTER DAYBREAK ON MONDAY BEFORE ENDING.* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON MONDAY MORNING WILL BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND ONGOING SNOW AND SLEET. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Mt Holly taking their old sweet time putting out the afternoon disco, must be pulling hairs out on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 You like to make stuff up, don't you lol, basically i say your name with my thoughts for accum. That way if it fails you get the blame and i dont lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 wow that is bullish given the latest NAM and model flip flopping...wouldnt 2-4 be a safer call for Somerset County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Mt Holly taking their old sweet time putting out the afternoon disco, must be pulling hairs out on this one wwa out...going 3-5 for north central jersey.... NJZ007>010-012-PAZ060>062-210500- /O.EXA.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.110221T0500Z-110221T1700Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-BERKS-LEHIGH- NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM... EASTON 412 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST MONDAY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW TONIGHT, MIXING WITH SLEET AFTER DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IN MOST AREAS, WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES FOR BERKS COUNTY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AFTER DAYBREAK ON MONDAY BEFORE ENDING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON MONDAY MORNING WILL BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND ONGOING SNOW AND SLEET. EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Mt Holly taking their old sweet time putting out the afternoon disco, must be pulling hairs out on this one I would be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 rgem bumps north a little bit.. going off these maps looks like .25-.4 for phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I guess the bust potential with this one is huge and we have yet to have a significant one this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I guess the bust potential with this one is huge and we have yet to have a significant one this year do we usally have one every year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 do we usally have one every year? more than not and sometimes more than one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 you won't see adv for phl and surounding burbs on south till tomorrow, since wave 2 is later and still a little uncertain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Winter storm warning in effect here... wasn't really expecting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Correct me if I'm wrong....the NWS Zones has this as two seperate events, right????? INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILADELPHIA 405 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011 .TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY THIS EVENING...THEN SNOW LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...RAIN. SNOW LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. ==== .MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. RAIN LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Correct me if I'm wrong....the NWS Zones has this as two seperate events, right????? INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PHILADELPHIA 405 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011 .TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY THIS EVENING...THEN SNOW LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...RAIN. SNOW LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. ==== .MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. RAIN LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. Depends on how they ran the snow total tool. If they ran it for the whole period (through Monday night), than that total is for the whole period. Based on the graphic posted, that's indeed what they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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