tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 I will, but I get it an hour later than you. yea, but i dont have exact qpf i can just give a ball park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 for rd 1 abe .25-.35 rdg .25 phl .15 ttn .2 avp .3-.4 hazleton .3-.4 mdt .2 basically just south of i78 r/s line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 so far rd 2 looks to be about the same as 0z maybe a hair wetter...dc area gets hit good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I can give the exact qpf if that is wanted. Just let me know what time period to look at so our "round 1" and "round 2" matchup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I can give the exact qpf if that is wanted. Just let me know what time period to look at so our "round 1" and "round 2" matchup. When I computed Round 2 it was essentially beyond 36 hours... so 42, 48, 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 basically a line from holmdel to ukt to rdg is the snow/no snow line. phl looks like 1-3 and its immediate burbs and souther jerz...central del 3-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Wxsim trending continues to be for a much more significant event. If this were to verify Kudos to JB on his forecast. Total combined snow between the 2 systems is 6" to 8" by Tuesday mornings rush hour...here is the breakdown Snow arrives by midnight tonight with 2 or 3" of snow by 7am (temp 29.8). Lite ZR continues thru about 1130am....Round 2 begins around 630pm tomorrow night with a mix at 34.4 transitioning to a SN/IP mix and then to all snow by late evening. Snow will become heavy overnight before ending - with an additional 4 to 5" of snow accumulating by the Tuesday AM rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Round 2 QPF, 00z Tuesday to 18z Tuesday: ABE: 0 RDG: .03 PHL: .08 MIV: .30 DOV: .53 ACY: .21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Round 2 QPF, 00z Tuesday to 18z Tuesday: ABE: 0 RDG: .03 PHL: .08 MIV: .30 DOV: .53 ACY: .21 my maps are wetter than that....do you get it off accuweather? Had the samething with ji last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 my maps are wetter than that....do you get it off accuweather? Had the samething with ji last night. Yeah, I'm using the text output from Accuweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 my maps are wetter than that....do you get it off accuweather? Had the samething with ji last night. Hi, Tom - rough estimate for what your map shows for the suburbs here? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Hi, Tom - rough estimate for what your map shows for the suburbs here? Thanks. for what event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Yeah, I'm using the text output from Accuweather. lol ray will be the judge on which is right. my maps show like .15-.2 for phl on rd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Yeah, I'm using the text output from Accuweather. AccuWeather ingests the EC later than SV... that's likely the 0Z output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 for what event? Both would be ok. But mention how much of the first wave is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Both would be ok. But mention how much of the first wave is snow. first wave maybe a half inch to an inch 2nd wave an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 AccuWeather ingests the EC later than SV... that's likely the 0Z output. The data starts at 12z Sunday and it updates in real-time. I'm pretty sure it's the 12z data. It's maps are later, but it's text output comes out the same time as SV maps come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 first wave maybe a half inch to an inch 2nd wave an inch Thanks, Tom! So it's wetter than 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 The data starts at 12z Sunday and it updates in real-time. I'm pretty sure it's the 12z data. What you have matches what I can see for 0Z. We'll know for sure within the hour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 lol regardless of how much snow we get with this upcoming storm its gone by friday...temps in the 50-60 range with 1-2 inches of rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 I'm still very skeptical of round 2... especially since the UKMET shifted south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Thanks, Tom! So it's wetter than 0z? the same basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 as of now, its the nam all by itself with the big qpf totals for rd 2 and to a degree the srefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 Can someone tell me how much QPF for KSMQ on the euro for the 1st wave please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 20, 2011 Author Share Posted February 20, 2011 Can someone tell me how much QPF for KSMQ on the euro for the 1st wave please? .25-.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 GFS tries to make the first event snow/sleet back home (TTN) through the whole event now. why is Mt Holly thinking that this is a non event for Central jersey and they have temps in 40s on Monday. Then I come and read these boards and here all this talk of snow and go whoaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 .25-.3 Thanks much appreciated. Crappy ratios by a good 2-3" event nonetheless. That's all I'm hoping for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 why is Mt Holly thinking that this is a non event for Central jersey and they have temps in 40s on Monday. Then I come and read these boards and here all this talk of snow and go whoaa The latest models have trended colder. Now mind you the raw GFS has an isothermal layer right at freezing for much of the event tomorrow morning at Trenton so any minor deviation warmer and its sleet/frz rain instead of snow. NAM has even more warmth so for Trenton it would be more sleet/frz rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 The latest models have trended colder. Now mind you the raw GFS has an isothermal layer right at freezing for much of the event tomorrow morning at Trenton so any minor deviation warmer and its sleet/frz rain instead of snow. well this is pretty shocking, people probably are getting caught off guard. Im in plowing and was preparing for maybe just some presalt now we are looking at a 2-4 inch event possible which really changes everything. I think the public has no clue what they will wake up to tomorrow. There has been very little talk of much more than a nuisance event here and now its turning into something more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duality Posted February 20, 2011 Share Posted February 20, 2011 well this is pretty shocking, people probably are getting caught off guard. Im in plowing and was preparing for maybe just some presalt now we are looking at a 2-4 inch event possible which really changes everything. I think the public has no clue what they will wake up to tomorrow. There has been very little talk of much more than a nuisance event here and now its turning into something more. Yeah I'm telling friends and family what the models are showing and they're telling me no way.. go piss up a rope, its going to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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