CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 20.5" snowpack in my front yard as of 5 pm. How's your appreciation of snowpack doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Thankfully temps are coming down quickly, From a high of 50.9 at 4 pm we have dropped 10 degrees down to 40.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Wish I could lock in the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 How's your appreciation of snowpack doing? I enjoyed it a lot more several weeks ago when we were adding to it frequently. Now it just sits and gets crusty and old. I can't even remember when my last accumulating snowfall in excess of two inches was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I enjoyed it a lot more several weeks ago when we were adding to it frequently. Now it just sits and gets crusty and old. I can't even remember when my last accumulating snowfall in excess of two inches was. Pretty good chance you'll add to that on Monday. The snow has left behind a disaster here. Branches, trash, you name it. It would be nice to get a little refresher around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Wish I could lock in the 18z GFS. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Yes. it will suck when that ends up verifying as 2" snow/sleet for me followed by some zr. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Pleasantly suprised by the continued snow depth. Walked across the field to check on the Davis. Measured 17-24". I'm going to go on the low end of the middle and call it about 20". Had expected worse. Of course, it's still 53.6/35. Maybe 2-4/3-5 deal on Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Like to lock up tha bomb at hr 276 on the 18z GFS......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 Nothing says a vicious return to winter like sunny skies and highs in the 50s and 60s back to back days. Any moment an 1888 type cold outbreak will freeze wooly mamoths in their tracks. Hmmm. Let's check the Vicious return to Winter checklist: -Powerful cold front - High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories (winds 50-70mph) - Plummeting temps - Overnight lows in the single digits to below zero -Uplsope snows -Advisory or better snow event(s) Yup, all part of my current NWS forecast. Looks like Winter is coming back to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Hmmm. Let's check the Vicious return to Winter checklist: -Powerful cold front - High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories (winds 50-70mph) - Plummeting temps - Overnight lows in the single digits to below zero -Uplsope snows -Advisory or better snow event(s) Yup, all part of my current NWS forecast. Looks like Winter is coming back to me. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 My wide open suuny area only has 12-15", the northern shady area has about what Ray has. Still impressive after this last week and more to come in a couple days. Lets build her back up Right....avg it out and there is still almost 1.5' of snow OTG....sure, if some odd ball wants to measure along the side of a main road in a super exposed area, it's only gonna be a few inches.....but that isn't representative, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Where do you live, in a refrigerator??? This snow defies normal physics with a melting point closer to 50. At the current rate of loss it will take 14 days to get rid of the snowpack with straight 50-60 degree sunny days. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 This snow defies normal physics with a melting point closer to 50. At the current rate of loss it will take 14 days to get rid of the snowpack with straight 50-60 degree sunny days. Weird. Will is more than welcome to swing by while he is over Meg's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hambone Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I played golf on the cape today. When I came across the Bourne Bridge the temp was 43F. A couple of miles inland in my thermometer went from 43 to 60 in about a half mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 This snow defies normal physics with a melting point closer to 50. At the current rate of loss it will take 14 days to get rid of the snowpack with straight 50-60 degree sunny days. Weird. I could have 10-14 days of 50F temps and I'm fairly sure I would still have a couple inches of snow in the shady or drifted areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 This snow defies normal physics with a melting point closer to 50. At the current rate of loss it will take 14 days to get rid of the snowpack with straight 50-60 degree sunny days. Weird. Lack of very high dewpoints made the snow pretty resistant to the warmer temps. Today had the most damage and not surprisingly it had a bit warmer dewpoints into the lower 40s vs mid 30s yesterday. If we had experienced a soupy air mass with 50F and fog, the snow would have melted much quicker. I figured I'd lose roughly half of the snow I had from the end of last week when I had 33-34" on the ground. Looks like it will end up pretty accurate with still 15-21" on the ground now. The lack of a big dewpoint surge is what made me pretty confident this snow wasn't going to get wiped out...in conjunction with the extremely high water equivalent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Lack of very high dewpoints made the snow pretty resistant to the warmer temps. Today had the most damage and not surprisingly it had a bit warmer dewpoints into the lower 40s vs mid 30s yesterday. If we had experienced a soupy air mass with 50F and fog, the snow would have melted much quicker. I figured I'd lose roughly half of the snow I had from the end of last week when I had 33-34" on the ground. Looks like it will end up pretty accurate with still 15-21" on the ground now. The lack of a big dewpoint surge is what made me pretty confident this snow wasn't going to get wiped out...in conjunction with the extremely high water equivalent. It's pretty disheartening that you can no longer make a wintry observation without being subject to a concert of snide, ill-founded comments....really old, really quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 It's pretty disheartening that you can no longer make a wintry observation without being subject to a concert of snide, ill founded comments....really old, quick. Well anyone who still has a decent amount of snow left on the ground understands how this occurred. We talked about it in the snow pack thread. I always try and post pics anyway...then people can't say anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 It's pretty disheartening that you can no longer make a wintry observation without being subject to a concert of snide, ill-founded comments....really old, really quick. I was only kidding, but from what I've seen outside of urban areas, the snow is extremely resilient..including just to Scott's north. No need for you to justify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 This snow defies normal physics with a melting point closer to 50. At the current rate of loss it will take 14 days to get rid of the snowpack with straight 50-60 degree sunny days. Weird. No. Not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I was only kidding, but from what I've seen outside of urban areas, the snow is extremely resilient..including just to Scott's north. No need for you to justify. I know you were, but it opened the door for the usual suspects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I'd guess I still have around 20 inches..but didn't measure. It's still taking a beating now with 50 temp and 43 dew. That first dewpoint front can't get here soon enough. The really sad part for me is that I'm now taller than my snowbanks except for the ones at the end of the driveway Still about 6-8 inches left on the roof too..which really amazes me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 There are alot of things that I can be rightly accused of, but biased toward cold and snow is not one of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Some of the 18z GFS ensemble members are trying to sort of push most of the moisture for this upcoming event into wave #1...almost congealing it into just one wave. It still sort of has two parts but definitely not as distinct as what we see on a lot of other guidance. This is something I've always had in the back of my mind...we'll have to see what it looks like over the next 24 hours. I recall the Feb 22, 2008 event being shown as two distinct waves until about 72 hours out and then it shifted into one main surge of moisture by the time we were down to 48h out. That doesn't have to happen here, but something to keep in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 45.9\38 High of 54....obviously it is and was much warmer a bit higher off of the surface, as my Davis is at 1M above the ground. Wxbug atop the middle school is 47.3\39, after a high of 62. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I'd guess I still have around 20 inches..but didn't measure. It's still taking a beating now with 50 temp and 43 dew. That first dewpoint front can't get here soon enough. The really sad part for me is that I'm now taller than my snowbanks except for the ones at the end of the driveway Still about 6-8 inches left on the roof too..which really amazes me I've noticed that the bankings have taken more of a beating than the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Some of the 18z GFS ensemble members are trying to sort of push most of the moisture for this upcoming event into wave #1...almost congealing it into just one wave. It still sort of has two parts but definitely not as distinct as what we see on a lot of other guidance. This is something I've always had in the back of my mind...we'll have to see what it looks like over the next 24 hours. I recall the Feb 22, 2008 event being shown as two distinct waves until about 72 hours out and then it shifted into one main surge of moisture by the time we were down to 48h out. That doesn't have to happen here, but something to keep in mind. Nice trend.....you know I'm rooting for that, even if it means some p type issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Where is Wiz, thundershowers developing over nw ct and other spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Really a testament to the durability of our snowpack that there's still a widespread 12-24" on the ground across New England. Pretty darn impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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